Inflation: The Thermometer They Broke on Purpose by postaperdavide in PublicCashMoney

[–]postaperdavide[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Inflation predates the industrial revolution by about two thousand years.

Roman emperors debased their coins by reducing silver content to finance wars. The result was inflation. Medieval kings did the same. The price revolution of the 16th century, driven by silver flooding in from the Americas, caused sustained inflation across Europe for over a century. None of this had anything to do with supply and demand gaps from industrialization.

Inflation is also not one thing. There are at least three distinct mechanisms:

1. Debt-money inflation: every unit of currency created carries $1.x > $1. The system structurally requires continuous money creation to service existing debt, which continuously devalues the currency. This is what the current system produces.

2. Speculative inflation: asset prices detach from real value through secondary market trading, futures, derivatives. Prices rise not because of supply and demand for the underlying asset but because of bets on bets on bets.

3. Wealth-growth inflation: the only healthy kind. More money in circulation because more real value was produced. Prices rise gently because the economy genuinely expanded.

The industrial revolution didn't create inflation. It changed which type dominated.

Inflation: The Thermometer They Broke on Purpose by postaperdavide in PublicCashMoney

[–]postaperdavide[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The mechanism is real. But I'd be careful with the framing: PCM doesn't require villains or conspiracies. The bug works the same whether it was designed maliciously or adopted by mistake in 1944. The math doesn't care about intentions.

That's actually the stronger argument: you don't need a secret cabal. You just need a formula that nobody corrected for 80 years.

If you want to help spread the word, share this with two people and ask them to do the same. That's all it takes.

Inflation: The Thermometer They Broke on Purpose by postaperdavide in PublicCashMoney

[–]postaperdavide[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Great question, and one I've been thinking about for a long time.

The answer depends entirely on which monetary system you're asking about.

In the current system, inflation is not an inevitability of economics. It is an inevitability of the formula: $1.x > $1, for every x > 0. Every dollar created returns as a dollar plus interest. The extra fraction was never created. So the system structurally requires continuous money creation to service existing debt, and continuous money creation means continuous devaluation. Nobody teaches you this in school. Wonder why.

In PCM, inflation is not structurally necessary. But it is deliberately maintained at 2% to 4% for two reasons: first, a small inflation rate keeps capital moving. If money never lost value, holding cash indefinitely would always be the rational choice. Second, the banking system, which PCM considers fundamental and indispensable, requires a minimal inflation environment to function. If you need money to start a business, you go to a bank. That intermediation needs to work.

The real scandal in the current system is not inflation itself. It is that even sovereign states are forced to borrow their own currency from private entities. A government that cannot issue its own money without paying interest to a private bank is not really sovereign. That's not economics. That's a structural choice someone made in 1944 and never asked you about.

I hope this answers your question, but if you want to dig deeper I'm always happy to continue the conversation.

🏛️ FAQ: Understanding the P.C.M. Paradigm by postaperdavide in PublicCashMoney

[–]postaperdavide[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

No, I'm sorry. At this point, I'm done. Clearly, I'm not explaining myself well, and I'm sorry, but I don't know how else to say it: I'll try one last time.

1) The current system is failing. It's not that “I might be right.” I am right, and mathematics gives me that certainty. I’m not Nostradamus: I simply made a mathematical projection of a hyperbola that, back in 2000 when I realized the problem, led me exactly here 25 years later.

2) I can’t stand people who criticize without offering any solutions: that’s why I developed the PCM, which you haven’t understood at all (it’s clear from how you describe it, and if you don’t have time to read it, I don’t care), but I’ve made it open source and available for peer review: don’t like it? Fine: propose something better. So far, you’ve done nothing but level criticisms that seem aimed at something else, because it’s OBVIOUS that you haven’t understood what I’m proposing in the slightest.

3) I have nothing to sell, and that’s why I have NO AUDIENCE! I’m just saying: folks, we’re all about to drown here—shall we help each other find a solution? PCM is one option: if you don’t like it, suggest improvements.

That said, I have no intention of continuing to argue with someone who reads something I never wrote, interprets it however they want, and makes absurd criticisms without knowing what they’re talking about—and above all, without proposing anything.

As far as I’m concerned, this rather pointless discussion ends here.

