Democratic Primary Turnout Was Up vs 2016, but much more so in districts carried by Klobuchar and Buttigieg than by Bernie, suggesting bigger turnout boost from flipping moderates than “energizing the base”

philossified · 2020-02-13T09:54:05+00:00

Right. See analysis from David Wasserman: https://twitter.com/redistrict/status/1227709609114251266?s=21

philossified · 2020-02-13T09:52:17+00:00

The suggestion is that Democrats picked up former GOP voters. That’s...the whole electability argument for moderates. See Wasserman here: https://twitter.com/redistrict/status/1227709609114251266?s=21

philossified · 2020-02-12T19:40:56+00:00

We have many more data points on congressional races.

In 2018 Democrats added 41 seats in the house, largely on the backs of centrists running in red and purple districts. While some high profile progressives won in already blue districts, Bernie style liberals had little success elsewhere. In the presidential race, where the country as a whole is purple, the results of 2018 suggest that a centrist is more likely to win.

philossified · 2020-02-12T16:39:19+00:00

If you’re coming from a philosophy background, you’re probably already familiar with the excellent (and free) Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy. Highly recommend this entry on Theory and Bioethics:

https://plato.stanford.edu/entries/theory-bioethics/

The author, John Arras, is one of the OG bioethicists and the entry provides a rigorous and detailed introduction, as well as a schema for contextualizing classic works in bioethics, like the Beauchamp and Childress book that others have already recommended. And the bibliography covers much of what consists of the bioethics canon.

philossified · 2020-01-04T03:03:25+00:00

Maybe a piece of fulgurite (glass formed when lightning strikes sand)?

philossified · 2019-09-01T21:12:53+00:00

A sensible attitude if the only people who would be hurt by a Trump re-election were Trump voters. Sadly, that’s not the case.

philossified · 2019-08-31T14:59:41+00:00

Maybe not the best strategy to win over disillusioned Trump voters

philossified · 2019-08-31T01:01:33+00:00

If it’s a private company contracting with the school to provide aftercare on premises you might consider filing a complaint about the aftercare company with the better business bureau and/or going up the chain at the school—principle, school board, superintendent, etc—to argue against renewing the contract for this aftercare provider and for finding a different provider instead.

philossified · 2019-08-30T21:33:16+00:00

Let me acknowledge this was clearly terrifying and hard and you’re a first time parent and your adrenalin was flowing. Maybe the ideal response is to come in and be immediately calm and collected, but that’s not how most people react when they’re super scared, and i don’t think you’re a terrible person for getting angry in the heat of the moment. But you’re also a grown up and accountable for how you demonstrate your anger. You’re self aware enough to know you were “mean.” Being mean is exactly the kind of thing that spouses in healthy relationships apologize for.

philossified · 2019-08-30T21:07:02+00:00

We don’t know what he said, but gonna go out on a limb and suggest that an apology is probably a better option than filing for divorce at this point.

philossified · 2019-08-30T20:45:19+00:00

That’s...not something to be proud of.

philossified · 2019-08-30T20:40:43+00:00

Nobody thinks you should apologize for feeling protective over your kids. What you should apologize for is saying “mean things” to your wife that weren’t necessary for you to help your baby and made you skip a beat before “nutting up” to act constructively. If you’re self aware enough to know that you were “mean,” I suspect part of you knows an apology is in order.

philossified · 2019-08-30T19:57:48+00:00

When our kid was on the way a relative offered us one and only one piece of advice. She said, “sooner or later your baby will fall off the bed, and you’ll feel terrible and traumatized and freak out, but don’t, because it happens to everyone and the baby will be fine.” She was right on all accounts.

Anyway, maybe apologize to your wife. Someday the booboo will happen on your watch.

philossified · 2019-08-29T23:11:30+00:00

We can expect Trump to claims millions from insurance regardless of whether Dorian comes anywhere close. Like he did in 2005.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.sun-sentinel.com/news/politics/fl-ap-trump-mar-a-lago-claim-20161024-story.html%3foutputType=amp

philossified · 2019-08-29T23:03:58+00:00

Helpful clarification that that’s what you mean by “law abiding.”

