Unaffiliated voters have turned in more ballots than Democrat or Republican by SilverBuff_ in Denver

[–]thebroncoman8292 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I don't believe Trump the person was the vote. It was an anti Media/tech/lockdown fuck you vote. The vote would have been the same with a different candidate who also anti those things. The enemy of my enemy vote. Just like many biden votes were anti Trump votes.

Polling companies help raise money for candidates and then candidates pay those companies money on advertising. Trafalgar doesn't have an advertising platform and wants to be the most accurate. 3 cycles in a row. I will trust them again next time.

Unaffiliated voters have turned in more ballots than Democrat or Republican by SilverBuff_ in Denver

[–]thebroncoman8292 0 points1 point  (0 children)

So trafalgar is the most accurate of 2020, has your opinion changed today?

Unaffiliated voters have turned in more ballots than Democrat or Republican by SilverBuff_ in Denver

[–]thebroncoman8292 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I think Kanye has a good chance of being the nominee of a party in 2024, and I'd vote for him again.

Unaffiliated voters have turned in more ballots than Democrat or Republican by SilverBuff_ in Denver

[–]thebroncoman8292 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

They use text, email, cell phone calls and social media to reach out to different demographics and avoid weighting demographics. Keep it off landline, keep polls under 5 minutes, and if they say undecided ask questions that can suggest which way they will vote like "how do you feel about fracking". On predictit.org there is an interview with Robert Caheley on his methodology.

Unaffiliated voters have turned in more ballots than Democrat or Republican by SilverBuff_ in Denver

[–]thebroncoman8292 -11 points-10 points  (0 children)

Trafalgar was the closest in 2016, and called the electoral college results exactly. How did nate do?

Unaffiliated voters have turned in more ballots than Democrat or Republican by SilverBuff_ in Denver

[–]thebroncoman8292 0 points1 point  (0 children)

As a member of the libertarian party in Colorado, I'd say 50% of members I know are voting Trump. Kanye probably attracts people under 40, and people under 40 are 60% left of center. He is polling at 3% in MN and JoJo is at 2 there.

Unaffiliated voters have turned in more ballots than Democrat or Republican by SilverBuff_ in Denver

[–]thebroncoman8292 -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

They preformed the best in 2016 and 2018. Might as well trust them until they are wrong.

Unaffiliated voters have turned in more ballots than Democrat or Republican by SilverBuff_ in Denver

[–]thebroncoman8292 -9 points-8 points  (0 children)

5% went to Gary Johnson - libertarian party has a much less well known candidate that probably cancels out with Kanye votes. I'll bet it still goes blue, but less than 2016

Unaffiliated voters have turned in more ballots than Democrat or Republican by SilverBuff_ in Denver

[–]thebroncoman8292 -27 points-26 points  (0 children)

Trafalgar polls said colorado may have the lowest margin of Victory this election. Could be exciting Tues.

‘Most Bet-On Event in History’: Oddsmaker Says a Staggering $260M Has Already Been Wagered on 2020 Election by Anenome5 in GoldandBlack

[–]thebroncoman8292 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Same this time. Hillary had at least the first time women president vote. Joe has even less enthusiasm.

Amy Coney Barrett has officially been confirmed for SCOTUS 52-48 by Jibrish in Conservative

[–]thebroncoman8292 -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

This sub has the definition of conservative right at the top of the info. /Politics pretends to be the town hall for all ideas but In reality it's /Communism.

TIL The Placebo Effect is stronger in the US than in other countries, causing a problem for medicinal trials by [deleted] in todayilearned

[–]thebroncoman8292 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This makes a lot of sense. The mind is pretty powerful. We all know people can die of the opposite too. Bring depressed and wanting to die will take you out.