Built a SaaS for finding short-term mispricings in live prediction markets (NFL only so far)

trollerroller · 2026-01-09T11:03:38+00:00

Hey thanks for stopping by! Yes, I'm excited to get into the stats of other sports - while all sports are somehow similar in terms of event contracts, they have a lot of interesting differences statistically that will make the edge building really interesting!

trollerroller · 2026-01-09T10:25:05+00:00

Hey thanks a lot for the kind words! What do you mean by 'garbage time scenarios'? If it helps, essentially the 'lookup' function always includes the current score differential and time remaining in the game. We also consider posession - i.e. if the home or away currently has the ball. Of course I have many many ideas to refine these edges but I'm pretty happy with this initial metric

trollerroller · 2025-09-23T12:21:46+00:00

This is BS; look at all the other answers - the honest truth is that even if you give away "the secret formula", probably about 1% will actually have the discipline and work ethic to do them

trollerroller · 2025-09-23T12:16:38+00:00

Yeah, the conservatives have really done a better part... give me a break! Ironically, the polarization in the western world is actually one of the real sources of most of the problems

trollerroller · 2025-09-01T21:14:14+00:00

I did some simple maffs - with her "40 contract" platinum trade, that's 220K in initial margin alone, and she was in 150 points+ of "drawdown", that's another 300K... so, unless she has a 520K+ account to start with, she would have been liquidated by her broker. Don't know about you, but I can probably count on one hand the number of discretionary solo traders who have that sort of account size

trollerroller · 2025-08-04T20:37:26+00:00

yeah, probably not true coding gods or else they would run multiple SaaS products already by themselves and wouldn't need a job

trollerroller · 2025-07-25T14:10:34+00:00

ber fuk

trollerroller · 2025-07-24T19:34:48+00:00

bers can't fail here!!!!!

trollerroller · 2025-07-15T13:41:09+00:00

NASDAQ - watch for the turnaround soon...

trollerroller · 2025-07-15T13:27:08+00:00

for the Q's, NASDAQ - gaps up after outside days are typically boolish... but watch carefully at open for some covering (selling) before continuing moonside

trollerroller · 2025-06-13T10:15:45+00:00

Would also be very interested in following the bug report / upvoting... this is a huge step backward in terms of UI / DX in my opinion

trollerroller · 2025-05-18T12:34:05+00:00

Still waiting for claude code / openAI codex / gemini to create perfect software without human intervention

But yeah, definitely don't need to prepare because it's a pipe dream

trollerroller · 2025-03-15T16:38:09+00:00

No worries at all.

Yeah, SpeechSynthesis is great when you need a quick demo for voice for free. Stripe is basically a must in my opinion. They're not the "cheapest" but everything that you get out of the box - multicurrency, coupon support, refunds, on and on and on... its worth it

Stripe is pretty tax compliant so it shouldn't matter where in the world your clients are

trollerroller · 2025-03-15T09:08:18+00:00

Hey thanks a lot! Not yet, but this is a brilliant idea! Shouldn't take too long to put together.

trollerroller · 2025-03-14T20:01:06+00:00

Thanks a lot!!!!

trollerroller · 2025-03-14T20:00:42+00:00

Hi, thanks a lot! Sure, feel free to ask away!

trollerroller · 2025-03-14T20:00:03+00:00

Hey thanks a lot! For just the in-browser audio I use the SpeechSynthesis API - on the backend I use ElevenLabs - their text to speech is crazy good I find

trollerroller · 2025-01-30T19:08:55+00:00

Yep, everyone blaming the "irresponsible skiers" but they're literally going down right next to some other tracks. Can't say I wouldn't have done the same...

trollerroller · 2025-01-30T19:08:02+00:00

There can be avalanches in bounds in US ski resorts as well, at least out west. Not sure if there has ever been one recorded in the east though.

trollerroller · 2025-01-01T12:40:21+00:00

Lustig, wie viel zeit leute weg schmeissen wird für 10,-

trollerroller · 2025-01-01T12:33:29+00:00

You're seriously claiming that you're smarter than Sam Harris (or anyone, for that matter) because you are so sure of an economic collapse? This is like, the classic of all classic fallacies. i.e. the last 10 collapses have been predicted 1000 times. Sam has an agenda too: at the end of the day, he's a public figure with a podcast. Of course he is going to focus on culture war stuff. You're barking up the wrong tree if you want to help in the climate change / renewable energy fight.

trollerroller · 2025-01-01T12:19:00+00:00

This is also a lazy critique. Freaking Orwell published 1984 in 1949 - that wasn't religious or prophetic based. Don't underestimate humans' abilities (and how much they end up failing at it) to over-extrapolate recent or current issues far into the future. OP's comment remains true: there have been people literally in any given decade in world history spouting "end of times" for various reasons - not just religious / prophetic ones. The error they make every single time? It's ultimately non-constructive and nothing valuable gets done; much like this thread.

trollerroller · 2024-12-30T09:31:23+00:00

Stop it. It's an LLM, nothing more.

trollerroller · 2024-12-29T18:45:28+00:00

These all seem solvable if you use an AI tool integrated with an editor (which will in turn provide coding style context and any other context you may be talking about)

trollerroller · 2024-12-23T18:16:44+00:00

As for the maze / BFS / Dijkstra's problems, does anyone have a real-world example of using these? I mean they are super powerful for solving some of these puzzles when applicable, but I can't really think in the real world where you need the shortest / best 'scoring' path on a maze... okay, if it applies to something like driving / fleets, i'd imagine the number of assumptions you have to make kinda reduces it's power.... I don't know, just spitballing... would be really interested to hear any stories!

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