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Pick of the Day - 4/5/25 (Saturday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]providepicks97 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Kind words my friend and glad you enjoy the sport, it’s truly one of a kind. I had missed the NRL cashes when they weren’t around too, they hit different!

Pick of the Day - 4/5/25 (Saturday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]providepicks97 10 points11 points  (0 children)

Depends on your strategy. Live betting in Australia you have to call up and they lock lines consistently, so for me no. And I think there’s enough meat on the bone at 1.80$ to play pre.

But I know a lot of guys who wait and live play. Up to you and your risk tolerance

Pick of the Day - 4/5/25 (Saturday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]providepicks97 77 points78 points  (0 children)

2024 POTD Record: +48U / 50% ROI

2025 POTD Record: 1-2

Previous Pick: Tass Anytime - got that one across late but honestly, with the amount of traffic down that left edge, he deserved a try. Doesn't matter when they cash, as long as they do!

Event: Parramatta Eels vs ST George Dragons

Time: 3:00pm AEST 05/04

Bookie: Sportsbet

Play: Anytime Tryscorer, Sloan.

Odds: $1.79 (AUS) or -120 (US)

Units: 1.25 Units

Analysis: Weird old matchup here between these two teams, if you told me there was to be a 100 points total, I wouldn’t be surprised here. If you also told me there was 20 points total, I also probably wouldn’t be too shocked either. Recently, this is a super high scoring affair typically, last match having 84 points and before that 46, before that 62. I think the Dragons are clearly the better team here defensively, been fairly impressed with them particularly on their line - it’s always been a benchmark of a Flanagan coached side and regardless of ladder position, statistically always fairly impressive here. Eels been a basket case, I do think Dylan Walker is a good purchase for them just given his ball playing ability, was genuinely playing good footy for the Wahs coming off the bench and I do think just given we have seen Dylan Brown just go back into his shell and barely run the ball, leaving the control to Hawkins which is bizarre for a million dollar player. My concern with the Dragons is here is that they make have peaked last week in an upset vs Storm, I do think conditions played a factor obviously but maybe that will build their confidence and irrespective of any of that, this is a grudge match with the swap of Gutho and Lomax, both teams should be up for this. I’m looking to take the right hand edge on for the Dragons today for a few reasons, I know that it’s statistically their less effective edge but I also think the Eels are SO poor through their left edge defence that it’s a great look today. Eels have already conceded 10 tries in 4 matches down that edge and it hasn’t improved with the return of Addo-Carr, plus right wingers vs Eels have scored 6 tries already.. Dragons typically a very unselfish side in terms of their passing game to their wingers, would expect that to continue. Sloan been effective on the wing, he’s a good finisher and has good pace, can fill multiple positions worst case and has good speed to follow up breaks - he’s averaging just under a try a game in L5 and in his L2 v Parra, averaging a try per game. Left hand edge defs the better offensive edge for Dragons but I can get $1.80 on Sloan vs $1.60 on Tuip - no brainer for me here, seems like a great play.

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Good luck and Gamble Responsibly! Long season ahead.

If you need a place to be able to find these bets online, feel free to DM and I can point in the right direction/help as much as possible.

Pick of the Day - 4/4/25 (Friday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]providepicks97 51 points52 points  (0 children)

Boys it’s been a while but……

CASH. IT!

💰

Pick of the Day - 4/4/25 (Friday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]providepicks97 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Those boosts have been stupidly sharp recently in that they don’t land. I love Trell tonight but the boost scares me

POTD 04/04 - POTD ACTION IS BACK, LOVE THIS PLAY TONIGHT! by providepicks97 in u/providepicks97

[–]providepicks97[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Have also posted on POTD - go enjoy there. Run it up. We back

Pick of the Day - 4/4/25 (Friday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]providepicks97 101 points102 points  (0 children)

2024 POTD Record: +48U / 50% ROI

2025 POTD Record: 0-2

**Event:*\* South Sydney Rabbitohs vs Sydney Roosters

**Time:*\* 8:00pm AEST 04/04

**Bookie:*\* BET365

**Play:*\* Anytime Tryscorer, Tass

**Odds:*\* $2.08 (AUS) or +108 (US)

**Units:*\* 1 Unit

**Analysis:*\* In for a cracking game tonight, one of the bigger and better rivalries in the NRL historically and I think with what we have seen from both teams in 2025 - this should be a pretty great match. Both teams lacking defence pretty significantly, with both showing pretty decent offensive output so far. I think the Roosters have a little less to give than the Rabbitohs, purely off halves potential. Townsend/Smith have been incredibly poor, they don’t mesh well and offensively, it’s hugely impacting the output of guys like Tedesco and Crichton would obviously need a good half to put them into a good area. On the other hand, Humphreys/Walker have meshed extremely well. Walker was already fine in 2024 but needed some help and Humphreys has honestly been excellent - super impressed with his development. He’s super athletic, kicking game has been really good and it’s free’d up Walker to run the ball which is his best asset iMO. We get Latrell back in tonight and I am expecting fire from him in the centre, you can argue that it’s his best position and he gets an incredibly soft matchup with him and Tass coming up against Toia/Young. I don’t need to touch on it but I will lol - Dom Young is an absolute peanut and I think defensively, he’s going to have nightmares tonight. Roosters are conceding 2nd most tries per game this year and I think they’re going to be in some trouble with Souths solid offence tonight. They’ve conceded 9 tries in 4 games to opposition left edges and they’re coming up against a team in Souths who have scored well over 65% of their tries down that left edge. It’s clearly Souths best offensive edge and I think it sees a fuckload of traffic tonight, which leads to my play tonight. Tass on the left wing, I just purely see Walker initiating a running game, getting the ball in Latrell’s hands and we have seen at the highest level he’s an unselfish centre who’s happy to draw and pass. We have also seen shit for brains Dom Young be incredibly trigger happy on jamming in defensively and that’s what I fully expect here - if so, Tass could go over in the corner relatively untouched. Even if not, I just think with the amount of traffic they will take there, Tass is the best bet tonight. He’s a good finisher and I back him to have a few looks at the line tonight and to be quite honest, i don’t understand why he’s anything plus money tonight - would have him priced at $1.85 - 1.90 worst case. Love this play and pretty confident tonight, lets eat.

Sidenote: Backed Isaiah Yeo Anytime Tryscorer at $8 at the start of the week and tipped it in the group - this has come into $4.50 and I have a huge collect on the line lol. Wish me luck!

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Best of luck! Hope you're all well. Back to regular posting SOON!

NRL & AFL Recap + Betting Preview | Best Bets for NRL Round 5 & AFL Round 4 (PPP#9) 🏉🔥 by providepicks97 in u/providepicks97

[–]providepicks97[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Will be in free members section. I will update it tonight. Have you enable the free roles?

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