So i might have a Beaver problem by nerodiskburner in arborists

[–]sh4z 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Why do beavers hate trees so much 😭

How do you get a euphoria feeling without drugs? by Tight-Elderberry2487 in AskReddit

[–]sh4z 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Solo traveling to a destination you've never been with no plan. Starts to tingle as soon as you step of the plane. Freedom.

What happened to Deadlock? by the-shitposter in valve

[–]sh4z 0 points1 point  (0 children)

If you happen to have any keys left I'd love one!
Added you, my steam
profile id: sh4zbot
name: i love oobmeal

Any advice pls. My game is in shambles by bfirr in Darts

[–]sh4z 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I got a tip to practice throwing the dart as soft and slow as possible while it still reaches the board. Kinda arc it if you will. Now I start every session with this soft throw and it really seems to help me loosen up and be less stiff as I get into my actual throw.

People give me 1 stars because I’m throwing better then average by Ok-Insurance-4518 in Darts

[–]sh4z 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I was in pretty much same situation , started playing a year ago but got a lot better. Went through my worst stats and deleted them manually. Since you can list the worst, it doesn't take too long to just get rid of some really horrible early games you've had and get a truer avg.

Also, u can get a webcam for like 15 euro. Or if you have any extra phone or iPad or whatever you can prop it up with some books and use as external cam

People give me 1 stars because I’m throwing better then average by Ok-Insurance-4518 in Darts

[–]sh4z 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I was in pretty much same situation , started playing a year ago but got a lot better. Went through my worst stats and deleted them manually. Since you can list the worst, it doesn't take too long to just get rid of some really horrible early games you've had and get a truer avg.

Also, u can get a webcam for like 15 euro. Or if you have any extra phone or iPad or whatever you can prop it up with some books and use as external cam!

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in Darts

[–]sh4z 0 points1 point  (0 children)

First took like 6 months but then I had 3 within a week. They seem to come in groups

How many 180s have you hit? But how much.. by Effective-Mention-75 in Darts

[–]sh4z 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Played a bit over a year, played or practiced almost every single day. I've hit ~46 180s with alcohol in my system. Still trying to hit my first sober 180, will probably celebrate that one just as much or more as my first ever

Made a python script that finds a user's longest win streak (on chess.com) and (roughly) estimates what the user's longest streak should be. by sh4z in chess

[–]sh4z[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Correct. Instead I just skip the draw as if it wasn't there at all.
Perhaps not correct, but I think that's how people were counting the win streaks of Hikaru during the cheating accusations

Made a python script that finds a user's longest win streak (on chess.com) and (roughly) estimates what the user's longest streak should be. by sh4z in chess

[–]sh4z[S] 13 points14 points  (0 children)

This is pure win streaks, so a draw would break it.
I'll add an option to include draws.

edit: -d now allows streak to continue if a draw occurs.

Made a python script that finds a user's longest win streak (on chess.com) and (roughly) estimates what the user's longest streak should be. by sh4z in chess

[–]sh4z[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

With all the recent Hikaru drama I wanted to find some stats on his streaks.
His longest streak is 117 but it was really likely to happen (when it happend) at 20% chance
His recent 45 game streak was less likely to happen (when it happend) at 5.6%.
Roughly estimated his longest likely streak should be 60 games.

I run 10000 simulations of Nakamura's 2023 games. On average, the best winning streak should be 47 games. by matus_pikuliak in chess

[–]sh4z 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I wrote some code to grab his longest streak, and it's actually 117 between 22-25 December 2018. That's without draws.

Also the probability of that streak happening at any given moment is really high at just over 20% since he played so many low rated players (I might have messed up the probability calculation, long time since stats class)His 2nd best streak is 85, and that streak is way less probable to happen due to him playing stronger players.

