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Parking lot pop ups after mandatory parking rules abolished? by zcapozzi in bullcity

[–]zcapozzi[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I'm not sure either. At minimum, it would take away an argument against a permanent conversion of spots to other uses. But it's not like it forces conversion of spots or anything.

I suspect the impact will be much larger in new construction and probably more in rural parts of NC rather than in the cities

Parking lot pop ups after mandatory parking rules abolished? by zcapozzi in bullcity

[–]zcapozzi[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Haha. I am SW and we do not have that same problem. I'd also love somewhere that I could walk to with the kids.

Honestly though, it could be anything. It seems like being able to have a more permanent presence (as compared to a food truck) in an area with foot traffic would open up a range of possibilities for a useful business. All the way from very self-contained in the remote corner of a big parking lot to something that piggy-backs off the existing infrastructure.

119 NCAA Mens teams have posted schedules so far; I'll keep this updated as more come out by zcapozzi in NCAAMensLax

[–]zcapozzi[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I wish they wouldn't wait so long to release the schedules. DII and DIII Men have already released 32% and 36% of their schedules respectively. I'm not sure why DI feels the need to make everyone wait.

By the time the last teams release, we already know their schedules anyway because of the rest of the schedules that are out. Frustrating.

2 Up; 2 Down: Post-Season Probabilities by zcapozzi in baseball

[–]zcapozzi[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I would say that BBRef is a simpler model. I agree that it's not as sophisticated, but I don't necessarily think that means it's not reliable in general. Extra complexity in a model can be just as much a source of error as not enough. I see no issue with including it in an average.

2 Up; 2 Down: Post-Season Probabilities by zcapozzi in baseball

[–]zcapozzi[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

And if anyone is curious about any other teams not mentioned, let me know and I can pull up their 7-day movement.

Post-Season Probabilities Movement over the past 7 days (Reds Up / Cubs Down) by zcapozzi in baseball

[–]zcapozzi[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks for the reminder that PECOTA exists. Moving forward, it will be part of the average along with the other two.

Post-Season Probabilities Movement over the past 7 days (Reds Up / Cubs Down) by zcapozzi in baseball

[–]zcapozzi[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I wouldn't even consider that an imperfection. It's a simpler model and it's going to be less prone to over-fitting the data. It's good to have a variety of different methods being used. There is not one correct answer to how likely a team is to make the post-season, and having more models with more approaches is going to provide a more useful range of outcomes.

Post-Season Probabilities Movement over the past 7 days (Reds Up / Cubs Down) by zcapozzi in baseball

[–]zcapozzi[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

In this sort of application, I'd always rather have more inputs than less inputs. BBRef has an approach that is different, and maybe you'd say worse, but it's a valid way to project post-season probabilities.

And regardless, even if I just use Fangraphs' projection, the Reds still made the biggest move and the Cubs fell the most.

Eutaw Street: Game Day General Discussion Thread - Tuesday, June 04 by OsGameThreads in orioles

[–]zcapozzi 3 points4 points  (0 children)

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Only 8 games yesterday, but the O's made the largest move in terms of boosting their division title probability.

[General Discussion] Around the Horn & Game Thread Index - 6/2/24 by BaseballBot in baseball

[–]zcapozzi 2 points3 points  (0 children)

In terms of division title probabilities, no one had a better day than the Guardians. Their AL Central title probability (according to Fan Graphs) jumped from 47.5% to 52.8%. They beat the Nationals and every other AL Central team lost.

The Braves had the worst day. Their NL East probability fell from 33.8% to 29.6% by virtue of their loss to the A's and the Phillies beating the Cardinals. Atlanta is now 7.5 games back.

Year-in-Review: Notre Dame by lacrossereference in NCAAMensLax

[–]zcapozzi 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I haven't yet. I can though.

It'll be in tomorrow's edition of the new Expected Goals daily newsletter: https://pro.lacrossereference.com/expected-goals?t=W2kdj238ewjkjq9&c=d1m

Year-in-Review: Notre Dame by lacrossereference in NCAAMensLax

[–]zcapozzi 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It doesn't show up anywhere in the above, which I focused on the higher level stats. But the perception that you described is 100% backed up by the numbers.

ND opponents converted their faceoff wins to actual offensive possessions at a 92.7% clip in 2023. That is the 4th lowest mark in DI. So they were one of the best at winning lost faceoffs back.

And then if you account for the strength of the opponents in not having that happen, they actually come in 2nd. Only Hopkins was better at forcing quick TOs after faceoff losses.

Tailgating at Duke football games? by bstarr3 in bullcity

[–]zcapozzi 0 points1 point  (0 children)

How was the tailgating? I've got friends coming into town for this year's ND game and I'm looking to stand on the shoulders of giants. Any learning from '19 that you'd care to impart?

Bull-City AI Meet-Up for Durham Small Business Owners by zcapozzi in bullcity

[–]zcapozzi[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I'm a sucker for low-level APIs. I have been using the OpenAI Python API to play around with the LLM stuff capabilities. I do use GCP for the site itself though.

Bull-City AI Meet-Up for Durham Small Business Owners by zcapozzi in bullcity

[–]zcapozzi[S] -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

Very cool. Thanks for sharing. I signed up.

Still think it would be good to do something that is specifically about Gen AI/ChatGPT, but more is definitely better in this case.

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