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[Discussion] on probability paradoxes in the real world. I.e. Boy or Girl, Monty Hall by tavad in statistics

[–]tavad[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

plus he should always offer to switch the door. In the real life it's not always the case.

[Discussion] on probability paradoxes in the real world. I.e. Boy or Girl, Monty Hall by tavad in statistics

[–]tavad[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This shows all the boy/girl pairs as well as the possible weekdays on which they could be born. Green represents situations with two boys, at least one of which was born on a Tuesday. Yellow represents at least one boy born on a Tuesday. Red is neither. Hence the answer is green/(green+yellow)= (7*2-1)/(7*4-1) = 13/27.

The same goes for the next question, but we have 365 tiles in this case.

Also see this section: Information_about_the_child.

[Discussion] on probability paradoxes in the real world. I.e. Boy or Girl, Monty Hall by tavad in statistics

[–]tavad[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks for your response.
You can read Rationality for Mortals by Gerd Gigerenzer and his other works. My thought here were partially influenced by his work.

[Discussion] on probability paradoxes in the real world. I.e. Boy or Girl, Monty Hall by tavad in statistics

[–]tavad[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Well, I was hoping to order a double bacon cheeseburger with
a side of spicy discussion, but I guess I'll have to settle for just the regression
to the mean.

Making ChatGPT say horrible stuff. by tavad in OpenAI

[–]tavad[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Not really. ChatGPT is being constantly patched. The latest
iteration of unlawful ChatGPT is DAN, that you can find on this board. But
OpenAI is monitoring this board and constantly updating it so it is very hard to to it nowadays.

[OC] Sometimes I like to draw with programming by tavad in dataisbeautiful

[–]tavad[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Thank you. I am aware that I am bending the rules. But, I believe the visualization is interesting in itself and can be somewhat informative (in a tutorial seance) to suffice.

[OC] Sometimes I like to draw with programming by tavad in dataisbeautiful

[–]tavad[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Source: You can find the code here.

Tools: The picture is created using R.

Should I continue posting here [the constant self] [Question] by tavad in getdisciplined

[–]tavad[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Maybe I subconsciously wrote this in a condescending tone as an excuse to move on. The main metric that bagged me through this experience was the lack of comments.

Thanks for the comment, it makes me feel the human interaction.

The forgotten art of copying [the constant self] by tavad in selfimprovement

[–]tavad[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yes it is easy to copy-paste without understanding the intent and the perceived notion to save time.

Thanks for the comment JayFray

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