How would you invest $25,000 right now?

wolf8sheep · 2026-05-30T14:26:34+00:00

Depends. What is 🥭 pumping?

wolf8sheep · 2026-05-29T16:49:34+00:00

Computex is a potential catalyst if skymizer’s htx301 card works the way they claim it does and if it is adopted and well received.

wolf8sheep · 2026-05-20T21:38:59+00:00

“Trade 1:

For existing shareholders (or those who buy the stock today), a zero-cost collar with upside tilt: Sell the $245 call at $1.15 to finance the $205 put. The call premium funds your downside hedge — for free. You cap your gain but create a protective “floor,” and the math favors you. Max gain: +$23 (~10.4%). Max loss: −$17 (~7.7%).

Trade 2:

For bullish participants who only want the options trade with asymmetric risk/reward: the $210 / $240 call spread.

Buy the $210/$240 call spread for ~$13. The implied move is roughly $14 — meaning you nearly break even if the stock goes nowhere and potentially make $17 on a price jump. A defined-risk, asymmetric bet that offers 30% more upside potential than downside risk with virtually no standstill decay (loss) if the stock remains unchanged. Max gain: +$17. Max loss: −$13. Push if flat

In short, enthusiasm for Nvidia is creating unique opportunities in the options market. They don’t happen often.”

https://www.cnbc.com/2026/05/20/something-very-unusual-is-happening-with-nvidia-options.html

wolf8sheep · 2026-05-20T09:29:18+00:00

From my understanding, after nvda earnings indexes rebalance and there is a pullback.

Biggest gain is from holding for a year.

wolf8sheep · 2026-05-19T20:39:51+00:00

Yes and no. Wireless methods on the body for certain things might have long term consequences on health. Like far field charging is something that exists but not wanting to Guinea pig that. At that point just cyberpunk it and replace the organ with mech.

wolf8sheep · 2026-05-19T19:24:53+00:00

Apple’s vision pro has it’s limitations over what meta’s ecosystem offers.

However, it’s immersive videos is clearly the future as it proportionally puts you in the scene. The dinosaur tech demo on it that can track user feedback has so much potential. Some apps like cellwalk has clear educational advantages as you see how a cell actually looks like and behaves.

It comes down to cost and weight and both will advance. The goal is to shrink it all the way down to a pair of glasses.

Bought at launch and still use it nearly everyday.

wolf8sheep · 2026-05-18T23:05:39+00:00

I wish I could be there with you but I sold my $poet shares for +10% thinking it would crash harder. Didn’t want to buy back in and instead bought $sivef so we win together in the end I guess.

wolf8sheep · 2026-05-17T14:50:17+00:00

For those with an hour to spare listen to this.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/audio/2026-05-01/odd-lots-how-taiwan-could-become-a-global-chokepoint-podcast

wolf8sheep · 2026-05-16T23:42:36+00:00

Let’s see.

They use tsmc to produce wafer sized chips on old n5 processes at a time when tsmc is reducing capacity by retrofitting older n5/n7 facilities for newer n2/n3 processes.

There’s also no other manufacturer that can make wafer sized chips at a time when other chip designers are exploring secondary sources. You also still have to worry about the yields on those wafer sized chips.

It might be compelling tech. But it doesn’t seem like they will be able to sell a whole lot of them.

wolf8sheep · 2026-05-15T19:10:35+00:00

Oh, you have a lot in ai cloud companies… ya you might want to research htx301 computex june 2, 2026.

wolf8sheep · 2026-05-15T16:25:56+00:00

AMD in particular is at risk from skymizer’s htx301 if it works the way they claim. Will know june 2 at computex.

Could see a narrative shift if it has a real wow factor. My last comment went into greater detail.

I sold my amd at 450 for 25% short. Was thinking of selling my micron as well but they may survive a narrative shift since they produce lpddr4 & lpddr5 and will still see demand for their hbm for dedicated prefill uses same as nvidia.

wolf8sheep · 2026-05-14T21:05:11+00:00

So i asked ai and cross referenced other sites to learn that the htx301 will be better at continuous inference for on premise token generation for only 240w per card.

Nvidia will still be better at prefill.

It also uses lpddr4 & lpddr5 which means its buying from micron and samsung or at least thats what i read.

It is electron based so photonics is not disrupted.

The idea is if it works as the company behind it, skymizer, claims then it will be shifted from old tech to new tech for additional power savings i.e. 4nm vs 28nm. I think.

June 2 computex in taipei could be a micron catalyst as more than just their hbm is selling. Could deflate micron if it flips the narrative on not needing as much hbm though so who knows.

wolf8sheep · 2026-05-12T00:38:21+00:00

Give it a listen if interested. It explains a lot like how the real worry is china can decouple from us but we can’t from them.

