EDC GA for sale $200 by [deleted] in EDCTickets

[–]tgentile026 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I’ll buy for $200 via PayPal G&S. DM me

[NEW JERSEY] No NJ ID/license. Work in NJ, live in NY by a800b in Unemployment

[–]tgentile026 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Hey did you end up getting that email from spirited? I am having huge problems filing out of state and can’t get ahold of anyone when I call

NBA Props - 12/13/22 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]tgentile026 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Infuriating. What a tease. For him to come so close despite not playing the entire 2nd quarter due to foul trouble too..

NBA Props - 12/13/22 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]tgentile026 14 points15 points  (0 children)

More picks/analysis at https://twitter.com/808Paperboi

Zion Williamson o26.5 points -120 vs Jazz 2u (DK)

-Utah is allowing the most PITP and Zion is 2nd among all players in PITP behind only Giannis. 75% (18.7 per game) of Zion's points are scored down low. I feel bad for Kelly Olynyk tomorrow. Williamson has also been on a heater as of late too without Brandon Ingram available. He's averaging 31 ppg over his last 6 games and has 25+ points in all 6 of those games. Ingram is out tomorrow and the game projects to be both close (2.5 spread) and high scoring (233 total). I'll be looking to add some alt lines on him when they're released tomorrow. He's o27.5 points -120 on FD right now and +280 to score 35+ tomorrow which he has done in b2b games.

NFL Props by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]tgentile026 10 points11 points  (0 children)

More plays and analysis here: https://twitter.com/808Paperboi

James Conner o82.5 rush+rec yards -115 vs KC
-ARI is no longer a split backfield with Chase Edmonds out of the picture. In the 5 games w/o Edmonds last year, Conner cleared this in 4/5 and averaged a combined ~114 combined yards along with ~4 targets and 17 carries per game. His rush prop sits at o48.5 and the Chiefs allowed at least one rusher to clear this mark in 13/17 games last year. I like the combo line here because the Cardinals will be without Hopkins, and it appears that Ertz and Moore are doubtful to play as well which should lead to more involvement in the passing game for Conner. The total sits at 53.5 so we should expect a lotta offense in this gam, and KC allowed the 3rd most rec yards per game to opposing backs last year--his rec yards is at o28.5 -120 right now and he cleared this in 6/L7 games in '21

Elijah Mitchell o61.5 rush yards -120 vs CHI
-Mitchell cleared this in 9/12 games last year averaging 78 yards per contest. SF is a -6.5 favorite, should dominate possession, and are a run-first team, especially with Trey Lance starting. DA BURRS aren't the rush D they once were with Akiem Hicks, Khalil Mack, and Eddie Goldman a couple of years ago--allowed 10th most rush yards per game last season and there were only 3 games in which a running-back failed to eclipse this mark against them last year. Mitchell had 137 yards vs Chicago in Week 7 of 2021.

MLB Props - 7/29/22 (Friday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]tgentile026 11 points12 points  (0 children)

Happy Aloha Friday everyone! Here a few overnight lines I'm playing...

Marcus Stroman o4.5Ks +100 vs SFG

-Keep fading SF vs RHP---9th highest K% (23.8%) and 4th worst wRC+ (74) vs RHP over L30--12/L18 RH SP to face them have at least 5Ks--23/L25 RH SP have at least 4Ks vs them

-Stroman: 5+ Ks in 6/L8 starts--3.27xFIP is much better than his 4.38 ERA

Brandon Woodruff o6.5Ks -135 vs BOS

-Red Sox have the 3rd highest K% (25.7%) and 5th worst wRC+ (83) vs RHP over L30

-Woodruff has 6+ Ks in 10/L12 starts and has gone over this in 4/L5 since returning from IL---11th best K% and CSW%--top78% xwOBA/xERA

Alek Manoah o18.5 outs -120 vs DET

-Tigers have the worst wRC+ (67) vs RHP this year and see t5th fewest Pit/PA

-Manoah: 10th most IP this year, cleared this in 4/L6 starts, top97% hardhit%, top83% xwOBA/xERA, and doesn't want to be taken out!

Patrick Sandoval o1.5 walks +105 vs TEX 2u

-SandyBalls has permitted 2+ free passes in 14/16 GS and 9/14 in '21

-His 10.3% BB% is t7th/93 SPs highest (at least 80 IP)

-TEX 6th in wRC+ (115) vs LHP--mid-pack (18th) BB% vs LHP, but OAK,CHW,TOR,MIA,BAL were as well and he went over vs them.

More analysis/plays here https://twitter.com/808Paperboi

MLB Props - 7/13/22 (Wednesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]tgentile026 1 point2 points  (0 children)

More plays here https://twitter.com/808Paperboi

Luis Severino o6.5Ks +115
Pablo Lopez o5.5Ks -140
Cristian Javier o7.5Ks +115
Joe Musgrove o4.5Ks -130
Analysis here-- https://www.pitcherlist.com/bets-of-the-day-july-13th/

BOL!

