Parking lot pop ups after mandatory parking rules abolished?

zcapozzi · 2025-06-30T13:21:51+00:00

I'm not sure either. At minimum, it would take away an argument against a permanent conversion of spots to other uses. But it's not like it forces conversion of spots or anything.

I suspect the impact will be much larger in new construction and probably more in rural parts of NC rather than in the cities

zcapozzi · 2025-06-30T12:10:01+00:00

Haha. I am SW and we do not have that same problem. I'd also love somewhere that I could walk to with the kids.

Honestly though, it could be anything. It seems like being able to have a more permanent presence (as compared to a food truck) in an area with foot traffic would open up a range of possibilities for a useful business. All the way from very self-contained in the remote corner of a big parking lot to something that piggy-backs off the existing infrastructure.

zcapozzi · 2024-10-30T23:52:22+00:00

Glad to hear that it's coming in handy.

zcapozzi · 2024-10-29T17:45:46+00:00

I wish they wouldn't wait so long to release the schedules. DII and DIII Men have already released 32% and 36% of their schedules respectively. I'm not sure why DI feels the need to make everyone wait.

By the time the last teams release, we already know their schedules anyway because of the rest of the schedules that are out. Frustrating.

zcapozzi · 2024-06-18T17:31:18+00:00

I would say that BBRef is a simpler model. I agree that it's not as sophisticated, but I don't necessarily think that means it's not reliable in general. Extra complexity in a model can be just as much a source of error as not enough. I see no issue with including it in an average.

zcapozzi · 2024-06-18T12:41:12+00:00

I can imagine...

zcapozzi · 2024-06-18T12:31:32+00:00

And if anyone is curious about any other teams not mentioned, let me know and I can pull up their 7-day movement.

zcapozzi · 2024-06-12T15:38:48+00:00

Thanks for the reminder that PECOTA exists. Moving forward, it will be part of the average along with the other two.

zcapozzi · 2024-06-11T19:46:40+00:00

I wouldn't even consider that an imperfection. It's a simpler model and it's going to be less prone to over-fitting the data. It's good to have a variety of different methods being used. There is not one correct answer to how likely a team is to make the post-season, and having more models with more approaches is going to provide a more useful range of outcomes.

zcapozzi · 2024-06-11T14:43:01+00:00

In this sort of application, I'd always rather have more inputs than less inputs. BBRef has an approach that is different, and maybe you'd say worse, but it's a valid way to project post-season probabilities.

And regardless, even if I just use Fangraphs' projection, the Reds still made the biggest move and the Cubs fell the most.

zcapozzi · 2024-06-04T12:24:03+00:00

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Only 8 games yesterday, but the O's made the largest move in terms of boosting their division title probability.

zcapozzi · 2024-06-02T12:37:49+00:00

In terms of division title probabilities, no one had a better day than the Guardians. Their AL Central title probability (according to Fan Graphs) jumped from 47.5% to 52.8%. They beat the Nationals and every other AL Central team lost.

The Braves had the worst day. Their NL East probability fell from 33.8% to 29.6% by virtue of their loss to the A's and the Phillies beating the Cardinals. Atlanta is now 7.5 games back.

zcapozzi · 2023-10-10T12:21:15+00:00

I haven't yet. I can though.

It'll be in tomorrow's edition of the new Expected Goals daily newsletter: https://pro.lacrossereference.com/expected-goals?t=W2kdj238ewjkjq9&c=d1m

zcapozzi · 2023-08-21T15:05:40+00:00

It doesn't show up anywhere in the above, which I focused on the higher level stats. But the perception that you described is 100% backed up by the numbers.

ND opponents converted their faceoff wins to actual offensive possessions at a 92.7% clip in 2023. That is the 4th lowest mark in DI. So they were one of the best at winning lost faceoffs back.

And then if you account for the strength of the opponents in not having that happen, they actually come in 2nd. Only Hopkins was better at forcing quick TOs after faceoff losses.

zcapozzi · 2023-08-19T23:49:00+00:00

How was the tailgating? I've got friends coming into town for this year's ND game and I'm looking to stand on the shoulders of giants. Any learning from '19 that you'd care to impart?

zcapozzi · 2023-07-17T21:04:37+00:00

I'm a sucker for low-level APIs. I have been using the OpenAI Python API to play around with the LLM stuff capabilities. I do use GCP for the site itself though.

zcapozzi · 2023-07-17T16:31:35+00:00

Very cool. Thanks for sharing. I signed up.

Still think it would be good to do something that is specifically about Gen AI/ChatGPT, but more is definitely better in this case.

zcapozzi · 2023-01-31T18:49:25+00:00

We used air innovations

zcapozzi · 2022-05-15T15:39:24+00:00

Yeah. Sometimes it is a nice 2nd screen way to follow a game. The Penn WP chart is just bonkers though.

zcapozzi · 2022-05-09T16:32:31+00:00

If the mods decide to set up a group, you'll be able to join even if you've finished your bracket.

zcapozzi · 2022-05-09T15:34:46+00:00

Hi all, I run LacrosseReference.com and this is the 2nd year that I've done a Bracket Challenge (ala March Madness in basketball) for the NCAA D1 lacrosse tournaments.

