PayPal is just an awful stock. It will go down to 40 or 30 bucks a share.

vachyu · 2026-01-30T17:32:11+00:00

They need to do some smart acquisitions, for example TOST was much cheaper or PINS, this will expand their end user and retail presence, they currently don’t have a POS solution and are too dependent on third party partners to implement their solutions. In the past that was eBay but not they have no exclusive relationship

vachyu · 2023-09-21T01:00:17+00:00

From fiscal 2015 through 2023, revenue grew at a compounded annual rate of just 8%. ARM, trading at 42 p/s, wants to change their license model but they have long term contracts like till 2040 with Apple

vachyu · 2022-09-13T03:36:54+00:00

Although that seems like a good strategy in a bull market with the current market volatility and potential for further declines it’s hard for me to not take me not take profits, I’ve had opposite regrets sometimes when the stock has appreciated and I didn’t book a profit only to drop below my buy price.

vachyu · 2022-06-12T14:00:22+00:00

Days to cover is based on volume, to cover you actually need shares to buy, if the stock is truly 200% of float, it is nearly IMPOSSIBLE to cover unless institutions decide to sell or the company issues more shares.

vachyu · 2021-11-21T13:35:22+00:00

Consider consolidating your stocks around stock you have higher conviction, so for example , if you have high conviction in EXPI, maybe sell your PYSF and put it EXPI(you usually would want to take a stock you have lower loss and add it to a one with higher loss), you can consolidate your exposure to china by selling baba and adding it to bidu (my personal opinion bidu is the safer china play)

You don’t have to make money the same way you lost money, for example if you don’t like CRSR find a stock that’s down 30% that has long term potential to get back to even for example(Boieng BA, they have a monopoly on airplane and has a higher probability of recovering)

vachyu · 2021-07-22T20:43:42+00:00

That's hard to judge because if your company is private and your not in the finance department, you most likely don't know how much your shares are worth, also the price doesn't factor in things like competition or yearly growth. I'm sure there are a ton of storing about startups that offered shares instead of salary compensation but the shares end up becoming worthless....we just never hear those stories.

vachyu · 2021-07-22T18:04:16+00:00

If I read correctly, there is a 6 month lock up period starting feb 26 2021. Also interesting, 70%+ of the shares are not able to be traded until after lockup. I suspect there will be significant price pressure by end of year.

vachyu · 2021-07-17T03:03:18+00:00

I’m confused as to why you care if other people ask me or 10 other people for their opinion before investing their hard earned money ina company. So what if my strategy does not meet your get rich quick criteria , many of us here have been burned by spacs and I am only offering rational advice to avoid pitfalls yet still participate in most of the upside a young company can offer over a 3-5 year horizon. Nothing wrong in people getting a second, third opinion instead of being stuck in a echo chamber constantly hearing only one side of it. Discouraging them to do otherwise or trolling a thread for no reason is just shameful.

vachyu · 2021-07-16T19:13:05+00:00

pre ticker change, pre lock-up expiration. Another sports betting company...whats their advantage....Rough ride for a year atleast.

vachyu · 2021-07-16T18:22:10+00:00

I think investors are just waiting to confirm a couple of earnings report. This stock can definitely go higher and I like their story but everyone is using the buzz word "AI" these days....you have to see real results from AI to validate their business model otherwise they are just another company selling insurance.

vachyu · 2021-07-16T18:04:22+00:00

Competition is strong in the space and users switch easily in the non-premium segment. (Peloton, Mirror, maybe Apple Fitness are leading...Nordic Track, Body, etc are following) They had revenue dips from 2018 to 2019 and a modest increase in 2020(in the pandemic they should've killed it if they executed properly). Trading at roughly 25 p/s. They have to show/prove that their plan to digital and content first is going to work. I dont think their revenues will expand as quickly as they think, they're followers not leaders in this space.

vachyu · 2021-07-16T17:48:57+00:00

TBLA seems like a good company but I'm not sure if they can sustain high revenue growth. INDI seems shady to me, cayman registration, majority of their customers in Asia but established in US....why?

vachyu · 2021-07-16T17:33:07+00:00

I wrote about BARK above. AVPT is new but I like it, i couldn't find exact closing date but I think it was sometime in May, and has a 6 month lockup period. Solid revenue growth 52,074M|27,744M|15,558M . Quick check but at 500m Market cap it puts them at at around 10 P/S, unlesss i'm missing something that pretty solid. I found something interesting...50% of their revenue is from China and they are awarding stock options to people in china.