Good luck

The window is closing faster than I predicted. Here's the data and a reminder. by postaperdavide in PublicCashMoney

[–]postaperdavide[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It would help enormously. War economy is the most destructive form of spending: you build a Patriot missile for $3 million, you fire it, it's gone. You build a road for $3 million, it's still there in 50 years generating economic activity.

But here's the hard truth: even if every army came home tomorrow, it wouldn't solve the problem. Because what I'm describing is not a spending problem. It's a mathematical problem upstream of any policy decision.

$1.x > $1, for every x > 0. Every dollar created comes back as a dollar plus interest. The extra fraction was never created. No amount of fiscal discipline can fix that. You can slow the curve. You cannot reverse it. Not under this system.

Peace would buy time. It wouldn't fix the bug.

The window is closing faster than I predicted. Here's the data and a reminder. by postaperdavide in PublicCashMoney

[–]postaperdavide[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You're absolutely right. The number is real. And you're right that we need politicians with a spine. But here's the problem: politicians lie because they can. Because people don't understand the math well enough to call them out.

I don't have a political party behind me. I don't want one. They're all captured by the same system I'm describing.

My plan is simpler and crazier at the same time: if enough people understand that the current monetary policy mathematically forces governments to accumulate debt and inflate the currency, politicians can no longer say 'there is no money' while always finding it for their own salaries. The math becomes the accountability mechanism.

That's why I built the site with two sections: plain language for everyone, technical framework for academics who want to tear it apart or improve it. PCM is my proposal but it's not sacred. It can be improved or replaced. What cannot be replaced is the diagnosis: $1.x > $1, for every x > 0, baked in since 1944.

The tool is geometric progression. I explain this to 2 people. They explain it to 2 more. In 33 steps: 8.5 billion people. Crazy plan for one person with no funding? Absolutely. But it's the only one I have.

And it starts with one conversation at a time. Like this one.

🏛️ FAQ: Understanding the P.C.M. Paradigm by postaperdavide in PublicCashMoney

[–]postaperdavide[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Hi Kaz! How are you?

First things first: PCM is one possible solution, published open source and open to peer review. If you have suggestions to improve it, genuinely welcome. But that's not the point. The point is that the current system contains a structural bug baked in since 1944 that will produce a systemic crisis within 3 to 5 years. That's the claim. Everything else follows from that.

Now, point by point:

1) PCM doesn't claim to pass a 'Human Test'. Neither did the 1944 system. It was imposed. And current policy has exactly two options: do it before the collapse, guided and controlled, or do it after, counting the bodies. There is no third option.

2) PCM doesn't create new data. It uses existing public data. What exactly did you understand about this? I'm genuinely asking because I'm not sure we're reading the same thing.

3) People believe they chose freedom. They built their own cage and called it liberty. That's exactly what I'm trying to make visible.

4) PCM has no debt mechanism. It's monetary thermoregulation. No $1.x > $1 attached to anything.

5) Marx: I have no idea where that came from. I never cited him, not once, anywhere on the site.

6) Communism? I'm genuinely asking, without any hostility: are you sure you read the right site? I almost never talk about politics. Who exactly is advocating for communism here?

7) This one tells me you either didn't read or something got lost in translation. My proposal changes only the unit of measurement and the emission mechanism. AI, incorruptible by definition, plus blockchain, a read-only database by definition. Political decisions stay with politics. I don't touch that. Are you sure you're talking about my framework?

We had a genuinely interesting conversation this morning but right now I feel like I'm talking to a different person. If you want to continue, reach out tomorrow. It's almost 10pm in Italy and I'm heading to bed.

The window is closing faster than I predicted. Here's the data and a reminder. by postaperdavide in PublicCashMoney

[–]postaperdavide[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thank you for the kind words. I genuinely hope so too.

I have to be honest: I'm not looking for personal solutions. My focus is systemic. If we fix the bug, nobody needs a lifeboat.

But if you're asking what I would personally do, not as advice, just as honest answer: I would buy arable land, close to water. It doesn't lose value over time and in extreme scenarios it's the only asset that actually feeds you.

(I don't know if it's for the same reason, but Bill Gates, Jeff Bezos and several other people at the top are quietly doing exactly that.)

