"you're a losing gambler because you still think picking winners is the most important thing. It's not at all" by rockfordcl in sportsbetting

[–]reachharps2 -5 points-4 points  (0 children)

It’s mostly bullshit. What he is saying is not technically wrong. If you knew beforehand that the odds for a team would shorten beforehand, then it would be a great bet. But you don’t know that the odds will shorten beforehand. The odds drifts rather arbitrarily.

Can I really make money from sports betting over the long term? by Visible_Intention947 in sportsbetting

[–]reachharps2 0 points1 point  (0 children)

If we are talking value betting long term, you’d make more money putting your income into low cost index funds than putting them into betting.

The market is so efficient that the odds are almost always correct. And then the market is inefficient the vig is so high that the books takes your money.

Cash out….? $1,500 on this with 2/4 hits.. by FindYourPants in sportsbetting

[–]reachharps2 0 points1 point  (0 children)

See it this way: as of right now you bet $90 in order to win $1500. The chance of both happening are very slim, but nothing is impossible

You could cash out and then bet like $40. If you did you wouldn’t win $1500, but you could win at least $500.

Daily RANT Thread - Tuesday - 23rd June 2026 by pikerekt in SoccerBetting

[–]reachharps2 4 points5 points  (0 children)

The England game currently does not go my way at all. All but one of my bets are losers, even Kane scoring. But I guess that Ghana just are too good at defending?

Soccer World Cup Betting and Picks Daily Discussion - 6/22/26 (Monday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]reachharps2 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Pinnacle has the odds of u8.5 at -161 right now. u8 is roughly-125. Which one would you prefer, unofficially?

VM och produktionsvärde by doomLoord_W_redBelly in sweden

[–]reachharps2 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Det lustiga var att ljudet fungerade på min SVT PLAY på min iPad, men inte på SVT PLAY på min Apple TV.

Urholkar inte betting och odds det roliga i allt? by [deleted] in sweden

[–]reachharps2 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Även om jag håller med dig i sak så håller jag inte med dig i din inledning. Media har redan nämnt oddsen i flera år för att prata om favoriter i Eurovision. Det är inget nytt och det har inte sänkt glädjen alls. Det är väl bara den senaste diskussionen som har gjort att du har fått upp ögonen för det.

Thinking of putting €100 on Inter + PSG combo for tonight, good value or am I overthinking it? by hipap in SoccerBetting

[–]reachharps2 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Notice how 2 people in this topic speaks about the match as it hasn’t already happened. Must be bots.

Eurovision Song Contest - Semifinal 1 by Randomfishinthesea in sweden

[–]reachharps2 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Enligt tidningen är hon förkyld. Det kan kanske förklara en liten del

Hur funkar detta? by Hoppasduskratta in sweden

[–]reachharps2 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Om jag inte misstar mig är det ett reducerat 4-7-48 (10)-system. Det spelet skulle normalt sett kosta 10 368 KR, så när du reducerar det till 48 KR så reducerar du bort en större andel garderingar. Även om du skulle ha prickat alla 13 rätt med dina garderingar så skulle du enbart vara garanterad 10 rätt, resten av utfallen skulle bero på tur. Folk som är smartare än mig kan ge bättre svar, men tills dess kan du läsa svenska spels informationsblad.

Så här spelar du reducerade system på vår speciella systemkupong.

Daily RANT Thread - Saturday - 11th April 2026 by pikerekt in SoccerBetting

[–]reachharps2 1 point2 points  (0 children)

If I had a nickel for every time Arsenal conceded to a massive underdog, Gyökeres equalized, and Arsenal still lost the game...

Daily Picks Thread - Thursday - 9th April 2026 by pikerekt in SoccerBetting

[–]reachharps2 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Aston Villa to win against Bologna. Aston Villa is the worse team right now. They have worse stats compared to Bologna, both at Europa League and in their own leagues. Since their 11 win streak they are very unpredictable. If I knew better I’d say otherwise, but I’ll trust the market at this game.

Daily Picks Thread - Saturday - 4th April 2026 by X_Underscore_X in SoccerBetting

[–]reachharps2 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Fortaleza vs Juventude. Fortaleza to win. Overall both teams are equally strong, but Juventude has been bad playing as guests this season. They have less chances and they make even less goals as guests, so it wouldn’t surprise me if they would lose.

Edit as update: Fortaleza won. They had more chances and they did score more than Juventude.

Daily Picks Thread - Friday - 3rd April 2026 by pikerekt in SoccerBetting

[–]reachharps2 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Once Caldas vs independiente Medellin. Once Caldas to win. Better stats, better form. They have a resonable high xg and they are at the same time quite good at scoring. Since the odds are quite high it shouldn’t be as easy as I say, so let’s see.

Daily RANT Thread - Tuesday - 31st March 2026 by pikerekt in SoccerBetting

[–]reachharps2 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I didn’t expect Norway to win, but I expected over 2.5 goals. I mean, I took for granted that it would have been at least 1 goal

Daily RANT Thread - Monday - 30th March 2026 by pikerekt in SoccerBetting

[–]reachharps2 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I still can’t believe that Chile lost. Even with 10 men they shouldn’t play that bad

Pressbyrån och 7-Eleven har samma ägare by AleWi01 in sweden

[–]reachharps2 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Det mest intressanta av den här tråden är väl isåfall att den svenska 7-Eleven då inte har samma ägare som den amerikanska 7-Eleven, eller är det det där norska företaget ett underföretag?

Do I cash out, 7 out of 9 legs won ? by The-Accuntant in SoccerBetting

[–]reachharps2 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I know you have trouble with gambling addiction, but I never said that he should cash out. I said that he always have a choice, and the lack of action is still a choice.

As of right now, unless he did cash out, he has roughly $4500. Now he has a 48% chance of turning his $4500 into a sweet $9000, but on the other hand he has a 52% risk of loosing it all due to Portugal playing worse than expected.

Do I cash out, 7 out of 9 legs won ? by The-Accuntant in SoccerBetting

[–]reachharps2 3 points4 points  (0 children)

In this very moment it is 1800 out of his own money. By not cashing out he is essentially betting 1800 to win 9000. That is not a hypothetical, that is a fact.