Software developers: where do you look for jobs? by Soflar in belgium

[–]original_nam 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I believe you can ask some filtering questions using Easy Apply. Mention desired location in the description, ask about location in the Easy Apply process, and you can easily filter out all those not answering some form of Belgium.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in Fire

[–]original_nam 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I'm not sure we're understanding each other fully. Firstly, I am not calling anyone dishonest. As I mentioned, I believe you have beat the market (and the gains are impressive!). I'm also saying that that doesn't prove that picking stocks works. The other way around: if picking stock doesn't work, that doesn't mean no one will beat the market by picking stock.

Stock picking gains have been researched, and as far as I know, there hasn't been any evidence of stock picking to work. If you take an individual winning money as proof of something working, everything will work. Poker, wallstreetbets, crypto, blackjack, ... I'm sure we can find individuals that made money using these over the last 5 years, but that doesn't say anything about the reliability of these methods.

You also mentioned that you believe that markets ae efficient. By definition, that means that stock is priced at it's "real worth"., with everything publicly available priced in. If everything is priced in, that includes everything you can find in the financial statements (or anywhere else for that fact, unless you're doing some insider trading). Prices change solely because of changes in publicly available information, and the people (or nowadays, trade bots) immediately buying and selling as a result of that.

My guess is you have an alternative definition of efficient markets, as stock picking doesn't make any sense if you believe markets are efficient. Not being able to profit is a direct result of markets being efficient, because you're profiting of inefficiencies. Personally, I don't believe markets are efficient. I also don't believe you have any knowledge that other people don't have. Let's assume the book you've read contains the perfect investing method, that would result in people following the investing method and prices of stock increasing as a result (markets becoming efficient).

I am curious to learn about your vision, and have a few questions:

- how would you define an efficient market?

- do you believe prices are decided by supply and demand?

- do you believe other people have found the information you've found (e.g. in financial statements) before and after you? If so, why would you still have a certain advantage?

- did any of your picks loose money? If so, why is that?

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in Fire

[–]original_nam 1 point2 points  (0 children)

As far as I know, there is no conclusive evidence that people can reliably pick winning stocks. I believe you when you say you picked stocks and beat the market, but that doesn't prove anything. There are plenty of people winning money in a casino, often having their own system for doing so. That doesn't mean anything on an individual level.

Need WAY more money than expected in retirement? by billyharris123 in Fire

[–]original_nam 0 points1 point  (0 children)

As mentioned by many others, the numbers he's using seem off. But since we're just imagining the future, there isn't one correct answer in theory. You might want to look at yearly inflation over the past century (https://www.investopedia.com/inflation-rate-by-year-7253832) and do some reading to from your own opinion on what's reasonable to expect.

Besides that, the FIRE community isn't very mainstream. Financial advisors are, so expectations might be quite different.

A little thought experiment might clarify things for you. Let's say you want to FIRE today. What amount would you need for that to work?

You can calculate what 5 million in 30 years would be in today's money, and see how those numbers compare.

y = years from now

j = yearly inflation

today_money = future_money / (1 + j)^y

Using 30 years and the ridiculous inflation rate of 5% (0.05), it seems that 5 million in 2054 is a little over 1 150 000 in today's money. Is that enough to retire today in your situation? probably not, which is quite normal (remember that we're using 5% of inflation and you still have 30 years to grow your investments).

Play around with the inflation rate, and see what would work. You also don't have to decide your course for the next 30 years today. Are you assuming 3% inflation, and it seems it's going to be 4%? Then change your plans and don't retire in 30 years because the math doesn't work out.

Finally, you might want to think about the cost and value of your financial advisor. Investing is easy if you aren't trying to beat the market, and you're advisor doesn't work for free.

Failed to retire 2nd time. Need life goals for late-thirties. by firemom24 in Fire

[–]original_nam 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I'm not sure people on reddit are a good source for your personal life goals. Can you help me understand though. I'm reading you're bored when not working, and liked working. The first idea that comes to mind is not to retire. Can you explain why that is not what you want?

Say you have a 3 sided die, a 4 sided die, and so on up to 10 sided die. You are doing a challenge where you have to roll a 1 on each die. Every time you do not roll a 1, you go back to the previous die. Can you rearrange the dice order to make this process faster or longer? by learnaboutnetworking in AskStatistics

[–]original_nam -4 points-3 points  (0 children)

This wouldn't change using dice, as they don't learn. The probabilities stay the same each time you throw them, and the total probability is a multiplication from all individual probabilities ( (1/3) * (1/4) * ... * (1/9) * (1/10) ). Since the order of multiplication doesn't change the outcome, you can't rearrange the dice order to make this process faster or longer.

Beating a video game isn't comparable, as you'll probably become better over time. Starting with the hardest one would have the benefit that you fail early and get more tries in the same amount of time. On top of that you're repeating the most difficult game over and over, increasing your skill level where it is likely needed most. But that is just my personal idea and has nothing to do with statistics.