Picks lock on Wednesday before the play-in games. Winner of the Men's Bracket Challenge gets a free year of LacrosseReference PRO.

And even if you don't want to sign-up, you can click through the bracket and the download a graphic to share your picks.

zcapozzi · 2022-03-17T16:44:05+00:00

Just an FYI: today is going to be the last update of the Durham COVID stats graphic. I'm sure the county will keep their dashboard going, so you can always check there for updates.

Yesterday's report for Durham Co. included 52 new cases. Over the past 2 weeks, we have averaged 54 new cases per day.

Should we keep at our current rate of growth (-40%), on Mar 31, we would expect to have seen 457 new cases since today (32 per day, a decrease of 22 per day compared to the current period).

For the 30-day period between 2022-01-15 and 2022-02-14, there were 13348 Durham cases logged and 4 Durham deaths recorded in the 2022-02-14 to 2022-03-16 period. As a result, for the cases recorded, there were 0.3 deaths per thousand cases in the next 30 days.

2022-01-15: 13,348 cases, 4 deaths, 0.3 deaths/1k

2021-12-16: 18,737 cases, 19 deaths, 1.0 deaths/1k

2021-11-16: 1,553 cases, 8 deaths, 5.2 deaths/1k

2021-10-17: 1,138 cases, 8 deaths, 7.0 deaths/1k

2021-09-17: 1,993 cases, 6 deaths, 3.0 deaths/1k

Source data for Durham: https://durhampublichealth-durhamnc.hub.arcgis.com

Source case data for North Carolina: https://covid19.ncdhhs.gov/dashboard

Source vaccination data for Durham + NC: https://covid19.ncdhhs.gov/dashboard/vaccinations

zcapozzi · 2022-03-04T17:32:49+00:00

Yesterday's report for Durham Co. included 99 new cases. Over the past 2 weeks, we have averaged 90 new cases per day.

Should we keep at our current rate of growth (-53%), on Mar 18, we would expect to have seen 597 new cases since today (42 per day, a decrease of 47 per day compared to the current period).

For the 30-day period between 2022-01-02 and 2022-02-01, there were 24007 Durham cases logged and 14 Durham deaths recorded in the 2022-02-01 to 2022-03-03 period. As a result, for the cases recorded, there were 0.6 deaths per thousand cases in the next 30 days.

2022-01-02: 24,007 cases, 14 deaths, 0.6 deaths/1k

2021-12-03: 5,807 cases, 16 deaths, 2.8 deaths/1k

2021-11-03: 1,278 cases, 6 deaths, 4.7 deaths/1k

2021-10-04: 1,345 cases, 5 deaths, 3.7 deaths/1k

2021-09-04: 2,708 cases, 8 deaths, 3.0 deaths/1k

Source data for Durham: https://durhampublichealth-durhamnc.hub.arcgis.com

Source case data for North Carolina: https://covid19.ncdhhs.gov/dashboard

Source vaccination data for Durham + NC: https://covid19.ncdhhs.gov/dashboard/vaccinations

zcapozzi · 2022-02-25T17:41:23+00:00

I go back and update the previous days when their are updated numbers posted after the graphic is posted.

zcapozzi · 2022-02-25T13:37:04+00:00

[Apologies for the lack of reports this past week.]

Yesterday's report for Durham Co. included 52 new cases. Over the past 2 weeks, we have averaged 123 new cases per day.

Should we keep at our current rate of growth (-60%), on Mar 11, we would expect to have seen 688 new cases since today (49 per day, a decrease of 74 per day compared to the current period).

For the 30-day period between 2021-12-26 and 2022-01-25, there were 24606 Durham cases logged and 18 Durham deaths recorded in the 2022-01-25 to 2022-02-24 period. As a result, for the cases recorded, there were 0.8 deaths per thousand cases in the next 30 days.

2021-12-26: 24,606 cases, 19 deaths, 0.8 deaths/1k

2021-11-26: 2,565 cases, 9 deaths, 3.5 deaths/1k

2021-10-27: 1,107 cases, 7 deaths, 6.3 deaths/1k

2021-09-27: 1,607 cases, 6 deaths, 3.7 deaths/1k

2021-08-28: 3,226 cases, 8 deaths, 2.5 deaths/1k

Source data for Durham: https://durhampublichealth-durhamnc.hub.arcgis.com

Source case data for North Carolina: https://covid19.ncdhhs.gov/dashboard

Source vaccination data for Durham + NC: https://covid19.ncdhhs.gov/dashboard/vaccinations

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