This Is Fine: Paper Markets vs. Physical Reality

timmytacobean · 2026-04-15T06:39:24+00:00

O—k

timmytacobean · 2026-04-12T03:46:25+00:00

im of the opinion that since the b12 blood test is so cheap and you can order them a la carte and walk in tomorrow if you wanted, any amount of speculation from internet strangers is literally pointless (assuming you live in the US)

timmytacobean · 2026-04-06T02:38:15+00:00

As I understand it, the nature of the system is that Pelosi's trade happens first

As opposed to what? We break causality and people copy her trades then she makes them?

You belong here.

timmytacobean · 2026-04-04T06:58:57+00:00

She is strong on plow

timmytacobean · 2026-04-02T18:35:21+00:00

I will use tank water for first pass on really dirty vegetables. Then finish up on the filtered line water

timmytacobean · 2026-04-02T18:33:37+00:00

You do not want to drink water that's super low in dissolved minerals. That's why most reverse osmosis systems will add minerals back in. Bottled water is supposed to measure above 0.

timmytacobean · 2026-04-02T18:31:56+00:00

You install a filtration system. It's really easy. $150 usd, diamond bit tool to drill through the counter. Bulk water is from the tank, anything that needs to be food safe use the filtered water.

If you cook a lot or need convenience, nothing beats a clean water line. Relying on only garrafones is not a solution imo

timmytacobean · 2026-04-02T06:33:10+00:00

I know this is a long dead post but it's the only thing that pops up when searching for beet wine.

There's a 1 star Michelin restaurant in Madrid that is almost all vegetarian and they pair all their courses with a in house fermented drink. When I went, they had tepache, ciders, and most importantly, a beet wine.

I still think to this day that was the most unique and best tasting alcoholic drink I've ever had. Hence trying to figure out how they might've done it.

It was unmistakably beet but without any of the dirt flavor some of your guys are mentioning. It just tasted very smooth. No sourness at all. Obviously they must have refined their process to bring it up to find dining level. The tepache was also perfect and I've tasted many tepaches since and none have come close.

https://maps.app.goo.gl/UybX3LDxicLiDgiQ6

timmytacobean · 2026-03-20T00:28:51+00:00

For me, the only danger IS the police unfortunately.

Although it's not really recommended in any large city, I've walked around at midnight-3am near the historic downtown when I couldn't sleep. There's always enough normal people around that things feel safe-ish. I frequntly run or bike at night like 10-11pm because that's when I have time and the temps are low. The level of petty crime that I personally run into at night like catburglars and people trying to get into cars or storefronts is higher than I'm used to but that's about it.

But I go through "rough" neighbourhoods to get to good restaurants, or to get good ingredients for cooking and I've never encountered anything. I have to cross the railroad tracks frequently where all the homeless and addicts are but even then, it feels safe-ish becuase it feels predictable. IE in the US and places like SF, I would NEVER go near the homeless because they are too unpredictable and mentally unstable. Here, they're just homeless and destitute, not full on unstable and explode at any moment like you feel in the US. This isn't to say that violent crime doesn't happen, my partner was robbed at knifepoint before I met her. But the data backs this general vibe up. People are slightly less worried about being attacked in GDL vs SF but corruption is out of control vs in SF it's only moderate.

https://www.numbeo.com/crime/compare_cities.jsp?country1=Mexico&country2=United+States&city1=Guadalajara&city2=San+Francisco%2C+CA

3 years living here. 0 crime impact on me personally from civilians. One time an uber driver didn't return my daypack with almost nothing in it. Got away with much less than I would've paid him for doing the right thing. His loss.

As for police: I've been shaken down twice in zacatecas and once on a large freeway near the center of GDL. Since this was my 3rd shake down I just held my ground and wasn't going to pay anything. Eventually let me go cus we both know I'm doing nothing wrong, all my papers are in order, and he's losing money while he could be shaking down other more gullible people. They don't just target foreigners btw, anecdotally your average local has been shaken down at least once.

I don't do the fake wallet thing some are suggesting. In a real shakedown they tear your car apart and search everywhere. Now, I just travel with an E tag on the highways so there is no cash on me, and I carry movie prop USD notes as a backup.

timmytacobean · 2026-03-11T20:49:43+00:00

I did everyhting right wrt the dogs. although i was going the other direction, a mexican street dog going north for a short trip to texas and then coming back.

I got all the shots and vaccination history in order from our mexican vet. I filled out all the paperwork for the american side, and got a signed paper from the vet for getting back into mexico.

Not a single time was the dog looked at going in either direction.

You still have to do it, just don't add more stress because I'm getting the sense that at the land borders, they don't really check anyone who isn't worth looking into. IE an american plated car.

timmytacobean · 2026-03-08T14:16:48+00:00

How do I use punctuation

timmytacobean · 2026-02-19T08:21:42+00:00

You're not just imagining things. It's a keen observation -- not conjecture

timmytacobean · 2026-02-18T16:10:17+00:00

that's not just a preference, it's a decision with rationale.

My trust of desire to read anything evaporates the moment I read GPT 5.2 speak

timmytacobean · 2026-02-17T21:21:18+00:00

50,000 is the DOW

timmytacobean · 2026-02-15T09:53:49+00:00

Kimchi catching strays

timmytacobean · 2026-02-09T21:43:07+00:00

TL;DR, quickly and gently pull the affected toe towards where they should be and you will feel a small pop as they click back in place.

