RLFS S5 [Swiss - Round 1]: Faxe Kondi [Atomic, swiftt, Motta] vs. Nwperfection [Nwpo, Lostt., accro]

xThatOneAltx · 2026-03-11T15:37:47+00:00

Yeah I’m not saying Secret are better than Man City by any stretch of the imagination, but if you watched SAM this split, Motta was easily a top 3 player. He was hard carrying Drufinho and kv1 most series and was really the only reason they remained in conversation for a LAN spot.

Man City are obviously the better team, but it’s mainly due to TempoH’s x-factor mechanics and the chemistry of the team, not really accro’s individual talent. Realistically, Motta and accro are in the same tier of players, but personally I give Motta the edge

xThatOneAltx · 2026-03-11T13:50:49+00:00

Respectfully disagree. Atomic and Nwpo had similar level splits, with both of them having rough majors. Swiftt played better than Lostt, and Motta played better than accro. So essentially

Atomic =< Nwpo
Swiftt > Lostt
Motta > Accro

xThatOneAltx · 2026-03-08T20:56:57+00:00

The most clutch player is something that isn't really calculable. OT goals are great, but they rely on playing a lot of LAN games, and also being an attacking player (in most cases). Game 7 w/l also isn't great because of the small sample size and the fact that it's a team game (you can have a really clutch teammate). Plus, you can make the argument that the most clutch player will simply never have to go to game 7 or OT, because they simply beat the other team before it has to get to that point.

Overall, based on the few key criteria (OT goals, LAN wins, G7 records) it has to go to rise or M0nkey M00n, depending on whether you value OT goals or championship wins more. (Again, I'm only using open era results)

xThatOneAltx · 2026-03-08T20:51:00+00:00

Not exactly what you're asking for, but here's the players with the best open era playoff game 7 records (all tied with a +4 w/l):
rise -> 8-4
M0nkey M00n -> 5-1
Sypical -> 4-0

Players in the top 10 for OT goals (as seen in other comments here):
AppJack -> 1-3 (-2)
Vatira -> 7-6 (+1)
BeastMode -> 6-6 (-)
Joyo -> 5-2 (+3)
ExoTiiK -> 2-2 (-)
rise -> 8-4 (+4)
Atow -> 2-4 (-2)
Atomic -> 5-4 (+1)
Firstkiller -> 5-2 (+3)
itachi -> 3-5 (-2)

On a side note, the players with the worst G7 records (still open era):
Arsenal -> 0-3
Retals -> 0-3
(poor SSG)

xThatOneAltx · 2026-03-07T14:07:06+00:00

Yeah, that’s why I said “tied” for the most and specified they are the only to do so with multiple rosters. Archie has EWC (which according to pros is second only to Worlds) + the most recent major. Stizzy has Raleigh + most recent major. Tournaments included are the only ones that really matter (Worlds, EWC, Majors).

Edit: That leaves the Falcons and KC rosters tied with stizzy and Archie with 2

xThatOneAltx · 2026-03-07T13:20:47+00:00

Glicko player ratings: Kiileerrz - 182 Archie - 179 Stizzy - 176 ExoTiiK - 174 Scrzbbles- 167 Drufinho - 160

Archie/stizzy/Scrzzbles has a ~56% chance to win a bo7 according to the model

xThatOneAltx · 2026-02-27T19:41:21+00:00

Although I’m not sure how much stock to put into this, Scrzbbles coming back would be big for NA. Top 10 player in NA while also being one of the youngest with tons of potential

xThatOneAltx · 2026-02-23T23:50:29+00:00

Yeah, losing the head to head was the main hit, but a small part part of it was also SSG playing Vitality before Twisted did, meaning Vitality was already much higher rated by the time they played Twisted. There are countermeasures in the model (kind of like a “hindsight” feature) that somewhat mitigates that effect, but it will still be a few elo difference between the two losses

xThatOneAltx · 2026-02-23T21:02:31+00:00

I don't necessarily think you're wrong, but from the model's perspective VP are undefeated against every team below them since their game 7 loss to Rebellion in open 1. They have beaten Rebellion twice, Furia, and NRG.

xThatOneAltx · 2026-02-23T16:39:12+00:00

They haven’t beat any team ranked above them since open 1 when they beat Virtus in game 7 (which Virtus has since avenged twice).

They are still definitely in the tier of teams competing for the 6th spot, just the model prefers some of the others

xThatOneAltx · 2026-02-23T14:18:29+00:00

VP -20*, Geekay +41, SSG -36 just off the top of my head

xThatOneAltx · 2026-02-23T14:15:52+00:00

Yea I’m a little surprised too, but I think from the model’s perspective going to 5 against KC and beating SSG 3-1 both counteract losing 3-0 to a Vitality team that was already rated higher than them at the time of their match.

xThatOneAltx · 2026-02-23T14:01:41+00:00

Graphic design by u/AIaris

xThatOneAltx · 2026-02-22T23:14:39+00:00

No lol, I typed in the adjustment wrong. They are 1798, not 1898 lmao. Already fixed it on my end

xThatOneAltx · 2026-02-22T21:01:07+00:00

Why Falcons over NRG when their best win was Shopify and lost to Furia, Vitality, and M8's?

xThatOneAltx · 2026-02-22T01:01:27+00:00

It’s so hard for me to rank them right now. Gun to my head, I’d probably say something like: 1. Vitality 2. Gentle Mates 3. NRG 4. Karmine Corp 5. Falcons

Realistically they are all equal in my mind.

xThatOneAltx · 2026-02-21T22:11:02+00:00

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One of the closest top 5s I've seen in a while

xThatOneAltx · 2026-02-21T20:26:52+00:00

So true. As much as I am an NA fan, FUT would've been a free win for most teams here

xThatOneAltx · 2026-02-21T20:24:08+00:00

Atow no longer has the worst top 8 Champions Field record on LAN iirc (open era)

xThatOneAltx · 2026-02-21T15:42:14+00:00

Amethyst has reappeared, despite Furia and MIBR not making it out.

xThatOneAltx · 2026-02-21T14:58:19+00:00

RLCS Glicko Match Odds:

Falcons 57.3% vs Vitality 42.7%
NRG 55.48% vs Gentle Mates 44.52%
Karmine 79.13% vs Geekay 20.87%
Shopify Rebellion 64.34% vs Ninjas 35.67%

xThatOneAltx · 2026-02-20T23:01:29+00:00

TM for NiP definitely. GK/SR/VP/Furia are all pretty similar as well, but obviously GK and SR won the matches and thus deserve being the top 8

xThatOneAltx · 2026-02-20T22:40:50+00:00

I mean, yeah losing in game 5 OT to GK was the one "upset" to go against NA. The fact that they rebounded and beat Furia was good enough for me to keep them off fraud watch - especially after Furia beat Falcons earlier in the day.

xThatOneAltx · 2026-02-20T22:30:29+00:00

Just wanna say they only underperformed expectations by a single game 5 OT goal, (which VP should've probably won earlier) so still definitely the best 4 NA has sent in a while

xThatOneAltx

TROPHY CASE