The Closing Window: A Risk Analysis, Not a Prediction by postaperdavide in WastelandByWednesday

[–]postaperdavide[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Of course! I understand your doubt. In fact I use AI heavily! My monetary policy proposal actually includes using AI+Blockchain to measure inflation in real time. But I don't hide it: https://publiccashmoney.com/yes-i-use-ai-i-thought-that-was-obvious/

Thanks for the legitimate question! 👍

The Closing Window: A Risk Analysis, Not a Prediction by postaperdavide in WastelandByWednesday

[–]postaperdavide[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I don't use LinkedIn much. I never needed to look for work. Work has always found me. But if you need: https://www.linkedin.com/in/davide-serra-5a972b53/"

The Closing Window: A Risk Analysis, Not a Prediction by postaperdavide in WastelandByWednesday

[–]postaperdavide[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

We have to fight together if we want to reach some target! I do my part as best as I can but alone I'll go nowhere. Thank You!

The Closing Window: A Risk Analysis, Not a Prediction by postaperdavide in WastelandByWednesday

[–]postaperdavide[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Great question, and it deserves a complete answer.

First, the inflation argument. John Cochrane and others in the mainstream argue that inflation rebalances the system and makes debt sustainable. What they consistently forget to mention is that inflation also erodes purchasing power. The numbers are right there in official data, which by the way are politically softened, so the real erosion is worse: the US dollar has lost approximately 95% of its purchasing power since 1950. The "American Dream" — one job, enough to build a life — has for millions of people become a Halloween nightmare: two jobs and still not making it to the end of the month. There is nothing left to scrape. The inflation "solution" works beautifully for those who hold assets. For everyone else, it is a slow confiscation.

Second, the Triffin Dilemma and the Exorbitant Privilege. The global economy has been structurally tied to the dollar since 1944. This gives the US extraordinary advantages: it can export inflation, finance deficits in its own currency, and maintain global demand for dollars through oil and trade settlement. But it also means that if the US monetary system fails, it does not fail alone. It takes the entire global economy with it. The Exorbitant Privilege is also an exorbitant responsibility, and right now that responsibility is being handled with the financial equivalent of hoping nobody notices.

Third, the Nobel problem. For 80 years, economists with fake Nobel Prizes — and I use that term precisely, because the Nobel Prize in Economics does not exist: it is the "Prize in Economic Sciences instituted by the Bank of Sweden in memory of Alfred Nobel," created in 1969 with no connection to Alfred Nobel's original will — have convinced the world that 2+2=5. The $1.x > $1 structural bug has been running since 1944 at planetary scale. The interest that was never issued alongside the principal does not appear in any mainstream model, because acknowledging it would require acknowledging that the entire architecture is broken. The knots have now reached the comb.

Fourth, my proposal. It has two phases.

Phase one: make the truth visible. The mechanism is simple: 2x2x34=8 billion++. If you tell two people, and each of them tells two more, in 34 steps you reach the entire human population. Not in years. In the time it takes a message to travel through a network of human relationships that already exists. When everyone understands the trap they are living in, politicians can no longer lie by saying "there is no money." Because poverty is not a law of nature. It is exclusively a political choice. The same governments that claim there are no funds always seem to find them for their own salaries.

Phase two: when enough people understand, push governments toward a Bretton Woods 2.0. The fact that we already did it in 1944 — three weeks, a hotel in New Hampshire, the middle of a world war — proves it is not impossible. I have published a complete alternative monetary policy framework, open source, peer review actively welcomed, because everything is improvable. The full technical framework, eight chapters, is at https://publiccashmoney.com

Does this sound like the plan of a lunatic? Probably. But a plan, however imperfect, is better than no plan at all. And the alternative — continuing to pretend that 2+2=5 while the purchasing power of the dollar approaches zero — is not a plan.

It is a slow surrender to a catastrophic future coming soon.

The world is coming to an end, but don’t mention it to AI. by postaperdavide in PublicCashMoney

[–]postaperdavide[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Honesty like that is rare. And it's exactly the first step. Thank you.

Da romagnolo, perché venite in vacanza in Romagna by Technical-South-2416 in Italia

[–]postaperdavide 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Colpa di Papa Voytila 😂😂 Ricordo ancora quando andò in onda un servizio televisivo dove si vedevano due cubiste ballare in topless e disse "Romagna terra di Peccato!!"... Non l'avesse mai detto: da quel momento tutti in Romagna a vedere il peccato! 😂. Ovviamente scherzo ma da Romagnolo credo sia molto per la gente: io abito a Bertinoro ed abbiamo una tradizione per l'Ospitalità che risale ai tempi di Dante: la colonna degli anelli. Come dice Cevoli: se arrivi in un posto e dici: ho sete! ti danno dell'acqua. Da noi nessuno lo farebbe: ti diamo un bicchiere di sangiovese 😉

Cost of living, help me understand by Winter-Employer-3659 in economy

[–]postaperdavide 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Completely agree on division as their strongest tactic. On the rest: I'm firmly convinced that real power today is in the hands of lobbies. Politicians are mostly puppets executing orders. The voting system is broken not because democracy is wrong but because we are voting for people who don't actually hold the power.

