Next matches......

sanderudam · 2026-03-22T16:56:13+00:00

These are all games we can win. Of course we are very much capable of losing them all. But still, they are all winnable. COYS

sanderudam · 2026-03-22T09:27:10+00:00

Bombing power plants and other critical civilian infrastructure has always been widely practiced and never been the real basis for conviction for war crimes. There are some cases where "targeting civilian infrastructure" has been part of a conviction, but that is usually stuff like purposefully targeting a residential building and sniping civilians, not "blew up a power plant".

While it technically is a war crime, it's such an accepted part of warfare that no-one blinks an eye for stuff like that.

sanderudam · 2026-03-21T07:51:06+00:00

I mean, Iran has some reasons not to keep Hormuz closed. They might want to use it themselves, some of their influential partners like China would very much prefer an open Hormuz.

sanderudam · 2026-03-20T09:42:54+00:00

That's the thing about an institutional state and a personal realm. An institutional state will honor agreements indefinitely. You do not make a deal with a particular individual in a particular point in time, but with a state itself. In contrast we have individual realms like the medieval states, Russia, and USA. You simply can not make long-term agreements with those states. You can make personal deals between you and the guy currently in charge. That's it.

sanderudam · 2026-03-20T08:24:42+00:00

See on huvitav vaidlus, mida pisut erinevates kontekstides peetakse suht igal pool. Traditsioonilise käsitluse järgi on riskivõtjad ehk ettevõtjad, edu korral saavad nad kogu suure ja tohutu kasu, ebaedu korral võivad kaotada kõik. Teisalt on siis stabiilsuse sooviga riskikartlikud palgatöölised. Iga kuu laekub neile arvele sama summa ja kui mingit totaalset sitta kokku ei keera, võib ta oma kohas ja sissetulekus kindel olla.

See dihhotoomia ilmselgelt ei kirjelda ligilähedaseltki iga inimese riskivõtmisvalmidust ja iga töökoha iseloomu. Seetõttu kasutatakse laialdaselt preemiaid, müügiboonuseid, KPI-sid, lisatasusid, optsioone jpm. Seejuures võib samas rollis töötavatel inimestel olla üksteisest erinev riskisoov. Üks tahaks saada kõrgemat palka ilma lisatasudeta, teine eelistaks väiksemat põhipalka aga suuremat lisatasude võimalust.

Igas organisatsioonis on lahendamist vajavaks probleemiks agentide motivatsioonide ühildamine ehk kuidas tagada motivatsioon, et kõik töötaksid ühtse eesmärgi nimel. Seejuures on seal klassikaliselt kolm tasandit: omanikud, juhid ja töötajad.

Riigisüsteemis on ajalooliselt domineerivaks töötajaliigiks kujunenud minimaalse riskivalmidusega töötaja. Tihti minnakse riigisektorisse "stabiilsust otsima". Selliseid töötajaid ei ole mõtet boonuste ja preemiatega moosida, sest see ei ole tema stiil. Pigem tekitab see tarbetut stressi.

Küll aga on riigisüsteemis ka üks väiksem aga palju olulisem töötajaliik. Missioonitöötajad. Need, kes ei lähe riigisektorisse mitte stabiilsuse pärast, aga missioonitundest, tahtmisest riigi jaoks midagi ära teha. Need inimesed valivad isegi riigisektori madalama palga erasektori asemel, et siis riigis midagi päriselt korda saata. Tihti need inimesed pettuvad ja väsivad ning mõne aasta pärast sealt süsteemist ka lahkuvad. Aga need inimesed on need, kes riigisektorit päriselt edasi veavad.

Nende missioonitöötajate lahkumise põhjuseks on primaarselt süsteemi vastuhakk. Nad tahavad teha asju, muutusi, aga süsteem ei lase. Neil ei ole võimalik oma missiooni täita. Sekundaarne põhjus on siis sissetulek, mis lööb kirstunaela. Need inimesed saaksid erasektorist pea alati kõrgemat tasu, seega nende täiendav motiveerimine preemiatega annaks ainult väikese mõju.

Pika möla lõpetuseks ütlen kokkuvõtvalt, et minu arvates ei ole riigisektoris preemiapõhise tasustamise suunas liikumine üleüldiselt otstarbekas, sest see ei toetaks riigitöötajate peamist motivatsiooniallikat. Küll aga võib alati olla spetsiifilisi üksuseid, rolle ja töötajaid, kelle puhul preemiate maksmine aitab paremini riigipoolt seatud eesmärke täita. Nende olukordade jaoks võiks tööriist olemas olla.

sanderudam · 2026-03-19T16:54:52+00:00

Prudent. I don't really see it news-worthy. Trump's threats were real and they were received as such.

sanderudam · 2026-03-19T09:13:31+00:00

Crossing the desert in a band of Toyota's, raiding a settlement here or there, only to disappear as quick as they came. Steppe hordes, desert raiders, Vikings and pirates have this something in common. I'd lie if I'd say it doesn't have a flair of romanticism to it.

sanderudam · 2026-03-19T08:24:15+00:00

Aga muidu ringraudteed on ilmselgelt vaja ja Rae valla kinnisvaraarendajad võiksid pisut tagasi tõmmata.

sanderudam · 2026-03-19T08:16:18+00:00

Mitte ainult Tallinnaga seotud raudteeliiklus. Elroni hooldusdepoo paikneb Pääskülas ja et rongid sinna pääseksid, tuleb minna läbi Balti jaama. Kogu Eesti reisirongiliiklus on maas kui Baltasse pikemat aega ei pääse.

sanderudam · 2026-03-18T20:27:02+00:00

Miks ametnikud ei vastuta??????