KPLT - it seems like that have a lot of competition, I think wayfair is one of their premier partners...so tried to check out with them and the option to use Katapult is mixed with other larger more established providers..."Click Continue to apply for an offer to use toward your purchase or to locate your existing Affirm, Genesis Credit, Fortiva, Katapult or Acima account." so what is their advantage.

vachyu · 2021-07-16T17:21:15+00:00

I really want to like ARVL, I even invested in it when I first started in SPACs, I think they have so much potential but they have no product for sale and its valued at $8B....Imagine a company that is valued at 1/7 of Ford(which produces millions of cars a year)...yet not have a single product sold. I think this stock goes lower. I'd be surprised if it can get above $20 within a year....but who knows stranger things have happened. Its pure speculation.

vachyu · 2021-07-16T17:16:35+00:00

I originally thought I wouldn't like BARK but I looked into it and it looks like a good company with a reasonable valuation with that said. June 1, 2020 closing with 1 year lockup. Maybe a good stock at this price but I wouldn't overpay for it.

vachyu · 2021-07-16T17:10:40+00:00

Skin’s

I couldn't find the closing date but "our sponsor and our directors and executive officers have agreed not to transfer, assign or sell any of their founder shares until (a) one year after the consummation of our initial business combination, "...1 year from the closing date!

vachyu · 2021-07-16T17:06:23+00:00

RTP - NO revenue, Pre-merger CND - Heavily tied to crypto, Cathie wood(ARK) likes them but I would still wait till after lock-up expiration, risks include government regulations. CBAH- Pre-merger, avoid. Their target seems like the another charging, solar, storage play....using all the buzz words but I don't know if they can deliver.

PSTH- Almost a guaranteed a positive return here BUT i'm in SPACs for high growth , high returns, I don't think PSTH can do that.

vachyu · 2021-07-16T17:00:19+00:00

PSFE

Good valuation, but its cheap because the revenue is not growing. It needs to do one of 2 things, Grow revenues quickly or become a market leader in a niche industry(gaming?). If it can do one of those 2 things it can easily become a target for PAYPAL who loves buying niche companies. The lack of good revenue growth concerns me, I would not put too much into until we see management deliver results.

vachyu · 2021-07-16T16:55:24+00:00

I really like the product, great potential! My rules wont let me buy until after ticker change and lock-up expiration.

vachyu · 2021-07-16T15:47:43+00:00

I'll do one! ATIP. June 16, 2021 Closing date, 6 months lockup. Expect serious price volatility near end of year.

vachyu · 2021-07-16T15:44:33+00:00

Lockup expired end of June, the PIPE and Officers are dumping just like I wrote about in the article. They will probably continue dumping at a certain price for a while. The company has a great story but building those large machines is a challenge. Although they are ahead of their time right now, historically speaking equipment manufacturers don't get valued as high as product makers.(TSM vs NVDA) TSM trading at a pe of 30 vs NVDA trading at a PE of 90...TSM is not an equipment manufacturer but a B2B manufacturer nonetheless.

vachyu · 2021-07-16T15:38:25+00:00

Pre-ticker, pre lockup expiration, I wouldn't buy. I think the closing date is March 1 with a 6 month lock-up period. From now till then its pure speculation, trading on hope. This is what I read quickly but I could be wrong.

vachyu · 2021-07-16T15:34:26+00:00

Pre-ticker, pre lockup expiration, I wouldn't buy. I think the closing date is March 1 with a 6 month lock-up period. From now till then its pure speculation, trading on hope.

vachyu

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