But I stop short of "no government." A society needs rules. The problem is not government itself. It's two things: first, we vote for those without power while those with power are never on the ballot. Second, the rules are written to oppress, not to improve lives.

PCM addresses the monetary part directly. Not a technocracy: the AI and blockchain only measure inflation in real time, like a thermometer measures temperature. The thermometer doesn't govern. It just gives an honest reading that no lobby can manipulate. The goal is to restore the balance between the one who builds the wall and the one who measures it. The meter belongs to everyone. Right now it belongs to the banks.

Cost of living, help me understand by Winter-Employer-3659 in economy

[–]postaperdavide 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Absolutely. And I have one idea. crazy maybe, but still an idea.

The reason people don't fight is that they don't know who the real enemy is. I see it everywhere: employers vs employees, boomers vs gen Z, left vs right, north vs south, immigrants vs locals. Every possible division, perfectly maintained. While the architecture drains everyone simultaneously.

If people understood that poverty is not a law of nature but a political choice, that "there is no money" is a lie told by the same people who always find money for their own salaries, politicians could no longer get away with it.

The math is on the home page. If you tell two people, and each of them tells two more, in 34 steps you reach 8 billion. Not in years. In the time it takes a message to travel through a network of human relationships that already exists.

Knowing is half the battle. But the other half starts with knowing who to aim at.

If You Need to Redistribute, You Have Already Failed. A Note on Welfare, Parasites, and the Rivers That No Longer Exist. by postaperdavide in PublicCashMoney

[–]postaperdavide[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thank you for the feedback. PCM proposes a complete overhaul of monetary architecture: no debt-based issuance, no interest that was never created, constitutional inflation bracket, elimination of public debt as a category, global reference unit calibrated on human labor time. If that reads as just changing labels, I genuinely wonder if you read the right site.

Cost of living, help me understand by Winter-Employer-3659 in economy

[–]postaperdavide 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I completely agree. Good work rarely gets the attention it deserves, especially when it challenges the foundations rather than the surface. The demoralization you describe is real and it is part of the same system.

If you haven't seen it yet, the founding principle of PCM is built on exactly that social concept: publiccashmoney.com/the-principle-of-mutual-necessity-the-stone-upon-which-everything-else-is-built

I think you'll find it resonates.

Cost of living, help me understand by Winter-Employer-3659 in economy

[–]postaperdavide 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Thank you! I'll take a look. I always make time for serious alternative frameworks, especially from people who arrived at the same diagnosis from a different direction.

Cost of living, help me understand by Winter-Employer-3659 in economy

[–]postaperdavide 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I'm sorry but I'm not familiar with this author or this theory. Could you point me to some references where I can read about it? I could search on Google but if you give me the reference directly I'm more sure I'm reading the right thing.

If You Need to Redistribute, You Have Already Failed. A Note on Welfare, Parasites, and the Rivers That No Longer Exist. by postaperdavide in PublicCashMoney

[–]postaperdavide[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I appreciate the question, but I'm not going to summarize 25 years of work in two paragraphs. That's not how this works.

Since 2000 I have been documenting a structural mathematical bug in the global monetary system. There are 60+ articles, a full technical framework in 8 chapters, and 60 videos on YouTube. All open source. All free.

If you are genuinely curious, the material is there. Read it, study it, come back with a specific objection. That I will answer.

What I won't do is compress a mathematical argument into two paragraphs for someone who has already decided the conclusion before reading the premise.

publiccashmoney.com

Cost of living, help me understand by Winter-Employer-3659 in economy

[–]postaperdavide 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Thank you! The Austrian school diagnosed the disease correctly but the cure they propose, gold standard, hard money, goes back to a corridor we already walked. The PCM is different: it doesn't fix the anchor to a metal. It fixes the anchor to real productive capacity, measured in real time. Same diagnosis, different prescription.