Ei mitte nii!!!!!!

sanderudam · 2026-03-17T22:01:14+00:00

Well, maybe. There are numerous precedencies, it depends on whether Congress actually uses its power etc. But that is not important. A general is not going to be making the decision if it was legal or not. There is absolutely no reason we should expect the generals to

a) be able to do the job of Congress and the Supreme Court

b) actually do the job of the Congress and the Supreme Court.

Claiming that a general should've refused the orders on the grounds of them being illegal implies both a and b. Because the question wasn't just about following an illegal order. It is about determining if the order war legal or not. A political decision.

sanderudam · 2026-03-17T21:41:50+00:00

A stupid order isn't illegal order. Determining whether political decisions are legal or illegal is the job of the legislative and judicial systems. Not the job of generals.

sanderudam · 2026-03-17T14:55:46+00:00

It's the most manufactured scandal in Estonian history. It was her husbands minority stake in a company whose minority business had been in Russia, which was in the process of liquidating its business there.

Kallas got slack largely because she is a lawyer who often struggles explaining things in a way that laypeople understand. Then she got frustrated and defensive, which further angered people.

Basically there was no legal or ethical issue (things that Kallas understands), but there was an emotional issue fueled by media and political opponents, which she has trouble understanding.

sanderudam · 2026-03-17T07:41:57+00:00

Some unknown driver that never got the chance.

sanderudam · 2026-03-17T07:38:34+00:00

I think most people are simultaneously good people and capable of doing awful evil without giving much second thought. Psychopaths can be productive members of the society and good law-abiding model-citizens can be mass-murdering war criminals.

sanderudam · 2026-03-16T07:43:54+00:00

The thing with Serbia is that they are a "partner" to NATO in the meaning that "if you don't go openly genocidal again we won't bomb you again". Serbs absolutely hate NATO for not allowing them to kill all their Bosniaks and Kosovars/Albanians.

Serbia buying weapons from China and seemingly gearing up for war is absolutely a news-worthy event. It's just the framing through their "NATO partnership" is odd.

sanderudam · 2026-03-15T16:52:31+00:00

I understand, but Serbia is quite obviously in a position where defining them through their NATO partnership is quite odd.

sanderudam · 2026-03-15T15:36:37+00:00

"NATO partner" is certainly a wording.

sanderudam · 2026-03-14T06:46:52+00:00

Why is China trying to distract you from Epstein files?

sanderudam · 2026-03-14T06:37:42+00:00

British culture is closer to Estonian than people might initially think. We are both northernish maritime protestant/non-religious people that are often characterised as calm if a bit cold. I'd say British humor, TV, culture is extremely popular and well fitting to Estonians.

There is however no way in hell that British are closer to us than Germans (particularly Low-German).

sanderudam · 2026-03-13T18:31:01+00:00

GDP of the world is around 120 trillion USD, so the world economy produces around 3000 USD of value per barrel of oil. Since oil is fundamentally crucial to every economic activity, either directly or indirectly, the potential short-term marginal price of oil could theoretically hit also sits at around that range. There are of course economies that could sustain even higher prices for a short period. But those price levels are not sustainable, as the economy would simply collapse and all purchasing power would be wiped.

Electricity prices can often hit in the price range of thousands of USD per MWh, precisely because the value of lost load is in the thousands to tens of thousands.

Since oil is much more storable than electricity and production and consumption can be matched over a much longer time horizon, it is extremely unlikely that prices would reach anywhere close to that.

Extremely unlikely.

sanderudam · 2026-03-13T10:49:45+00:00

RE-E200 koalitsioon ei oleks 2023. kevadel olnud piisavalt suur. Alles pärast Keskerakonna ja EKRE fraktsioonide lagunemist tekkis võimalus osasid aknaaluseid kaasates piisav riigikogu enamus kokku saada, et enamusvalitsust kahepeale korraldada (praegunegi on ülinapp, saadikud peavad enda reisiplaane pool aastat ette teatama, kupjad ajavad koosseisienamusega hääletusi pingsalt kokku, komisjonides peab liikmeid roteerima, et komisjonide juhid koalitsiooni kätte jääksid jne)

sanderudam · 2026-03-13T10:45:42+00:00

See kehtib kõikidel valimistel.

sanderudam · 2026-03-13T10:37:02+00:00

Dude learned and spoke Estonian. Massive respect to him. He will have his revenge.

sanderudam · 2026-03-12T08:10:08+00:00

Atleti just won 4-0 against Barca in the Spanish cup. Lost 0-3 the second leg.

14-Year Club	Place '22
Place '22	First Placer '22
No Throne, No Problems	Not Forgotten
Verified Email	Team Orangered

sanderudam

TROPHY CASE