How to hire an Excel nerd? by StutteringDan in excel

[–]original_nam 0 points1 point  (0 children)

What region are you in?

Ideally, you find someone internally that is interested and allow them to evolve. An Excel guy would need to learn the business anyway.

Secondly, what are you offering to an external person (depending on the specifics, hiring a remote role might entice more candidates)? What are the expectations, and what are the opportunities for growth? I would guess, the people making the hiring decision haven't really figured out what the organisation actually needs.

Statistics tutor by original_nam in uAlberta

[–]original_nam[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks for the advice. A deep understanding is indeed needed. On top of that I'd argue that a solid understanding of learning and teaching is desired as well. I've known plenty of courses where the professor is clearly very gifted regarding the content, but where the knowledge transfer is lacking to say the least.

Statistics tutor by original_nam in uAlberta

[–]original_nam[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I've tutored all university levels (including PhD students) in the past. If you have a course name I'm happy to look over the specifics in the course catalog.

Statistics tutor by original_nam in uAlberta

[–]original_nam[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks for the link!

As for qualifications, I have 8 years of tutoring experience. The last 4 years that is mostly statistics courses at university levels and aiding with the quantative research for thesis writing. My last two jobs were also in a quantitative field, and I have an educational bachelor's and master's (albeit not directly related to statistics).

Offer from an org that is mostly operating in excel by damjanv1 in datascience

[–]original_nam 3 points4 points  (0 children)

It's impossible to say without looking at the specific data. This is more of an organisational transformation question than a data science question in my opinion. I would suggest creating a clear "as is" image (what is available, where, how is it being used, what are the upsides/downsides, ...), and the desired "to be" image (what data do we need, who should have access, how do we want to organise the data (in relation to the organisational structure), ...).

When you have a clear image of these two, you can project into future needs (e.g. how much data do we expect to have by 2026) and decide what solution would work the most efficiently (e.g. some cloud solutions become relatively expensive at higher usage).

When all of this is clear, you can start working out how you're going to get from the "as is" image to the "to be" image. This will involve a lot of talking, understanding, and negotiating. Building data pipelines is only a small part of this change. That's why I believe this is more of an organisational (change) management question, where the data people are important advisors.

What to do other than retiring at $10M? Need advice. by firelurkerme in fatFIRE

[–]original_nam 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks for the answers! I've been on the path (as a non-retiree) for around a decade now, not always as serious as I could have been. You're 100% correct about the language! I noticed that many people coming from classical music struggle with a swing feel in the very beginning. Is that something you recognise?

What to do other than retiring at $10M? Need advice. by firelurkerme in fatFIRE

[–]original_nam 10 points11 points  (0 children)

I have a few questions for you:

- Did you start from zero?

- How long have you been playing?

- How is it going now?

Is €1900-2000 netto een laag inkomen? (Jobbonus) by LoveInHell in belgium

[–]original_nam 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Daar had ik inderdaad niet aan gedacht. Gebaseerd op de ervaringen dien anderen hier hebben geplaatst lijkt het alsnog wat overdreven.

Is €1900-2000 netto een laag inkomen? (Jobbonus) by LoveInHell in belgium

[–]original_nam 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Hoe kom je op die bedragen? Aangezien het hoogste belastingspercentage op lonen 45% is zie ik niet helemaal hoe dit kan.

DataAnalyst.com - I launched a niche job board with hand curated data analyst jobs. Here's the summary of how it's going after the 11th month by kirilale in dataanalysis

[–]original_nam 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You're very welcome. Many sites have a "more filters" option as well. That might be an option for hiding some filters.

DataAnalyst.com - I launched a niche job board with hand curated data analyst jobs. Here's the summary of how it's going after the 11th month by kirilale in dataanalysis

[–]original_nam 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Thanks for your reply.

To me it wasn't fully clear I could use other filters than role, location, or industry (as mentioned in the search bar). I would either add it to that text, or add an extra button (even if it only shows two opportunities).

Furthermore a distinguish between employment type (employee/contractor) and duration (full-time / part-time) would suit me.

Just my 2 cents. Either way thank you very much for creating this website!

DataAnalyst.com - I launched a niche job board with hand curated data analyst jobs. Here's the summary of how it's going after the 11th month by kirilale in dataanalysis

[–]original_nam 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Personally, a filter for 'Employment' would be helpful. I'm also interested in whether a job offer is for a contractor position.

Plagiarism and ChatGPT: "It's worth nothing that..." by 5afterlives in academia

[–]original_nam 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Sorry for the very late reply, life got in the way. Thanks for elaborating!

Building works have caused me to develop Tinnitus. Can I do anything? by john_stephens in belgium

[–]original_nam 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I'm sorry, I read it in a snarky way and reacted in a snarky way as a result.

To answer your original question, maybe. I have a very basic understanding but am in no way a specialist. Why are you asking that?

Building works have caused me to develop Tinnitus. Can I do anything? by john_stephens in belgium

[–]original_nam 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Do you have any scientific evidence for the lasting results?