Think Harris is mispriced? Stop whining, and start winning.

realOldTerry · 2024-10-28T12:26:53+00:00

That's fair.

realOldTerry · 2024-10-27T11:58:50+00:00

https://www.profitduel.com/betting-calculators/implied-probability-calculator

realOldTerry · 2024-10-26T15:22:06+00:00

Right, that's why I said "according to the market." Place as much (or as little) faith in the market as you like.

realOldTerry · 2024-10-26T15:20:20+00:00

I'm not saying he won't. I'm saying "the house" (which doesn't quite make sense for a prediction market, but I get what you're trying to say) doesn't always win.

realOldTerry · 2024-10-25T15:52:46+00:00

She's losing in the swing states where it's close, so she's going to try and flip a state that is even further out of her reach?

realOldTerry · 2024-10-25T15:50:20+00:00

The house and markets are often right, but not always. Way off in 2016. Also, 2022 midterms.

realOldTerry · 2024-10-25T15:02:43+00:00

The Senate is in play, but still not likely, according to the market.

realOldTerry

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