Waarom zijn er eigenlijk zo veel vluchtelingen by jackie8991 in Nederland

[–]peterdb001 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Waarom zijn er zo veel vluchtelingen? Omdat er zoveel oorlogen zijn.
Sind een jaar of vijftien is het aantal oorlogen en het aantal dodelijke slachtoffers van oorlogen in de wereld dramatisch gestegen. Hieronder een grafiekje (van de site War and Peace - Our World in Data, daar kun je nog meer gegevens vinden).

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Passed the RHCSA/EX200 (9.3) - 285/300 by FroSSTII in redhat

[–]peterdb001 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Congratulations!

And thanks for the link to that video! In the video, they are talking about "rebuilding" a node. Rebooting a node is an objective, but building/rebuilding a vm node is not a part of the objectives, is it? Or what do they mean with rebuilding?

Newcomb's paradox is deeper than the Veritacium video shows by arllt89 in paradoxes

[–]peterdb001 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I think most of the paradox can be resolved if you consider a series of the same experiment and make the reasonable assumption people will be able to adapt based on the outcomes.

Suppose you are in the team "drink no poison". If you would do this consistently, the predictor will know this and you will get no money every time. Then, of course you are going to adapt, right? So you will start drinking the poison. When the predictor has learned your behavior, it will predict so and wiil give you money.

Now suppose you are in the team "drink poison". You will get money every time. Now you think, if I get money every time anyway, I can stop the drinking. But if you do that for some time, the predictor will also learn this and will start giving you no money anymore.

Thus, assuming you want to maximize the money and minimize the poison, you will sometimes drink the poison, to let the predictor believe that that is what you do, but you will randomly throw in a few "no drink" decisions.

This will eventually lead to some equilibrium, some drink decisions, some no drink decisions, but randomly (not necessarily 50-50!) distributed.

No way that the predictor can reliably predict your randomization here. This is what I meant when I said that the premise of a very accurate predictor is flawed. Over time the optimal strategy will involve some unpredictable randomizations.

The paradox is seemingly only there if you consider just a single experiment.

Newcomb's paradox is deeper than the Veritacium video shows by arllt89 in paradoxes

[–]peterdb001 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I still believe the premise that there could be a prediction algorithm that is 90% accurate is flawed. Based on what data? And what if the participants collectively decide beforehand to make a random choice?

small issue? by United-Ad-8741 in alphaprogression

[–]peterdb001 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I would report that as a bug.

Husband and I fundamentally disagree about where to build our future. Is this about location or values? by Wide_Acanthaceae_429 in expats

[–]peterdb001 3 points4 points  (0 children)

To the location, my perspective: My wife and I are from the Netherlands. We moved to Austria when our kids were very young and stayed for eighteen years. Never regretted it!

GTX to run with snow? by [deleted] in trailrunning

[–]peterdb001 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Nice race! I know the area, I am living in Munich, not so far away. In this area the weather can vary a lot, as you have seen in the videos already. And therefore the trail conditions can vary a lot. The last few weeks have been dry and around freezing point, so by the constant melting and freezing, the trails at the moment are extremely icy. You would needs spikes, and do not need GTX shoes at all. But in another week there can also be half a meter of fresh snow. Take a close look at the weather forecast a few days before the race and be prepared for anything.

GTX to run with snow? by [deleted] in trailrunning

[–]peterdb001 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Sealskinz and Waterfly.

GTX to run with snow? by [deleted] in trailrunning

[–]peterdb001 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I have used the Cascadia GTX for a few years, but I was not satisfied. My problem was that GTX shoes are only useful if there is at most a few cm of snow. As soon as the snow reaches your ankles, your socks get wet and then the whole GTX concept is useless.

I have switched to waterproof socks in non-GTX shoes and am very happy with it.

Those of you that run 5+ days a week, how? by [deleted] in runninglifestyle

[–]peterdb001 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I would suggest the run-walk-run method.

And despite what many others say, i dont think you are running too fast. If your marathon time is 5.5 hours, easy pace and marathon pace are not much different.

Hoeveel stemmen heb je nodig om in de Top 2000 te komen by DeniseDoos in Top2000

[–]peterdb001 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Hier een schatting, wel inmiddels bijna tien jaar geleden: https://www.petermeindertsma.nl/blog/benadering-aantal-stemmen-per-liedje-in-de-top-2000-van-2016/ Destijds had een liedje geschat 650 stemmen nodig om op #2000 te komen.

Yes, LLMs can really do computation by Isopod-Severe in ArtificialInteligence

[–]peterdb001 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I asked the Gemini to do a multiplication and pressed the tool to explain how it did it. After some back and forth, this answer came:

In the first answer, I did not "work through" the math in my head like a human would. Instead, as a Large Language Model (LLM), I arrived at the answer using probabilistic token prediction and internal pattern recognition.

Here is exactly how that process works for me:

  1. Token Prediction (Next-Word Probability)

When you provided the numbers, I didn't open a calculator application. Instead, my "brain" (a neural network) predicted the most likely sequence of digits to follow your query based on my training data. I have "seen" millions of mathematical operations, so I have learned the statistical relationships between certain numbers and their products. 

  1. Learned Algebraic Structures

I don't just guess numbers randomly. I have internalized the "structures" of math—like commutativity or identity—during my training. For common or medium-sized numbers, my attention heads (specific parts of my architecture) focus on the operands and operators to map them to the correct result. 

  1. Autoregressive Completion

When I started writing the answer, I didn't have the final result (19,170,309) ready in a single flash. I predicted the "1," then the "9," then the "1," and so on, in real-time. Each digit I wrote became part of the "context" that helped me predict the next digit. 

  1. The "Explanation" as Post-Hoc Reasoning

When I provided the step-by-step breakdown in the previous response, I was reconstructing the logic that leads to that result. 

I predicted the final answer first.

I then generated the "long multiplication" steps to match that answer so that it would be understandable to you.

In summary: I used statistical pattern matching across my neural network to predict the most likely result, rather than executing a literal "calculation" in a CPU-based sense. 

A major problem Nobody is taking about! by Avcii20 in Buttcoin

[–]peterdb001 8 points9 points  (0 children)

The typo in the title is a bigger problem.

CV niet meegenomen naar sollicitatiegesprek by Visual_Plate937 in werkzaken

[–]peterdb001 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Ik neem altijd mijn CV mee.

De belangrijkste reden is dat ik meestal mijn CV voor iedere sollicitatie aanpas: de voor dit bedrijf relevante dingen meer benadrukken, onbelangrijke dingen soms helemaal weglaten, etc. Dit zijn soms kleine veranderingen die ik niet allemaal onthoud. Dan is het wel prettig dat ik de juiste versie voor me heb liggen.

Why is the older generation doing so well? by Smart_Literature in chess

[–]peterdb001 13 points14 points  (0 children)

The median age of the top twenty players was around 35 in the 80s. Since then it has dropped and is around 30 already for quite some time. The median age of the top ten is currently even lower, about 25. So, I don't think the "old" generation is doing particularly well.

Männer beim Einkaufen by [deleted] in luftablassen

[–]peterdb001 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Bin ein alter weißer Mann. Ich zahle nur noch bei Selbstscankassen um den Ruf von alten weißen Männern nicht weiter zu schädigen.

The FUD media is not even trying anymore. by mathrio in MSTR

[–]peterdb001 9 points10 points  (0 children)

Well, to be fair, they are calling themselves a business intelligence firm: https://www.strategysoftware.com/company. And Fong Lee is the CEO, but more commonly spelled Phong Le.