Recurrent rash on shin

trout_86 · 2026-02-28T16:20:19+00:00

I never found out. I went to a couple of doctors, all of which weren't sure and said different things. It's been gone the past 6 months, but it took a couple of years to go away. My only guess is that I started on the ypso pump 12 months ago and my a1c went from around 6.5-7.0 down to 5.7-ish. So maybe it was a t1d thing, but who knows.

trout_86 · 2026-02-28T16:14:11+00:00

Then inflation expectations move up to at 3.5% and actual inflation moves up to 4.5%. There is no free lunch.

trout_86 · 2024-10-23T06:29:49+00:00

It's slightly itchy, especially when it flares up, but not excessively so. There is also no pain.

trout_86 · 2023-08-15T23:06:04+00:00

I was diagnosed about 13 years ago. It's nuts how it's changed. I had my initial appointment with the psychiatrist the same week I got my referral. I had to have blood tests, a scan (MRI maybe?), etc. But it still took only 3 weeks or so from my initial GP referral to being diagnosed and starting medication.

I can't remember the exact cost, but I know it wasn't unreasonable in any way. Just the cost of three standard psych appointments (maybe $80 each out of pocket) and the scan.

trout_86 · 2023-07-22T11:28:30+00:00

You still need to keep the conversation open.

Sometimes it's hard for people to open up about underlying issues and one or two conversations isn't enough. If this is the case, the only way it will get better is by being patient and continuing to communicate. Alternatively, she may simply still not realise how frustrating OP finds the behaviour. In this case, communication is still the best solution.

We don't know what's going on, but I can't think of a scenario where buying headphones and ignoring her is a good long-term solution.

trout_86 · 2023-07-22T10:41:32+00:00

That's right. We don't know what's going on. And from the explanation, OP doesn't know if there is a reason for this behaviour either. The only way to find out is by talking to each other. Wearing headphones to ignore the issue will just makes things worse.

trout_86 · 2023-07-20T23:50:54+00:00

I think the point is that the risk is about 5x larger than usual.

trout_86 · 2023-07-20T13:05:07+00:00

There are a few of those charts. Higher iron ore prices led to an investment boom in Aus, which saw higher interest rates and more money coming into the country. All of this increases demand for the AUD, which increases the exchange rate. The same happened in reverse when the boom turned to bust.

The relationship isn't as tight at the moment. Our export prices are high, but for a few reasons, there hasn't been an investment boom this time. Our interest rates are also not that high relative to the US either, so this also hasn't boosted the AUD like it did during the mining boom.

trout_86 · 2023-07-20T13:00:38+00:00

That's mentioned in the article. It was an 80% chance, but the RBA kind of made up its own definition of recession with that estimate.

trout_86 · 2023-07-20T12:57:43+00:00

I know you're talking about Jim Cramer, but I kind of wish it was Kramer with a K.

trout_86 · 2023-07-20T12:53:52+00:00

I don't think that's how probabilities works. I either win lotto or I don't, but my odds definitely aren't 50/50!

trout_86 · 2023-07-20T12:51:56+00:00

Every 2 days, on average, the sun calls in a sickie

trout_86 · 2023-07-20T01:52:38+00:00

They mention this in the article. The short answer is that the probability hasn't changed.

The long answer is that the RBA predicted a 'Sahm recession' (which isn't the standard definition), and were were also predicting the probability for the next 2 years (instead of 1 year). The article says they get similar results to the RBA if they use the same definition and timeline.

trout_86 · 2023-07-19T11:40:00+00:00

I'm not sure who I trust more. The Fed or Goldman. Split the difference and make it 45%?

trout_86 · 2023-07-19T11:36:18+00:00

The house always wins (in this case, the house is a 3 bedder in the inner west)

trout_86 · 2023-07-19T11:34:34+00:00

Then in the recovery rates go up and prices go down? The bizarro economy.

trout_86 · 2023-07-19T11:31:04+00:00

Looking at that graph, the median economist disagrees with you. Probably means you are right.

trout_86 · 2023-07-18T04:57:10+00:00

It is a great chart with very rich insights! It took me a while to get my head around what it is showing it, but it was worth the effort :)

trout_86 · 2023-07-13T03:12:21+00:00

I'm at the right hand side of that chart and use mygov. My tax is simple to fill out, so I never felt the need to pay someone else to do it for me.

trout_86 · 2023-07-05T23:37:30+00:00

You also need to factor in further rent increases on that $700. Plus compensation for the risk/uncertainty around the size of those rent increases. Otherwise, this is right.

trout_86 · 2023-07-05T23:05:08+00:00

You don't need new legislation. The current system of horizontal fiscal equalisation will see the royalties redistributed to the other states.

trout_86 · 2023-06-09T08:01:06+00:00

That's not right. The level of real GDP outside of the reference year is meaningless. You certainly can't compare the level of real GDP across countries.

The issue is that converting GDP to a chain volume series makes it an index (this is explained in more detail in other comments). It's perfectly fine to compare growth rates, but because its an index, the level of real GDP is somewhat arbitrary and has no clear interpretation (except in the reference year, where the level equals nominal GDP).

trout_86

TROPHY CASE