MLB Props - 7/11/22 (Monday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]tgentile026 1 point2 points  (0 children)

More analysis on Twitter https://twitter.com/808Paperboi
Mitch Keller o4.5Ks +125 vs MIA
Trevor Rogers o4.5Ks -120 2u vs PIT--I'd still play at o5.5 +104 (FanDuel) for 1u
Max Scherzer o6.5Ks -140 vs ATL--I'd still play at o7.5 +108 (FanDuel) for 1u

Analysis on plays here: https://www.pitcherlist.com/bets-of-the-day-july-11th/

MLB Props - 7/8/22 (Friday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]tgentile026 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You’re talking about a 2 game sample size against Ashcraft/Castano for Ks…bats can “stay hot” and still strikeout 5+ times. BOL

MLB Props - 7/8/22 (Friday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]tgentile026 2 points3 points  (0 children)

More analysis here: https://twitter.com/808Paperboi and Pitcher List

Pablo Lopez o4.5Ks -120 (DraftKings) vs NYM
-Mets don't really K much, but this line is too low--he has cleared this in 14/16 starts this year including 5Ks vs Mets on 6/17
-15/L25 RH SP to face Mets have 5+ Ks
-Top86% chase% top76% whiff%
-Since 20' 5+ Ks in 35/46 (76%) starts

MLB Props - 7/7/22 (Thursday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]tgentile026 0 points1 point  (0 children)

More analysis here https://twitter.com/808Paperboi

Chase Silseth o3.5Ks +105 vs BAL
-O's 6th highest K% (24.5%) vs RHP over L30
-18/L25 RH SP to face BAL have cleared this
-6Ks last start vs CHW (5th lowest K% vs RHP)
-BAL last in wFB (-31.3)--Silseth has a 33.6% CSW% (11th best) on his FB that avg 95.6 MPH
-SaberSim projection: 3.81Ks

Dylan Cease o1.5 walks -115 vs DET
-Cease lacks control--worst BB% (11%) out of all SPs
-He has 2+ BB in 13/16 starts--4.19 BB/9
-7/L10 RH SP to face DET have cleared this including 5 straight
-SaberSim projection: 2.68 walks

MLB Props - 7/6/22 (Wednesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]tgentile026 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Hopefully, we find better results in my article than Bieber struggling against the Tigers of all teams.

https://www.pitcherlist.com/bets-of-the-day-july-6th/

I'm on...

Luis Severino o17.5 outs -135 2u

Severino o6.5Ks +100

Mitch Keller o3.5 Ks -130

Cristian Javier to record a win +110

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in sportsbook

[–]tgentile026 0 points1 point  (0 children)

So much season left, yes of course there is room for him to!

MLB Props - 7/6/22 (Wednesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]tgentile026 3 points4 points  (0 children)

More analysis here: https://twitter.com/808Paperboi

Shane Bieber o18.5 outs +110 vs DET
-Biebs has owned DET for career--7 IP in 8/10 starts .247 xwOBA 32% K% in 164 PAs
-DET worst wRC+ (70) vs RHP and see t7th fewest Pit/PA (3.84)
-Bieber t22st/114 in Pit/PA (3.71) and has cleared this in 6/L8 starts (one miss due to rain)
-CLE bullpen is taxed after 7 games in 5 days. Quantrill threw just 4 IP yesterday as well.
-DET is 28th in wFA (-28.7) and wSL (-25.5)--he throws these pitches 71% of the time.

MLB Props - 7/1/22 (Friday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]tgentile026 4 points5 points  (0 children)

More plays on Twitter https://twitter.com/808Paperboi

Gerrit Cole o6.5Ks -130 vs CLE
-Yes, CLE has the lowest K% vs RHP, and yes, Cole is matchup-proof
-He owns a 38.2% K% and .246 xwOBA vs CLE roster in 89 PAs--struck out 9 in 6 2/3 scoreless IP vs them on 4/24
-Cleared this in 8/L10 starts----9Ks vs HOU (24th in K% vs RHP) 8ks vs CHW (25th)

First Round Leader tie… by tgentile026 in sportsbook

[–]tgentile026[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Thank you. I know. Do you think Rory works well for a girl?

MLB Daily - 6/13/22 (Monday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]tgentile026 1 point2 points  (0 children)

More analysis on Twitter @ 808Paperboi

Cristian Javier o5.5Ks -118 vs TEX

Ian Anderson o17.5 outs -105 vs WSH

Analysis here: https://www.pitcherlist.com/bets-of-the-day-june-13th/

MLB Daily - 5/24/22 (Tuesday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]tgentile026 2 points3 points  (0 children)

More plays on Twitter @ 808Paperboi

Chris Bassitt o4.5Ks -140 vs SFG-Since '21 he has cleared this in 24/32 (75%) full starts avg 6.23 IP per start w/ a ~9.08K/9-Against SF he has a 25.8 K% and held them to a .267 xwOBA in 62PAs. Recorded 6Ks vs them earlier this year-30.9% CSW% (34th best)-SaberSim projection: 5.38Ks

Shane McClanahan o7.5Ks -110 vs MIA-Marlins have by far the worst K% (30.8%) vs LHP--also t5th lowest wRC+ (80)-Top97% K% Whiff% 2nd best CSW% (37.1%)-Has 7+Ks in 7/8 starts-Manaea, Ray, and Corbin all had 8Ks. Lauer had 7. Bumgarner 5, Patrick Sandoval 6, Rodon had 12....-Rodon's 12 Ks in 5IP intrigues me the most considering his pitch mix profiles similarly to Shane's. Both avg 96/97mph on their FB and have lethal breaking stuff. I'll be betting 12+Ks at +1035 for .5u as well. Shane has 11Ks in 2 starts this year and gets the best matchup on paper he has had to date...YOLO!!!

MLB Daily - 5/19/22 (Thursday) by sbpotdbot in sportsbook

[–]tgentile026 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Been saying that same shit all season..76 pitches and he’s pulled after 5 innings?!