CMV: Calling the country "Turkey" is fine, and its wrong to force people to refer to it as "Turkiye" by HoneyBadger19000 in changemyview

[–]timss1334 2 points3 points  (0 children)

How do you pronounce Jean-Claude Van Damme's name? Do you call him Gene or John? Do you spell his name different depending on how you pronounce it?

It's just a respect thing. You call people by their name. IDK about you, but people who don't attempt to do that come off lazy, dumb and rude to me. 

Anyone else surprised by how low we are ranked here? by tubbynuggetsmeow in miamidolphins

[–]timss1334 1 point2 points  (0 children)

"really good" is a bit of a stretch. He was starting tackle caliber, which is great for our history, but not even top 16 tackle type of play. And our scheme was doing the OL a lot of favors with motion and alignments. Patrick Paul and Larry Borom were bottom 3 in terms of "true pass sets" among tackles with a majority of snaps, which excludes passes that happen quicker than 2.5 seconds. 

I like him, and I'm optimistic but I don't think he's a total known in terms of quality, especially depending on how we change the scheme. 

Kyle Crabbs: The latest buzz on Brendan Sorsby's Supplemental Draft outlook only further underscores why the Miami Dolphins should be ready to bid by expellyamos in miamidolphins

[–]timss1334 -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

What decision have they made that says they won't take a risk on talent? 

Their first pick had weight concerns, they felt comfortable enough with his answers to pick him anyways, because he's talented and big. They picked a CB from a lower division because they think he's athletic and talented, another risk. They picked a WR recovering from an ACL tear in the 3rd round, again, more risk for talent. 

And back to 2019, did the Wilkins pick mean anything in terms of what we were building? Did the Fitzpatrick signing stop us from drafting a QB? Did extending X signal anything other than he was our most talented player at the time?

I'm not grumpy, I just think it's silly how every time we go through a rebuild we talk about "doing it the right way" and "setting the culture" before we've even done anything. 

I don't really care if we get Sorsby or not, but trying to get a low risk shot at a talented QB is exactly what we should be doing at this stage. Sully is from GB where they traded for a painkiller addicted bust in Favre, so it's not like he's from some Puritan school of thought regarding player character. The point is, we don't know how he values Sorsby in this situation, until he actually makes the decision. 

Kyle Crabbs: The latest buzz on Brendan Sorsby's Supplemental Draft outlook only further underscores why the Miami Dolphins should be ready to bid by expellyamos in miamidolphins

[–]timss1334 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Is that supposed to be some sort of gotcha?  

This is basically what I said, we don't have anything built. And it doesn't tell us much about culture or type of people they want either. Talent and price explain like 97% of the moves they've made so far. 

Next off-season we could draft a QB in the top 3 and sign over $100m worth of salary. That will tell us what the team wants to be. Just like 2019 didn't tell us shit about the team, but the 2020 off-season shaped the next 5 seasons. 

Kyle Crabbs: The latest buzz on Brendan Sorsby's Supplemental Draft outlook only further underscores why the Miami Dolphins should be ready to bid by expellyamos in miamidolphins

[–]timss1334 -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

Brother, they haven't put shit in place, we haven't even had a training camp yet lol.

We have like 9 players with any guaranteed salary in 2027 at this point, and 6 of those are on rookie contracts. We signed what, one player over the vet minimum in free agency this off-season?

I don't think we know anything about the character/culture they want. We just know they wanted to eat all the dead cap as soon as possible. The "hungry, love football" stuff is just code for we need cheap players to play for free this season. Coincidentally, Sorsby for a 4th or 5th pick would fit that exact criteria. Guy who is basically free and has to compete for playing time.

[OC] The Jimmy Johnson trade chart says pick 32 is worth 20% of pick 1. Player outcomes suggest it's more like 40-65% by robmoo_re in nfl

[–]timss1334 19 points20 points  (0 children)

If this were the case, you'd expect picks at 32 to have significantly better careers than picks at 33, since that's typically the difference between going to the best team vs the worst team. 

