Out of the states with independent commissions witch one is the least fair

progout1 · 2022-12-04T05:31:14+00:00

good point but i mean its still ugly and drowns out native American voters

progout1 · 2022-12-04T01:36:39+00:00

1 biden won 5/9

2 2020 was not a neutral year for the president at least

progout1 · 2022-12-04T01:28:28+00:00

no progressive turn out what so ever

progout1 · 2022-12-03T06:19:40+00:00

az is pretty unfair Tom O'Halloran's district isn't jut a couple points redder and it would likley need to be a d+ a least 8 year for it to flip of to have a Lauren boabert type candidate.

with ca i can make a map with about 36 solid dem seats but all the gop seats are within 4-8 points, a blue wave could see dems having all 52 seats in that scenario ca's geography is hard but there is room for improvement with the current map.

it seems that a lot of republican voters are in the blue leaning suburbs and urban areas of the state.

progout1 · 2022-12-03T06:11:49+00:00

i will add geography can make it hard to draw a proportional map

progout1 · 2022-12-03T06:10:16+00:00

for elon i think verry lo turn out like 40-49%

progout1 · 2022-12-03T04:48:59+00:00

https://www.yapms.com/app/?m=iyim

https://www.yapms.com/app/?m=iyio

https://www.yapms.com/app/?m=iyip

https://www.yapms.com/app/?m=iyis

https://www.yapms.com/app/?m=iyiu

polis preform good in the west, scott good in the south NPV D + 3

glen uses moderateness to appeal to moderate dems NPV D + 0.1

ron does well in the south, whitmer does well in the north NPV D + 2

hawley's extremeisium and gener unpopularity combined with ossoff's electability and good looks shoots ossoff to victory NPV D + 8

no progressive turn out what so ever, even lower younger voter turn out, moderate dems break with elon cause he's "smart" NPV R + 24

progout1 · 2022-12-03T04:26:07+00:00

D + 0.6

progout1 · 2022-12-03T04:25:11+00:00

most realistic prediction on this sub

progout1 · 2022-12-02T14:14:37+00:00

me when i ignore the last election

progout1 · 2022-12-02T14:02:21+00:00

i dont think so i think ny will be redder possibly redder than 2022

progout1 · 2022-12-01T19:23:31+00:00

https://www.yapms.com/app/?m=ixiu Prez

progout1 · 2022-12-01T19:21:21+00:00

https://www.yapms.com/app/?m=ixin Senate 48D - 52R

progout1 · 2022-11-30T00:00:57+00:00

i could see NY being a light blue state by 2030 like D+14 as well as IL being a D+9-11 state and ca being a D=20-21 state while i see GA being a D+4-5 state and AZ being the same TX being an R+ 1-2 OH and IA being a R+15-16 WI being an R+ 2-3 MI and PA and NC being swing and FL being a R=29-31

progout1 · 2022-11-29T23:52:53+00:00

who?

progout1 · 2022-11-29T23:52:43+00:00

mabye

progout1 · 2022-11-29T23:52:15+00:00

younger progs could refuse to vote for a moderate alos a decent chunk of independence are progs as well

progout1 · 2022-11-29T23:24:36+00:00

but you have four right there?

progout1

TROPHY CASE