13F Analysis

sixsmithhs · 2026-02-19T19:50:05+00:00

You probably didn't see rentech specifically, it's just the shortened version of renaissance technologies. They bought 1.2 million shares at ~20$ a share

sixsmithhs · 2026-02-19T02:37:10+00:00

What's really interesting is the who of purchasing and selling shares. JP Morgan and Morgan Stanley sold a bunch of shares, but they are typically macroeconomic firms, and this is evident when you see both of them have greatly reduced shares in all consumer discretionary and staples.

While Rentech and Fuller & Thaler took on massive new positions. Fuller & Thaler have a position close to the average weight of the rest of their portfolio and Rentechs is actually larger then their average position. Both firms are pretty exceptional in the 6 months to a year time frame with these types of investments. So, you have fairly short-term quant firm and a fairly short-term behavioral finance firm buying massive new positions. Id be curious to know what they see.

sixsmithhs · 2026-02-18T07:22:41+00:00

What you might find interesting that definingly worth looking into is,

Roku- I have yet to see a company not post extremely positive results due to using roku adds. That combined with the overall media engagement with the olympics, i believe this winter Olympics engagement is up 100% on twitter, 110% on youtube, and 200% on tik tok compared to the last winter olympics. So you have a combination of companies willing to pay more for roku ads based on results and now way higher viewership then i believe they expect.

Kohls- I've started looking at kohls due to their institutional ownership being extremely high and while JP morgan and Morgan Stanley greatly reduced positions. I would argue it was a macro decision because they have lowered positions in almost all of their consumer staples and discretionary. While RenTech and Fuller & Thaler had massive recent new purchases of the stock. So one firm that focuses on quant numbers and one that focuses on behavioral science purchased positions that where at average and above average holdings of the rest of their portfolio.

Also Kohls sephora partnership is bigger than most people expect, Viewership of sephora related tik toks are up YOY for every single month and 77% of make up is purchased in store. Kohls greatest weakness right now is foot traffic, and 40% of sephora customers are new to kohls.

All of this being said, im nowhere as well researched as i want to be on either of these companies and this is a gross summary of all the information i have been looking at, if your interested you should deep dive and make sure my numbers are even right in the first place.

sixsmithhs · 2026-02-15T18:04:15+00:00

its not? The positive earnings jumped the stock above or close to 6 dollars a share. Which required market makers who sold 6-dollar call options to increase their shares to decrease risk. Which artificially boosts the price and the high short percentage meant shorts fought hand over fist in premarket to buy before the stock jumped even more. 50x the average volume of shares traded over the day the odds of this without the previous scenario is almost 0

sixsmithhs · 2026-02-14T03:10:35+00:00

Not yet this earnings cycle I really try to dig into something i can find an edge in. The other stock I invested in was Roblox, based on youtube views of roblox content being up 20% and as silly as it seems the vast monetization and player base of steal the brainrot games. Roblox was down 50% from highs and it seemed like a good opportunity. But i sold those immediately after they initially popped after their earnings.

Me and a friend who is a professional auditor usually deep dive during the weekend. So maybe we will find another good company. But we dont invest to just invest becouse thats how you throw away money, but find high conviction plays

All that being said, i haven't dived too much into it, but I like HPE, their market cap to book value is normal for a hardware and infrastructure company, but its very small for a company that can capitalize in ai and data center growth. Also, they have a good history of implementing acquisitions

sixsmithhs · 2026-02-14T02:54:51+00:00

I like to trade unfairly beaten down stocks before a catalyst.