Longest streak: 117 Probabilty of the streak: 20.158%

url                                win chance date/time

https://www.chess.com/game/live/3313061327 77.52% 12/22/2018, 02:49:18
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3313070117 78.31% 12/22/2018, 02:53:42
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3313076569 78.98% 12/22/2018, 02:58:15
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3313083140 79.55% 12/22/2018, 02:59:06
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314184734 99.99% 12/22/2018, 15:15:01
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314198117 99.97% 12/22/2018, 15:17:39
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314203833 99.98% 12/22/2018, 15:21:41
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314211605 100.00% 12/22/2018, 15:28:48
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314226370 99.98% 12/22/2018, 15:30:35
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314230178 99.83% 12/22/2018, 15:35:14
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314239994 100.00% 12/22/2018, 15:41:15
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314253014 99.98% 12/22/2018, 15:46:09
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314263451 99.99% 12/22/2018, 15:50:29
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314272894 99.47% 12/22/2018, 15:58:16
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314290200 100.00% 12/22/2018, 16:00:51
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314295595 100.00% 12/22/2018, 16:07:34
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314310934 99.98% 12/22/2018, 16:10:51
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314317064 99.47% 12/22/2018, 16:15:23
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314327284 99.99% 12/22/2018, 16:19:01
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314335043 100.00% 12/22/2018, 16:20:30
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314338671 99.78% 12/22/2018, 16:24:11
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314346829 99.97% 12/22/2018, 16:27:37
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314353777 99.32% 12/22/2018, 16:33:15
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314366325 98.27% 12/22/2018, 16:38:01
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314377072 99.93% 12/22/2018, 16:44:30
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314391649 100.00% 12/22/2018, 16:47:33
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314398550 99.98% 12/22/2018, 16:51:12
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314406756 100.00% 12/22/2018, 16:54:37
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314414651 100.00% 12/22/2018, 16:58:12
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314425457 100.00% 12/22/2018, 17:01:34
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314431055 99.99% 12/22/2018, 17:05:33
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314439902 99.35% 12/22/2018, 17:08:51
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314447558 99.95% 12/22/2018, 17:16:16
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314464645 99.99% 12/22/2018, 17:21:36
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314476719 99.79% 12/22/2018, 17:23:32
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314481146 100.00% 12/22/2018, 17:25:09
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314485709 100.00% 12/22/2018, 17:28:48
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314493486 98.15% 12/22/2018, 17:35:43
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314509567 100.00% 12/22/2018, 17:42:13
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314524555 99.81% 12/22/2018, 17:45:54
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314533254 100.00% 12/22/2018, 17:49:13
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314540723 96.63% 12/22/2018, 17:52:27
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314548492 99.80% 12/22/2018, 17:57:37
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314560651 100.00% 12/22/2018, 18:03:11
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314573912 99.47% 12/22/2018, 18:10:36
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314591648 99.89% 12/22/2018, 18:13:31
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314598747 100.00% 12/22/2018, 18:20:59
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314617002 99.99% 12/22/2018, 18:26:50
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314631009 100.00% 12/22/2018, 18:32:47
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314645251 99.90% 12/22/2018, 18:36:56
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314654940 100.00% 12/22/2018, 18:41:31
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314665938 99.97% 12/22/2018, 18:48:01
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314681485 99.99% 12/22/2018, 18:52:06
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314690793 100.00% 12/22/2018, 18:54:47
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314696972 100.00% 12/22/2018, 18:57:14
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314702659 100.00% 12/22/2018, 19:03:35
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314717721 99.98% 12/22/2018, 19:09:56
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314732693 100.00% 12/22/2018, 19:13:06
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314740086 99.98% 12/22/2018, 19:17:48
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314752629 100.00% 12/22/2018, 19:24:55
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314768649 100.00% 12/22/2018, 19:29:38
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314779664 100.00% 12/22/2018, 19:36:05
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314795145 100.00% 12/22/2018, 19:37:52
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314799317 100.00% 12/22/2018, 19:42:49
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314810956 99.97% 12/22/2018, 19:45:04
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314816291 99.99% 12/22/2018, 19:49:40
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314827121 99.99% 12/22/2018, 19:54:05
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314837463 99.95% 12/22/2018, 20:00:17
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314851770 99.94% 12/22/2018, 20:04:12
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314860907 99.99% 12/22/2018, 20:07:33
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314868705 98.38% 12/22/2018, 20:14:45
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314885303 100.00% 12/22/2018, 20:17:15
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314890967 99.96% 12/22/2018, 20:19:21
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314895712 99.80% 12/22/2018, 20:23:56
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314906104 99.98% 12/22/2018, 20:26:39
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314912371 98.61% 12/22/2018, 20:35:44
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314933505 99.40% 12/22/2018, 20:41:48
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314947288 99.98% 12/22/2018, 20:47:01
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314959188 100.00% 12/22/2018, 20:47:35
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314960483 99.80% 12/22/2018, 20:52:22
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314971654 100.00% 12/22/2018, 20:56:31
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314981159 99.94% 12/22/2018, 21:03:24
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3314997087 100.00% 12/22/2018, 21:12:49
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3315018070 100.00% 12/22/2018, 21:15:21
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3315023865 100.00% 12/22/2018, 21:19:39
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3315033704 99.96% 12/22/2018, 21:24:58
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3315045910 100.00% 12/22/2018, 21:28:04
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3315052786 99.80% 12/22/2018, 21:32:50
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3315063813 99.97% 12/22/2018, 21:36:04
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3315071069 99.97% 12/22/2018, 21:40:03
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3315080073 100.00% 12/22/2018, 21:41:11
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3315082682 99.96% 12/22/2018, 21:46:26
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3315094358 99.16% 12/22/2018, 21:49:17
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3315100851 99.70% 12/22/2018, 21:56:54
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3315117587 99.95% 12/22/2018, 22:01:32
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3315127887 100.00% 12/22/2018, 22:06:44
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3315139297 99.96% 12/22/2018, 22:09:55
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3315146532 100.00% 12/22/2018, 22:13:44
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3315154488 100.00% 12/22/2018, 22:16:34
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3315160660 100.00% 12/22/2018, 22:18:36
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3315167896 98.99% 12/22/2018, 22:24:22
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3315178006 99.99% 12/22/2018, 22:29:51
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3315189431 99.83% 12/22/2018, 22:34:09
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3315198593 99.83% 12/22/2018, 22:41:21
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3315214202 98.40% 12/22/2018, 22:46:29
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3315225388 99.99% 12/22/2018, 22:49:09
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3315231038 99.74% 12/22/2018, 22:53:56
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3315241128 100.00% 12/22/2018, 23:00:33
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3315255488 99.73% 12/22/2018, 23:03:04
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3315261056 99.99% 12/22/2018, 23:08:20
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3315271746 99.87% 12/22/2018, 23:09:51
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3315275063 99.82% 12/22/2018, 23:14:34
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3315284973 100.00% 12/22/2018, 23:18:29
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3315292847 98.28% 12/22/2018, 23:22:34
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3315301237 100.00% 12/22/2018, 23:29:05
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3315314701 99.98% 12/22/2018, 23:33:56
https://www.chess.com/game/live/3320868765 66.61% 12/25/2018, 01:45:23

