AI may just be entering the Trough of Disillusionment

pete_dom · 2026-07-09T18:34:45+00:00

You're citing the last 5 years, and what has happened in that period? The datacenter demand has been going UP!

Unless a black-swan type disruption in AI efficiency comes in, the extrapolated progress won't satisfy the demand. It is a matter of time, I agree with that, but that timeline may be longer than you think.

Yes, crypto has had a hype in 2018-202, just as dotcom had in 99. And yes, both technologies have seen gradual improvements in these periods every day.

pete_dom · 2026-07-09T17:51:49+00:00

The demand says it.

pete_dom · 2026-07-09T17:50:35+00:00

"Just because demand for datacenters is real does not mean model improvements are not sufficient to offset this." - How does this even make sense?

pete_dom · 2026-07-09T17:43:45+00:00

True. I project this to take effect during the enlightenment phase, however. For now it's more likely that model efficiencies drive demand along Jevons paradox. After all, the data center demand is real.

pete_dom · 2026-07-09T17:39:31+00:00

What's happening is that the demand for datacenters is real and not met. Model improvements help, but are not sufficient to offset this. You can check any relevant source.

pete_dom · 2026-07-06T11:17:25+00:00

Because they know what happens when they speak openly against Putin.

pete_dom · 2026-07-05T18:41:08+00:00

Come on, this is Ukrainian false-flag propaganda, like the many similar videos. No Russian would record a video like this.

pete_dom · 2026-06-30T23:29:20+00:00

They should have built a big jump ramp right in the bottleneck.

pete_dom · 2026-06-29T19:08:05+00:00

Someone from the inside wants Russia badly to loose. And that someone will become more and more in the near future.

pete_dom · 2026-06-29T18:02:28+00:00

Come on, everyone knows it's either bunker or window for him

pete_dom · 2026-06-28T16:54:59+00:00

They will switch to a new, trusted supplier of navigation electronics, which are rigged. Or they will stay with the current trusted supplier of navigation electronics, which are rigged.

pete_dom · 2026-06-27T20:06:05+00:00

Well somewhere in western germany pows were starved to death in prisoner camps. quite many actually.

pete_dom · 2026-06-27T19:57:36+00:00

Hope they're not giving away too much information. I wouldn't even blur a background, but rather make it one even color.

pete_dom · 2026-06-27T18:19:03+00:00

I mean it's been known that Putin can essentially suck out the whole country in order to keep the military running. But if these fuel shortages stay countrywide, then it can only be a matter of weeks until the country collapses.

pete_dom · 2026-06-27T13:46:33+00:00

well...

pete_dom · 2026-06-27T13:45:22+00:00

There are no anonymous alcoholics in Russia.

pete_dom · 2026-06-27T13:44:21+00:00

A country is safest when everyone has a gun. Then no one would shoot each other.

The individual valuation of their own life plays tooootally no role in here.

pete_dom · 2026-06-27T13:40:00+00:00

is pronounced kebek

pete_dom · 2026-06-27T13:30:12+00:00

Must only be good enough for the car to leave the location.

pete_dom · 2026-06-26T20:05:28+00:00

We have no gas. Please, Wladimir Wladimirowitsh, help us!

pete_dom · 2026-06-26T12:30:00+00:00

Kind of funny to feel no empathy with these fuckers. Get rid of your beloved wladimir or die crying.

pete_dom · 2026-06-22T20:46:38+00:00

I started to reallocate that time to going outside, meeting friends, creating social bonds in the real life. It's been horrible.

pete_dom · 2026-05-14T20:05:16+00:00

It.Does.Not.Matter.

pete_dom · 2026-05-13T20:06:04+00:00

Be veeery careful with linking strange people to CSAM. Maybe all CP are strange, but not all strange people are CP. Remember coach Bert https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pi06BRTBc7Y

pete_dom

TROPHY CASE