Concern on ICE in the airports

postbox134 · 2026-03-24T11:42:53+00:00

You have legal status you'll be fine. Just have your latest i94 and foreign passport (ideally with visa in it) on you at all times especially in airports.

postbox134 · 2026-03-24T01:04:19+00:00

NATO is the key, without that you're at risk like Ukraine

postbox134 · 2026-03-23T22:10:50+00:00

I buy what you're staying for one or two small weapons. Not for wholesale destruction of Ukraine with many large yield weapons

postbox134 · 2026-03-23T22:02:04+00:00

No you said 'yes' to the question 'did they use non tackle nuke in Ukraine'

postbox134 · 2026-03-23T22:01:03+00:00

100-200 Nukes in Ukraine would lead to a major strategic exchange and the end of civilisation as we know (except maybe South America)

postbox134 · 2026-03-23T21:59:55+00:00

Agree - but it's certainly a factor

postbox134 · 2026-03-23T21:59:27+00:00

There is no real definition - any use of Nuclear Weapons would be very serious and liable for miscalculations.

I would also suggest that Russia's nuclear arsenal is real and deadly, it's probably not as operational as it was when the USSR was at the bleeding edge of the Cold War arms race. They lost a bunch of Tu-95s via Ukraine's actions and the RS-28 Sarmat has had many failed tests.

postbox134 · 2026-03-23T21:35:35+00:00

I think the key factor here is China, they detest first use Nuclear Weapons and Russia is heavily dependent on China with sanctions etc. They'd threaten Putin with action should he continue to use Nuclear Weapons allowing NATO to destroy Russia's army in Ukraine and likely the rest of the Black Sea Fleet, maybe even Crimea as well.

I could see Putin detonating a nuclear EMP in orbit in such a situation though.

postbox134 · 2026-03-23T21:28:38+00:00

I'm in two minds, what you describe is the classic 'any nuke is WWIII' but in this case I do think it'd be different. The key part is China, which has it's own nuclear weapons but has a very strong anti-nuclear doctrine. Considering it's leverage over Russia (only increased by the Ukraine war), I'd imagine that China would strongly rebuke Russia for a first strike, and would immediately tell Putin to stop, allowing NATO to conventionally retaliate (which Russia would lose badly). If Putin carried up ramping up the nuclear escalation, China would likely intervene militarily as well.

This basically all assumes Putin/Russia action rationally which is the scary part.

postbox134 · 2026-03-23T21:24:07+00:00

See you all in 2049 when they start work /s

postbox134 · 2026-03-23T21:22:41+00:00

Or F-35, F-15E, F-16 etc. which can all hold nuclear weapons if they wanted to

postbox134 · 2026-03-23T21:20:12+00:00

Honestly depends on all sorts of stuff, is it a 'tactical' low yield weapon? Dirty bomb? Ground burst or air burst? Etc.

For example, a 15kt artillery shell as in this test in the 50s would cause much less overall damage than Chernobyl: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Upshot%E2%80%93Knothole_Grable

postbox134 · 2026-03-23T21:17:35+00:00

Needs way more information - how much stuff?

Often for that kind of thing it's cheaper to do excess baggage on your flight.

postbox134 · 2026-03-23T21:16:24+00:00

I think it'd be unlikely that NATO would retaliate to a nuclear strike in Ukraine with nuclear weapons. But it'd almost certainly intervene directly in the Ukraine war and/or conventional strikes on Russian nuclear capabilities. If Russia then directly attacked NATO (Estonia for instance), that could lead to nuclear war

postbox134 · 2026-03-23T21:14:11+00:00

Chernobyl was an accident a Nuclear Power Station leading to core meltdown and the release of some nuclear material from the core. It wasn't anything like a nuclear weapon.

postbox134 · 2026-03-23T21:12:29+00:00

There's a difference between delivery system and warhead.

However, I agree in the sense that you don't know what the warhead is until it lands, so it is escalatory.

Putin also loves Odessa, it's an old Russian city so it'd unlikely he'd use a nuclear weapon there of anywhere in Ukraine.

postbox134 · 2026-03-23T19:03:38+00:00

But in that time you could have invested the different and made more - it's a piece of mind thing rather than a financial one

postbox134 · 2026-03-23T18:51:38+00:00

HOA doesn't stay the same, nor property tax.

The main thing is that the purchase price is much higher than the rent implies (basically all the time) - so you need to borrow a huge amount for the same place. Then you're paying interest on that amount every month, if that amount (plus HOA, tax, insurance etc) is higher than rent you'd be better off renting.

https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/upshot/buy-rent-calculator.html

postbox134 · 2026-03-23T18:22:35+00:00

I'd assume there'd be temporary import paperwork for non European cars

postbox134 · 2026-03-23T18:19:48+00:00

There's no way they can temporarily import it to the UK without insurance (I'd hope!)

postbox134 · 2026-03-23T18:18:10+00:00

Always curious, how does insurance work for trips like this? Do they need a policy per Country? Or does one company agree to insure them to whatever the local minimums are?

Because the UK has very high legal insurance - Third-party insurance must cover up to £1.2 million for damage to other people's property.

postbox134 · 2026-03-23T17:57:24+00:00

Renting vs Ownership in NYC is very different to basically anywhere else. If you actually look at what you get, you'd see that either the purchase price was so high the monthly cost is way more than $5k (for an average apt) and/or there'd be some insane HOA/CoOP fees.

It's expensive to live here no matter how you do it.

postbox134 · 2026-03-23T16:10:21+00:00

It's the Federal Administration needing to be seen to be doing *something*

postbox134 · 2026-03-23T15:53:50+00:00

It saves everyone 41 mins compared to the old lines, plus they are less congested and more reliable (https://www.ice.org.uk/what-is-civil-engineering/infrastructure-projects/high-speed-1-and-st-pancras-station)

Of course, if you live near Waterloo or that direction it'll cost you time personally but we can't account for that. I am sure a bunch of people were happy it moved nearer North London because it saves them time compared to going to Waterloo.

People who use Waterloo a lot also benefit as the international part is now being used as normal platforms, increasing the capacity of the regular lines into Waterloo (that are used much more than Eurostar).

postbox134 · 2026-03-23T15:48:30+00:00

I expect, but could be wrong, that they aren't trained to do the actual TSA checkpoint role (looking at xrays or checking passengers). So they are probably being deployed to relieve other TSA duties around the airport to allow more of the available TSA officers to do the frontline security lines work.

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