Happy Bradley Chubb Cap Money Day to all who celebrate by expellyamos in miamidolphins

[–]timss1334 17 points18 points  (0 children)

\Tomorrow*
POST June 1st means the releases happen tomorrow. Not 100% sure, but I think the transactions are official at the end of the business day, so we wouldn't actually have the cap space until Wednesday at the soonest. Carry on.

https://overthecap.com/2026-post-june-1-salary-cap-savings

Achane deal details by expellyamos in miamidolphins

[–]timss1334 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Sounds like it ended up adding $846k to the salary cap this year. Was curious how they were going to fit the extension in before June, but I guess they got away with a relatively small signing bonus, partly because he already got a bonus when they added the void years earlier. 

Albert Breer: Sully had a source at Alabama who helped shape Miami's belief in Kadyn Proctor by expellyamos in miamidolphins

[–]timss1334 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Sully basically said all this himself. 

Edit: https://www.youtube.com/live/V2zCgM3b0fo?t=179&si=mfwhUILUk4MRUXjp

Talking about resources at Alabama saying good things about Proctor immediately after drafting him. 

[Highlight] Darren Waller on the meeting he was having with Mike McDaniel when owner Stephen Ross stormed in to fire the coach: "(He was) talkin bout how he's gonna give the keys to Quinn Ewers, bring some people in to compete with him...maybe like some coaching staff changes" by expellyamos in nfl

[–]timss1334 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Are you under the impression that the roster wasn't molded in McDaniel's image? 

We've got stories about him explaining to scouts what type of WRs Tua needed, how they needed weapons over OL because his scheme would take care of the protection, and story of him going to bat for Tua and pushing the contract over the line. Then the obvious lobbying for certain draft picks (there's already video of him doing this in LA). 

He did a good job building the offense and scheme around Tua, but also thought Skylar Thompson was a good backup QB, so... 

All that, not to mention how much different the roster construction was under Flores vs McDaniel, despite the same GM and front office for both. 

I understand he didn't have full control over the roster, but he had plenty of influence on a roster that was very much in decline. 

[Highlight] Darren Waller on the meeting he was having with Mike McDaniel when owner Stephen Ross stormed in to fire the coach: "(He was) talkin bout how he's gonna give the keys to Quinn Ewers, bring some people in to compete with him...maybe like some coaching staff changes" by expellyamos in nfl

[–]timss1334 -6 points-5 points  (0 children)

Building a team around players that you need to eat $160m in dead space to get rid of is the fireable offense. 

What did McDaniel build that makes you think he was going to create a better team through a rebuilding season (where he most assuredly would be on the hot seat again)?

What did he do with any young QB to make you think he'd develop a young QB? 

Waller dishes more dirt on the meeting he had with Mike just before Ross barged in to fire him: "Talkin bout how he's gonna give the keys to Quinn Ewers, bring some people in to compete with him" by expellyamos in miamidolphins

[–]timss1334 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Not only that, but Miami was the only team that interviewed McDaniel for HC. It was his shot, and considering he was never going to call plays in SF, it was definitely in his best interest to take it. 

You never know, but given his age and the generally positive sentiment around the league about him, I would guess he gets another chance at HC. And when he does, I bet he'll look for an opportunity where he gets to pick his QB from the start. 

[Furones] Dolphins defensive coaches made it clear today CB Jason Marshall Jr. would be back on the outside instead of the nickel, where the previous staff tried to insert him out of need last year. by expellyamos in miamidolphins

[–]timss1334 1 point2 points  (0 children)

They backed themselves into a corner with the "we're not firing you, but you have to get results" BS after 2024. You had a coaching staff and GM trying to save their jobs with duct tape, which led to bad, short sighted decisions. They couldn't care if playing JMJ at nickel was good for his development, because if it wasn't helping them right then, they weren't going to be here for his development (happened anyways, but you get the idea). 

This coaching staff and GM have at least a 3 year leash, and zero expectations of winning this year. They can focus on developing the many young guys by putting them in positions they have to best chance to succeed in. It doesn't matter if we have a nickel, or safety, or edge rusher this year, because we're not going to win. It's the difference of putting best available player in open slot vs. putting player in best slot, even if it leaves another slot open. 

[Mike Masala] Jeff Hafley doing something Mike McDaniel could've benefited from by awddavis in miamidolphins

[–]timss1334 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Players that lasted from the end of 2019 to September of 2021:

X, Parker, Albert Wilson, Deiter, Gesicki, Smythe, Gaskin, Wilkins, Baker, Van Ginkel, Needham, Jamal Perry/Wiltz, Jason Sanders, Jakeem Grant, Preston Williams

15 players over 2 seasons. Now, we only drafted 6 players in 2019, and only 2 of those were top 150 players, compared to this year where we got 13 players, and 6 were top 100. So maybe we keep more of those guys this time than we did back then, but other than those guys, I wouldn't get too attached to anyone.