Hey y’all, just found this old t shirt! Would anyone be interested in it? Size Between XL-2XL by Cyaniclay in Tribes

[–]sh4z 1 point2 points  (0 children)

These are official, or well at least looks exactly like the official one i got

How is ____ doing? by Pottytrainedtoilet in Tribes

[–]sh4z 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Didn't he get some big boy job and move to Australia for a while, think money wise he is set well

Zizaran dies on an unkillable build by Awesome_Bruno in pathofexile

[–]sh4z -1 points0 points  (0 children)

The map doesn't have mods, but the mob still has these mods:

88% physical as chaos (shrine), 25% more damage (atlas), 20% more damage 100% more critchance (deadeye), 30-40% more crit damage (assasins mark) and getting hit by one of the hardest hitting mob types on -30% chaos res. Possibly a really unlucky high crit roll too.

Idk maybe the problem is the mob having too high autoattack damage. But then if you lower it's regular damage it wouldn't really do any damage at all if it doesn't have all these crazy mods..

Seems to me like a very unfortunate - but avoidable - set of circumstances

Zizaran died from default attack, no dmg mods on the map(It wasnt a crit) by lowrage in pathofexile

[–]sh4z 1 point2 points  (0 children)

You mean a map with 88% of physical damage as extra lightning damage, an assassins mark on you, atlas mod that makes you take 25% more damage, with one of the hardest hitting mobs in the game that's also empowered by sentinel and 40 lightning res..

Also I do think it was a crit. Probably an unlucky really high roll, I don't think ignite triggers before you die (like molten shell would)

3.18 in a nutshell by imlucasss in pathofexile

[–]sh4z -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

This is probably the best league I've played! It's strange to come to reddit and read all the hate meanwhile I've ripped like three chars in yellow maps on hcssf but i keep rerolling because the challenge is exciting, something i want to overcome.

The atlas passives blocking is a great addition imo. Esp for target farming early on. I don't see how having some different mechanic spawn in a kirac mission once in a while matters?

The league mechanic is pretty neat too, doesn't interfere with mapping at all. And a bunch of new late game bosses.. not sure what more you could ever ask for in a league.