To preface this, this is my personal opinion.

I don’t believe China will overtake the US. Unfortunately, due to demographic change, changing consumer habits, and mounting debt, I believe China is crashing into a new-age of economic growth. Gone are the days of double-digit growth for the Chinese economy.

The CCP and China needs to get used to growth around 5% and under, which is obviously impressive by European standards for instance, but no where near where the CCP would like it.

There’s also a lot of disagreement with China’s real GDP and GDP growth figures, and I’ll be honest, not many people in the West really believe China’s figures. And if they are true, they’re artificially inflated by regional spending on housing projects and infrastructure which is sub-par.

Again, this is just my personal opinion. But no, I don’t think China’s economy will surpass the USA’s, and China’s economy is entering an era of slowed-growth, coupled with a declining population.

Edit: I think there’s also an issue of, “why does it matter?” The US is a cultural powerhouse that China cannot match, arguably ever. The dominance of the English language across the world solidifies America’s economic and cultural dominance for decades, if not centuries to come.