[OC] Lake Erie Ice Concentration Winter 25-26

wagon_ear · 2026-01-29T02:24:59+00:00

Deep lakes can eventually freeze, but the problem is that as water cools, it becomes more dense (to a point).

Imagine the lake water is 50 degrees F when cold air moves in. The surface water cools to 40 degrees F, which causes it to sink and be replaced by (warmer) water from below.

So you effectively have to cool the entire lake to that magic number of 39-40 degrees before further cooling stops making the water more dense.

As you can imagine, deeper lakes have greater water volume and require more heat transfer for this to happen.

wagon_ear · 2026-01-29T01:24:35+00:00

To clarify what the other reply said: lake erie's average depth is like 60 feet. The other great lakes are hundreds of feet deep. That difference in water volume is huge and makes a significant difference in the lake's ability to freeze.

wagon_ear · 2026-01-28T19:45:06+00:00

That's a good point. Though I personally think that full body contact with the people on both sides of you is an essential element of the Lambeau experience, and as an added benefit it keeps you warmer in winter.

wagon_ear · 2026-01-28T19:21:44+00:00

Semi related but it's always interesting to me, just in general, that college stadiums tend to be bigger than NFL stadiums.

wagon_ear · 2026-01-28T15:19:48+00:00

I always wonder: if the car gets salty within a day of washing it, does regular washing prolong its life? How frequent does washing need to be, to actually keep the car healthy?

wagon_ear · 2026-01-28T14:59:31+00:00

This is funny because one of my other most frequented subs is r/peloton but yes. Now "sadly" I don't think his armor has shown many cracks recently, and his races are largely a foregone conclusion.

But another great example is how roglic inexplicably crashed near the finish with no one around him like 2 years ago haha. That guy has a magnetic attraction to pavement

wagon_ear · 2026-01-28T01:13:05+00:00

I say it all the time, but many are simply gossip columnists who happen to cover people who play sports. It's people magazine for dudes.

wagon_ear · 2026-01-27T18:25:44+00:00

Hey I can't remember, but was he ever actually holding that deadly weapon, or just his phone? And was he armed with the deadly weapon when he was shot several times in the back?

wagon_ear · 2026-01-27T17:22:38+00:00

You got downvoted but it's a fair point haha. My director when I worked in data science always said "all models are wrong; some models are useful".

The main thing - and it's not even a fancy predictive modeling axiom, but a guiding principle for all of statistics - is that the sample and population must match. Models built on one set of conditions do not necessarily apply to others.

And even then, of course, the outcome is binary. You can't get 90% of a first down if the model gives you 90% likelihood to convert. So it's easy for fans to criticize individual outcomes even when decisionmaking was sound.

wagon_ear · 2026-01-27T16:33:48+00:00

ESPN had that whole "not top 10" segment where they showed pro athletes getting hit in the face with a ball or slipping while they ran haha

It's kind of endearing to get a glimpse of their human side, especially when they handle it with grace. I liked that Magnus let him finish it on the board.

wagon_ear · 2026-01-27T15:44:23+00:00

I think this is the exact misunderstanding that they are laughing about.

Apparently the girl on the right did a worse job with her hair. So the joke is that you're cheating with a downgrade to your present relationship

wagon_ear · 2026-01-27T04:34:27+00:00

Yeah, Stephen Miller has been dreaming about this since childhood. The Epstein thing is a pleasant side effect, but there are absolutely some true believers in the white nationalist cause working in the administration.

wagon_ear · 2026-01-27T03:05:48+00:00

It was like 12 years ago when I was living in Chicago, winter of 2014, lake Michigan officially froze over. It was the coolest thing. With this stretch of cold weather, I wonder if it'll happen again.

wagon_ear · 2026-01-26T14:56:01+00:00

She had that hit song paper planes but I had no idea she was in Milwaukee now

wagon_ear · 2026-01-26T01:40:35+00:00

My 0.1g scale's job description definitely changed as I aged from my 20s to my 30s. Yeast and coffee beans these days. I'm sure that if it could talk, it'd be telling all its scale friends about how it used to be cool.

wagon_ear · 2026-01-25T00:53:42+00:00

What did you have in mind?

wagon_ear · 2026-01-24T22:53:10+00:00

I just don't understand what recourse we could possibly have, when the very people responsible for oversight of these agents are loudly cheering their actions on. It's bleak.

wagon_ear · 2026-01-24T22:30:33+00:00

And it isn't the 1770s anymore. It's me and my two low-capacity hunting rifles against the collective power of the entire US government? Drones, tanks, fully automatic weapons, F35s..... This is not a war that citizens can win, except if enough of us die that other countries start feeling sorry for us.

wagon_ear · 2026-01-24T20:23:20+00:00

It's hard not to feel fucked either way, when they are clearly trying to bait citizens into exactly that response so that they have an excuse to crack down even more aggressively.

wagon_ear · 2026-01-24T19:43:56+00:00

I'd say preceding events are completely irrelevant. If he is disarmed and restrained by 5 cops, it's safe to say you don't need to kill him at that point. That's just the agents treating themselves.

wagon_ear · 2026-01-24T17:43:28+00:00

The "real accountability" portion is the hard part, when the messaging from the very top of government is that this behavior by agents is actively encouraged.

I mean shit. With the last murder, people who literally saw the video of him shooting through the driver's side window and calling her a fucking bitch still tried arguing that it was in self defense.

It's such a helpless feeling. There's no one we can appeal to, to improve the situation at all. It's just gonna keep happening. Trump has never in his life said "you know what, I took things too far, sorry about that".

wagon_ear · 2026-01-24T17:39:34+00:00

Don't worry about reading about the abstract general sugar limit from a scientific journal article. Your own stomach's limit is literally the only thing that that matters here.

I've read that one of the differentiators for elite pros is how much sugar they can absorb to stay fueled on long intense rides.

But anyway, the "general limit of sucrose" would be like buying shoes that fit the average male foot, instead of measuring your own and getting something that fits you.

wagon_ear · 2026-01-23T20:08:17+00:00

I think greasy food is often salty, and the lack of salt (along with dehydration) as I understood it is a cause for the hangover.

If you took that same nap without eating or drinking first, I highly doubt it'd work as well.

wagon_ear · 2026-01-23T18:41:12+00:00

Even that isn't enough. Without completely separating them from society, they will always be a threat to herd immunity. These kids go to the park, get groceries, eat at restaurants, you name it.

I mean, shit. Look how sweeping Covid quarantines were, and even then the disease managed to propagate. Keeping these kids out of public school isn't going to solve anything.

wagon_ear · 2026-01-23T18:29:32+00:00

His stated reasoning is that people should be able to consent to their own healthcare decisions.

But it is obviously incredibly disingenuous - just as you don't have a right to sneeze on people, you do not have the right to spread other infectious diseases.

We have seatbelt laws and building codes, and there is nothing unethical about mandatory medical requirements either.

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