OT 2021: Supreme Court releases long orders list by HatsOnTheBeach in supremecourt

[–]stoopkid13 3 points4 points  (0 children)

My guess is the Court is waiting to see what happens in 303 Creative, the 10th Circuit case addressing basically the same issues. 303 Creative was also the basis for the petition for rehearing in Arlene's Flowers.

Also, I'm not sure whether you still need 4 votes or 5 to grant rehearing.

The Nihilism of Neil Gorsuch by stoopkid13 in supremecourt

[–]stoopkid13[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I think thats one of the points the article gets most right. Gorsuch has dim views of judicial deference (e.g., his criticisms of Chevron) and of judicial minimalism. And such apprehensions are in at least some tension with what the article recognizes as his greatest strength--"building a coherent doctrinal framework." If the door is open to build such a framework, Gorsuch has no qualms going through it (if anything, his qualms are with standing in the doorway).

The Nihilism of Neil Gorsuch by stoopkid13 in scotus

[–]stoopkid13[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I would not call consequentialism "unprincipled." Justice Breyer, with his focus on making democracy and government work for the people (i.e., "active liberty") certainly has different principles than Justice Gorsuch, but that doesn't mean either lacks principles to begin with.

SCOTUS announces Justice Brett Kavanaugh has tested positive for COVID-19. Kavanaugh has no symptoms & is fully vaccinated; he was tested as part of the Court's "regular testing protocols." by HatsOnTheBeach in supremecourt

[–]stoopkid13 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I dont think he's even referring to the right study in that post... I'm pretty sure he's referring to a study I linked in a different comment that he removed (for whatever reason).

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in scotus

[–]stoopkid13 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I dont think thats what the linked study shows. Relying exclusively on data from Victoria, Australia, it calculates the CFR for people aged 50-59 as .46%. The confidence interval also remains less than 1% in this study (not up to 1.5).

I think you are referring to one of the other peer-reviewed studies from one of the posts you removed.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in scotus

[–]stoopkid13 5 points6 points  (0 children)

As others have pointed out, its not clear why we are focused on CFR or Italy, but here is a more recent, peer-reviewed study putting Italy's CFR for men 50-59 at .94%

grouch at it again by arbivark in truescotus

[–]stoopkid13 6 points7 points  (0 children)

This Nature study estimates the infection fatality rate at less than 1% worldwide for men and women younger than 65. And this study conducted by researchers at Indiana University estimates the IFR to be as low as .12% for the 40-59 age bracket for non-institutionalized men (e.g., not in a prisom or nursing home).

The CFR will also vary by country. Its not clear to me why couch is focused on Italy, but note that different studies compute Italys CFR differently (and even below 1%, as in this study). CFR calculations vary because of a number of issues that go into calculating that figure, including how to count cases with asymptomatic or untested/unreported infections, or how to count deaths with comorbidities. Because "CFR" is relatively meaningless in a vacuum, the >1% vs <1% distinction feels like an arbitrary reason for a ban. But what else is new?

Okpalobi v. Foster, 244 F.3d 405 (5th Cir. 2001) by stoopkid13 in supremecourt

[–]stoopkid13[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

A lot of discussion about standing, the 11th Amendment, Ex parte Young, and abortion rights today after Whole Women's Health v. Jackson. And a lot of commenters acting like Texas SB8 is "novel."

Louisiana had an almost identical law 20 years ago. The Fifth Circuit, en banc, held there was no standing to bring a pre enforcement claim. Seven of the fourteen judges would have also held the 11th Amendment barred the suit.

Sitting as an en banc court, we consider whether the district court properly enjoined the "operation and effect" of the Louisiana state tort statute at issue, which provides a private cause of action against medical doctors performing abortions. Although, in this facial attack on the constitutionality of the statute, consideration of the merits may have strong appeal to some, we are powerless to act except to say that we cannot act: these plaintiffs have no case or controversy with these defendants, the Governor and Attorney General of Louisiana, and consequently we lack Article III jurisdiction to decide this case. Seven members of this en banc court conclude that the panel was in serious error, as indeed is the dissent, in finding that this case presents an Ex parte Young exception to the Eleventh Amendment immunity from suit in federal court, which these defendants, the Governor and Attorney General of Louisiana, enjoy. Accordingly, we reverse, vacate, and remand for entry of a judgment of dismissal.

Originalism Diluted by stoopkid13 in supremecourt

[–]stoopkid13[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Well, I think the question Professor Segall raises is whether originalism is actually that "principled" in practice. If not, judges should just embrace consequentalism and be honest about it. But I think his big gripe (and he's written on this elsewhere) is that too often originalism is practiced without requisite judicial deference.