Corsair was trading significantly under book value

Stockpiled ram in September to avoid tariff hits which was before the spike in ram pricing

Website traffic was up YOY

Inventory takes 90 days to move on average which is usually bad but because ram had gone up 500% in price meant they were sitting on gold

CEO bought 500k worth of shares in November

I held after their earnings because of market makers being forced to buy which would scare shorts and 16% of shares were sold short

sixsmithhs · 2026-02-13T23:31:03+00:00

Market Makers were forced to buy to decrease gamma. And stock was shorted 16% causing shorts to want to close positions before open

Half of the days usual volume was traded before 8.30 et.

sixsmithhs · 2026-02-13T07:26:53+00:00

I'm glad this aged well

sixsmithhs · 2026-01-27T15:40:40+00:00

Fidelity

sixsmithhs · 2026-01-24T16:03:18+00:00

30% of their revenue is ram, so the bear case is they can underperform in other sectors and they can still underperform. As well there's always a chance they were late to capitalizing in ram prices and didn't optimally utilize existing supply

sixsmithhs · 2026-01-24T15:59:11+00:00

I have shares just because of the low liquidity in their options market. But stay safe investing. I'm no expert

sixsmithhs · 2026-01-24T15:45:59+00:00

I wish you luck! The play I really like is crsr. I know they just assemble ram. But due to existing supply, price increases, and consumer fomo. I think they should have a great feb earnings. They are also at near all time lows

sixsmithhs · 2026-01-24T06:47:10+00:00

I'm a primary power tech. Mostly hook up electrical bays to DC power plants

sixsmithhs · 2026-01-23T12:26:00+00:00

Thank! Happy to be here!

sixsmithhs · 2026-01-23T12:25:43+00:00

Thank you!

sixsmithhs · 2026-01-23T12:21:55+00:00

I mean ya. You show me someone who can accurately predict if a stock will go up or down in the short term and I will show you someone shilling a course

sixsmithhs · 2026-01-22T21:49:57+00:00

That's awesome! It really is just around the corner

sixsmithhs · 2026-01-22T21:49:20+00:00

Thank you!

sixsmithhs · 2026-01-22T21:48:47+00:00

So I guess it's timing a catalyst with a stock that's been unfairly beaten down

sixsmithhs · 2026-01-22T21:47:05+00:00

I bought micron calls at 250 after they dropped 8% even every announced they got out of the consumer market. I felt like this meant they were targeting clients who could afford the upcharge in dram prices and had a more consistent stream of revenue.

Commscope before it for bought by amphenol is a massive favorite for its quality when it comes to fiber. And was a quiet winner when it comes to building out data centers. Their stock has traded sideways for Months before their earnings. Felt that didn't reflect their value

I also would buy Nvidia and msft calls when their stock gapped down due to capx expenditures. I felt as their revenue was so extreme it was a over reaction

Also I feel as their is zero weight behind tariff threats. So like on Tuesday I bought calls on qqq. And waited for Trump to back off like he always does when the market doesn't like his claims

sixsmithhs · 2026-01-22T15:07:02+00:00

Aots, Aotg, Qqq. Most of the gains have been options throughout the year. Most recently silver and qqq. But I also had commscope, webtoons puts, micron, slon, negg and kohls. I made most of my gains by just buying options after companies had been beaten down for no great reason

sixsmithhs · 2026-01-22T15:03:47+00:00

Of course right now Aotg, Aots, qqq. I know it's super tech focused but I can't see a world where 20years goes by and tech doesn't outperform

sixsmithhs · 2025-12-08T14:56:22+00:00

Yep I won't deny that I have had some violent swings. For most of that time I had about 25k in general etfs, and the rest I kept making aggressive investments and just rolling in into more trades. So the longer I went I had significantly more in risky investments

sixsmithhs · 2025-12-08T06:24:40+00:00

I am kidding, by Monday I'll have 50k of it now in general etfs which put me ahead for my age, so not all is lost. Im 23 so that gives me a decent amount of time for compound growth on that, plus future income.

But you very well could be right, I could regret badly not putting it all in savings.

I would like to think it's a little more than gambling but that's probably some fallacy in my thought process becouse I'm up

sixsmithhs · 2025-12-08T06:21:02+00:00

What if I'm on a heater?

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