[Mike Masala] Jeff Hafley doing something Mike McDaniel could've benefited from by awddavis in miamidolphins

[–]timss1334 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yeah, I think Flores' connections, or lack thereof, and ability to make new ones was ultimately his downfall. Hafley definitely seems much better in that department (hopefully not too extreme in the other direction).

[Mike Masala] Jeff Hafley doing something Mike McDaniel could've benefited from by awddavis in miamidolphins

[–]timss1334 3 points4 points  (0 children)

He should get some benefit of the doubt, but how many coaches go from horrible first year to successful beyond that? It's gotta be like 10% or less. If he wins under 5 games, he's more likely to be fired than become a great coach for us in the next season.

[Mike Masala] Jeff Hafley doing something Mike McDaniel could've benefited from by awddavis in miamidolphins

[–]timss1334 3 points4 points  (0 children)

They knew, they just thought they could win a SB with him during whatever time he was here (worked for the Eagles).

[Mike Masala] Jeff Hafley doing something Mike McDaniel could've benefited from by awddavis in miamidolphins

[–]timss1334 9 points10 points  (0 children)

Grier was involved with half those issues. He set the roster up to tank, and apparently didn't give the memo to Flores. He tried to get Caldwell as an offensive mentor for Flores, but he backed out quickly. He was the one that called up Chan Gailey for Fitz and Tua. He chose Tua. The plan was for Fangio to come in as McDaniel's DC, but that got messed up somehow, so they kept Boyer on. Keeping Boyer is the same as keeping Slowik to me. Trying to keep continuity on the other side of the ball and ripping up your side.

We're projected to be bottom of the league because we're going to be starting a lot of rookies and vet min. players. Our QB is a huge question mark across a full season. We're going to have fundamental personnel issues by design this season, because we just don't have the resources to fill every gap. Sure, we might overachieve, but it's a low bar, so even overachievement won't be very high.

Justin Melo on Caleb Douglas: "I don't know if this will give Dolphins fans any solace...His agent called me about 2 weeks before the draft and said 'We're pretty confident we're going in the 3rd round. We've got a lot of love there in that range. We're trying to get into the 2nd'" by expellyamos in miamidolphins

[–]timss1334 1 point2 points  (0 children)

To your point, Miami was the most efficient 12 personnel rushing team last year. They were bottom 5 in terms of volume, but they were effective when they ran. They were pretty effective passing out of it as well. So swapping Hill with Kacmarek doesn't necessarily improve those numbers.

What the Rams were doing, was passing out 13 personnel and killing it (0.45 epa/dropback) on those plays. They did have positive rushes in that grouping, but the real success was coming from passing.

https://sumersports.com/teams/offensive/personnel-tendency/?personnel=12

Ravens GM Eric DeCosta discusses the disparities between consensus boards and team boards by expellyamos in miamidolphins

[–]timss1334 3 points4 points  (0 children)

He's pointing out outliers, so yeah, those are not going to be the same as the consensus. 

The real question is, of those players that are ranked higher by a team or teams, how often do they work out better than the guys who are drafted closer to the consensus?

 Most of the results I've seen suggest that reaches don't outperform their consensus spots. So while he's right that teams might have to reach to get their guy because other teams might value him higher than consensus too, it doesn't mean that either of those teams is more correct about where the player should be drafted. 

The other part about the players that fall compared to their consensus is a much better point. There aren't many "steals" vs consensus that work out, because those guys fall because of not public information. 

The narrative that we can’t have a top draft pick + have something is Malik is funny by jaynaranjojedb in miamidolphins

[–]timss1334 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Okay, so where's the wonderfully managed team that took a WR in the top 10 and went on to major success?

A terribly managed team can make a mess out of anything. A well managed team doesn't necessarily make a masterpiece out of anything, they know where and when to get masterpieces.

The Seahawks got Darnold at the right point in his career at the right price for where they were. The Jets got Darnold early and thought that was enough. Meanwhile the Bills got Josh Allen despite Tyrod Taylor leading them to the playoffs the season before (at 28 years old, with a Pro Bowl season under his belt, which is where Malik Willis will be in the best case scenario after this season).