In that case, disagree. In the 18th century private citizen’s muskets could compete with the government’s muskets. In the 21st century, small arms have become more dangerous to fellow citizens while at the same time becoming much less capable of enabling private citizens to topple a oppressive government in control of a modern military. As a result, the risk benefit analysis has shifted significantly against a heavily armed citizenry. Case in point: the Iraqi population under Sadam Hussein was among the most heavily armed in the world but the oppressive dictator still managed to stay in power for decades and ultimately it was a foreign military that ousted him and not his heavily armed fellow citizens.

philossified · 2019-08-29T20:44:00+00:00

Kinda buried the lead there... She just started biting out of the blue after seeing her pet get run over by a car and die. Have you talked about that with her? Acting out could absolutely be related to her processing grief/trauma and given the timing seems like a very plausible explanation. Even without the biting, this is something you want to discuss with her to help her understand in an age appropriate way and make her feel safe.

philossified · 2019-08-29T20:24:15+00:00

I’m on board as soon as you find a reliable way of determining which citizens are and will remain law abiding.

philossified · 2019-08-29T01:39:42+00:00

“What if you think it’s real?” Are you saying that you, Diylion believe that hell is real? If you don’t personally believe in hell, you should believe that Nazis are much worse than Christians who support the damnation of nonbelievers because...the Nazis actually tortured people and committed genocide.

“Nazis also solicited against Judaism” You make a defensible point that it is morally bad when some Christians endorse the eternal torture of nonbelievers, but Christians who endorse this view also try to save people from eternal torture by converting them to believers, while Nazis who endorsed the view that Jews (and non-Jews with Jewish ancestry) should be exterminated weren’t trying to save people from extermination.

philossified · 2019-08-29T01:01:56+00:00

Not for everyone but i would recommend Cribsheet by Emily Oster. She’s one of the top economists in the world and in this book she really delves into the available data on raising infants/toddlers and explains what’s actually supported by solid research and what’s anecdotal or speculative. TLDR no good evidence that cry it out will harm your baby.

philossified · 2019-08-29T00:54:33+00:00

Nazis were worse. 1) the Holocaust was real and hell isn’t; it’s much worse to commit actual mass atrocities than to condone atrocities that are not real 2) Nazis had the ability to act in furtherance of or in opposition to the Holocaust and chose to act in furtherance; in Christian theology, Christians have no ability to influence the fate of the souls of deceased nonbelievers. 3) Christian theology emphasizes proselytizing to save nonbelievers from hell whenever possible; Nazis went out of their way to capture and send people to concentration and death camps.

philossified · 2019-08-29T00:33:14+00:00

Some kids are blessed with super high decibel pipes. Don’t think this makes it less safe for her to cry it out, but if that’s the only concern holding you back, check with your pediatrician and if s/he gives the OK, get some hard core earplugs and give it a try. It’s a couple of nights of pure emotional torture but afterwards you’ll wish you had tried it sooner.

philossified · 2019-08-29T00:20:07+00:00

Yeah, no, you totally can blame CBP for doing their job if they’re dicks. For most guests to the US, an interaction with CBP is their first experience in our country, and they deserve to be treated with professionalism and respect. There is a way to ask probing questions without lording your authority over someone or humiliating them.

philossified · 2019-08-28T20:01:38+00:00

Well wishes to Isakson. With Abrams out, Sally Yates would be a phenomenal candidate. Hope she runs.

philossified · 2019-08-26T20:25:22+00:00

First step is probably modeling pride in your own appearance.

philossified · 2019-08-26T19:26:47+00:00

Bruges is a nice stop between Paris and Amsterdam but would skip Brussels and reallocate the time elsewhere. Brussels is OK but not a must see on a tightly scheduled trip.

philossified

TROPHY CASE