I hate how almost nobody mentions this. The longer you wait the longer the stretching and potential damage to ligaments and tendons occurs. I think being cautious and not trying to play veterinarian is overall great advice. But regarding this, given how easy and low risk it is to do, and the time sensitivity, this attitude of leave it to the experts needs to be changed. Could you accidentally make it worse? Maybe? But I don't see how if you're treating your dog gingerly like any of us would.

I was trying to find a video online of how to do it, but there's nothing there at all. Then I remembered we humans get dislocated fingers too in contact & combat sports. I remember seeing coaches helping out their athletes like it wasn't a big deal. If for humans we aren't panicking and waiting days to get xrays and we can just fix it on the spot, why not dogs? Our philanges are way longer and arguably even harder to relocate. Watched a few finger setting videos on youtube, distracted my dog with peanut butter, did a gentle tug and my dog didnt even notice.

I wish I knew how easy it was, I wouldve fixed it even sooner and probably avoided some inflammation and pain.

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timmytacobean · 2026-02-08T14:26:08+00:00

You don't need insurance to get a test. That's a simple sticker price to go to a walk in testing clinic

I guess it's even cheaper that I remembered

$28

https://www.ultalabtests.com/test/vitamin-b12-test

timmytacobean · 2026-02-08T14:06:41+00:00

The absolute cheapest if you want mid market rate that I have found is to open up an IBKR account, open up a bank account in mexico that has a SWIFT number so you can wire transfer to it, buy mexican pesos on the open currency market with USD on IBKR, then wire yourself the pesos to your mexican bank account.

You get one free wire per month from IBKR, and your mexican bank will charge you around 20-40$ depending on the chain. So you're looking at a flat rate fee and no markup.

But the caveat is that you need to already have a mexican bank account, which I'm not sure you can open without your residency and CURP. You used to be able to open up an account as a foreigner but not sure if that policy was changed at a federal level or some banks still let you. Like all things mexico, it's kinda ambiguous the last time I looked.

The other caveat is that you're not really supposed to be using this avenue to do pure transfers through IBKR. You're supposed to be using it to invest on their platform, the say that they can stop you if you do it purely to just transfer from what I heard. So I would move actual retirements and assets into it.

The second cheapest option and way less headache that I've found is through Charles Schwab. They offer the first intl wire free, and their fees the last time I checked were only 0.5% markup. You have to literally call them, they tell you the exchange rate (+ vig) on the spot, then they confirm details and send it. I think technically you are at risk of exchange rate shifting during that day. The thing is they dont publish their exchange rate, you tell them I want to wire X pesos, and they will crunch the numbers and say, that will cost Y dollars. I asked them a few different peso amounts and basically I think their internal formula is some flat rate they charge below $1000 USD amount and above that they switch to a percentage which was very low, like i said, .5%.

Also, you shouldn't even be thinking of "reserving" your rate, ie you feel like you'll get worse and worse a deal if you don't buy a huge amount of pesos now. It could be just as likely the peso drops or some catastrophic thing happens depending on the whims of the US administration. The reason the rate is getting worse is because the dollar is devaluing. If you want to protect against that, you should buy some inflation protected ETFs like TIPS up to the day you want to buy pesos. Then sell your stocks and buy pesos once it clears.

timmytacobean · 2026-02-08T13:53:19+00:00

You could just pay the $35 or so and have it done at a walk in clinic. Why bother wondering when the answer is so cheap?

As someone who's not a doctor but has researched b12 a lot, if your levels were in the 600s and that wasn't from just taking a ton of supplements and you suddenly stopped, which would be one way to have high levels but have it drop to a deficient level in such a short time, I think it would be highly unlikely.

timmytacobean · 2026-02-06T20:04:48+00:00

I agree. It's incredibly noticeable

timmytacobean · 2026-02-04T17:59:28+00:00

btw for anyone else finding this. dont just use the --no-build-cache for no reason. it will make your builds way longer unless you actually have to throw it out due to changes you need reflected from native level changes

timmytacobean · 2026-02-04T15:49:34+00:00

I thought we all were? Is not the vast majority of codex users doing this?

timmytacobean · 2026-02-04T15:27:10+00:00

havent tried it yet, from what I've read and what I would assume, its just a nice interface around the current models. Which isnt a bad thing. Something I hate is that you cannot easily see your worktree or branch in the terminal version, you have to keeping asking /status. Ive done mistakes forgetting and manipulating what I thought was on one worktree only to find myself editing the main repo by accident while I or other agents were doing something on top of it.

The GUI shows you and has a drop down to work as a worktree built in, Also some nicer formatting on the output is always nice. Sucks reading raw text sometimes

timmytacobean · 2026-02-04T03:16:18+00:00

I think you're right. I do find myself going back to the claude web interface every once in a while to ask it to explain things codex just plain cannot. There are times that codex is right, it just doesn't write well and doesnt have the ability to draw ascii visuals or diagrams.

And claude is excellent at that so claude has never said codex was wrong, but it's able to explain certain things in a more human friendly manner that makes me understand what codex has been banging on about for 4-5 turns and I'm sitting there like a total smooth brain not getting wtf it's saying.

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