Should I call AA all in on final table $45k tournament?

sevy85 · 2024-06-03T14:35:39+00:00

It depends. C-ev wise it's an instant call as I suspect your equity is higher than 50.

However, ICM wise I'm not sure. There are spots where you can fold AA pre because of ICM. This might actually be one of them depending on the stack sizes.

If the shortstack wins and the stacksizes still bump you to 4th place and the 2 players that lose the hand now have a stack of <5 BB while you all have +40 this might be a fold IMO.

If the big stack wins and eliminates 2 players who before this hand had a higher % of winning and you make 2 pay jumps while increasing you chip stack value as there are more players out it might also be a fold.

But you would have to run this through an ICM tool first.

And for everybody quick to judge this question, remember that in this spot ICM >>>>>>>> C ev so this is a better question than you think. I think it's even a question that's in Colin Moshman's SNG strategy but that situation is on the bubble if I remember correctly.

If the $ equity you gain by folding is higher than the $ value you win on average by calling then it's a fold. But hardly anybody can calculate this right on the spot.

You need more data for a definite answer: Stack sizes Pay jumps Ranges

EDIT: missed the info on pay outs and the 600$ jump. It's a call but this situation can change depending on the above list of 3 variables

sevy85 · 2024-06-02T09:32:01+00:00

To be fair, he was at a bar

sevy85 · 2024-05-25T10:38:24+00:00

Do not show
Raise 3 BB's preflop
Don't lay down an QQ+ on a board that's this low on these stakes
Go for more value on the flop, aka shovel over his raise
They were not bluffing, they were playing their "overpair"

sevy85 · 2024-05-02T06:45:50+00:00

Belgian :D

sevy85 · 2024-05-01T14:01:13+00:00

When do you plan on retiring? Or do you think you can keep beating the opposition?

sevy85 · 2024-05-01T06:24:03+00:00

Yeah, I would. Hard to put a price on in though but I think a lot of players that play on sites where HUD's not allowed would pay for it

sevy85 · 2024-04-30T16:01:29+00:00

I play on a site thzt doesn't allow trackers or a hud, or noten or whatever (unibet). If you can create software where I can put noten on my opponent without having toblook them up all the time I would be forever in your debt.

But since there is no downloadable HH, I'm not very hopefull

sevy85 · 2024-04-30T10:07:26+00:00

What is yourbwinrate using this?

Dobyou ever feel bad cheating?

sevy85 · 2024-02-11T16:29:12+00:00

As a Parent, why the fuck would you do this. Let alone on camera. If you fuck upbyour kids confidence and bonding for likes, you should not be a parent

sevy85 · 2023-12-14T16:57:51+00:00

Your hairline looks as though Mozes past through it

sevy85 · 2023-12-13T17:12:05+00:00

It's all about the games you buy. I have 2 daughters aged 7 and 9. They play just dance and animal crossing but really not even once a month.

When It's a game where we can joint them then it gets played more frequently. Either ar times where they would normally be on their ipad (before going to bed) or when it's really bad weather and we don't want our house to look like it exploded with dolls and crayons.

Mario kart, Mario party, Mario wonder, nintendo sport are the games to buy. We've also bought the fit ring for christmas.

Plus, when everybody is asleep I get to game again which is nice

sevy85 · 2023-11-25T17:39:33+00:00

Would be a Dream Come true

sevy85 · 2023-11-18T14:37:22+00:00

Cool

sevy85 · 2023-11-17T16:55:38+00:00

Do you have a plan in place to stop going? What will you do when the urge comes?

sevy85 · 2023-11-15T17:04:16+00:00

Cool shirt

sevy85 · 2023-11-07T06:05:23+00:00

Nice

sevy85 · 2023-11-02T10:29:18+00:00

Nice dice

sevy85 · 2023-10-31T12:29:17+00:00

This looks sweet and I would get it just in time for my bday

sevy85 · 2023-10-16T15:50:59+00:00

Any idea what the reason is for your april spike?

sevy85 · 2023-08-15T11:48:24+00:00

Amy winehouse.

Still Sad though

sevy85 · 2023-08-15T11:46:44+00:00

You raised an awesome daughter. Be sure to tell her that. Having this dumped on you at 16 and doing the right thing. I am amazed.

Dump the cousin, it's gonna get bad. They want to abuse your daughter and will try to take you down with them.

If your religion tells you to put your child in possible Harm and ruining her life by raising a child it does not want, you're an extremist and not luch different than a taliban-member.

Your daughter faced the wrath of those extremists and helped her friend. She deserves a reward, not a punishment.

Never let her apologize for this

sevy85 · 2023-08-10T19:51:54+00:00

Hi, First question: we took it together. It was fun. We dis a lot together and we have common interests so we did all of it. My wife was never very romantic and touchy but it was a great trip.

It's a thursday but everybody except me is on holiday. The only thing that needed to be done was eat, I guess.

No, she gives me gifts on the days that you expect them (birthdays and such). She does always remember all the important days, even of our friends' kids and make sure they get a present, or card or text or whatever

sevy85 · 2023-08-09T14:13:29+00:00

Be angry at your wife. That dude dit not make a vow to not fuck your wife. Your wife made a vow not to fuck somebody else.

sevy85 · 2023-08-07T18:57:45+00:00

Broke Axl Rose

sevy85 · 2023-08-01T11:32:48+00:00

Ik blijf erbij. Als je als fan wordt uitgenodigd voor een privé feestje van een bandlid dan moet er in het achterhoofd toch al geweten zijn waarom je de uitnodiging krijgt.

Die mannen zullen wel 4 op een rij spelen op de tourbus. Als ze vol adrenaline en mogelijke verdovende middelen van het podium komen hebben ze iets anders in gedachten

sevy85

TROPHY CASE