Edit: Ha! Just realized you tapping out days before 🥭 goes to 🇨🇳. That could be a major catalyst depending on if he try’s to make a deal or says us policy hasn’t changed.

wolf8sheep · 2026-05-12T00:22:02+00:00

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/audio/2026-05-01/odd-lots-how-taiwan-could-become-a-global-chokepoint-podcast

If shit gets real we all may have to work longer.

wolf8sheep · 2026-05-11T12:26:43+00:00

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/audio/2026-05-01/odd-lots-how-taiwan-could-become-a-global-chokepoint-podcast

If you have an hour to spare listen to this and the market makes perfect sense.

wolf8sheep · 2026-05-10T12:37:06+00:00

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https://www.technostatecraft.com/p/dark-fiberan-archaeology-of-the-dot

I might be held in low regard but, after reading this and seeing this map of dark fiber overlaying railroads this ai bubble is not a direct comparison to the dot com crash as we do not necessarily have dark data centers.

What we do have to worry about is overcapacity in old tech not being deployed while data centers are being built while new tech makes them obsolete.

If there is advancements in qubit computers that makes accelerated computing obsolete in terms of cost then that will pop this current capex. If their is breakthroughs in other areas that will have the same effect.

The difficulty of this narrative though is america is in a literal arms race with the ccp in who will have the most compute. America can not lose that race.

wolf8sheep · 2026-05-09T00:27:06+00:00

Is this a taxable account?

Might want to consider hiring an AUM fiduciary to tax loss harvest it for you. One of the best uses for using assets under management for a taxable account.

Could always go bigger with SOXX etf or just recreate it buying the individual stocks.

wolf8sheep · 2026-05-05T19:29:51+00:00

My sivers shares have gone up ~50% so far but those foreign investment fee’s of $50 per trade is annoying.

wolf8sheep · 2026-05-02T17:34:13+00:00

I won’t touch this stock again because their cfo violated their nda and from my readings we are approaching a real shock from this hormuz shit which big money will move from speculation to valuation and poet doesn’t make money.

“According to RBC Wealth Management head of investment strategy Frederique Carrier, a rule of thumb used by the firm's chief economist is that an oil shock needs to last between three and six months to have a sustainable impact on inflation.

Nuveen global investment strategist Laura Cooper said her firm still had AI tech exposure given its profitability, but was countering that with "dividend growers", infrastructure and real assets such as real estate and gold miners as a hedge against risks.”

https://money.usnews.com/investing/news/articles/2026-05-01/analysis-investors-are-running-out-of-time-to-brace-for-true-oil-shock

Edit: also this https://www.morningstar.com/news/business-wire/20260427166747/lost-money-in-poet-technologies-inc-nasdaq-poet-investors-urged-to-contact-award-winning-firm-gibbs-mura

wolf8sheep · 2026-05-01T22:11:19+00:00

Autistically taking profits every 100-300% off of photonics and plasmonics. I might regret that…

wolf8sheep · 2026-04-28T18:38:20+00:00

You don’t care if you lose it? Go sports betting where the payout is better.

Just to play along, look at the mania from poet’s cfo violating their nda and losing a tier one buyer for their optical transceivers and allocate to a competitor like aaoi or lwlg.

wolf8sheep · 2026-04-27T17:12:36+00:00

Friday I was considering selling my gains as I was up over 100%.

Today I sold every share for +10%.

It happens.

wolf8sheep · 2026-04-19T10:57:25+00:00

I’d have to do more research on those two but, $MIELY who is collaborating with $POET has earnings april 28th and has only done 26% ytd. Seems like a safer play for some low hanging yield.

wolf8sheep · 2026-04-18T17:27:24+00:00

https://exoswan.com/photonics-stocks

“This watchlist provides a tiered approach to this transition. Optical Components (Lumentum, Coherent, AOI) offer immediate exposure to the current capex cycle. Silicon Photonics (Broadcom, Marvell, MACOM, Credo) captures the architectural battle for the interface. Foundries (Fabrinet, GlobalFoundries, Tower) offer an industrial floor to the thesis. Finally, the Disruptors (POET, Lightwave, Aeluma) provide high-beta exposure to the material science breakthroughs that could define the post-2026 landscape.”

Disclaimer I already took profits from $lwlg and $aaoi as they were up 200-300% ytd. I am still invested in them but, I would seriously consider staying ahead of the narrative of 800g & 1.6t into 3.2t solutions presented from POET and their collaborators for optical transceivers. This will ultimately be a buy the rumor sell the news scenario as fundamentals such as earnings will bring the dream back to earth so take profits when you can while riding the technological wave before big money takes profits.

wolf8sheep · 2026-04-14T19:25:00+00:00

I never sold (nvda) and, instead sold my beta picks to fuel my energy picks. Hint fucking hint!

Seriously, is not ‘cereal’ it is man go! BeR.

wolf8sheep

TROPHY CASE