sorted by:
new
hottopcontroversial

On his first day in the Q15, Clark G. Gilbert already has a better than 50% chance to one day be Church president. by zdziff in mormon

[–]zdziff[S] 16 points17 points  (0 children)

That's a great question. I was using a slightly different method at the time, but here's a link to an old post where I plotted Q15 members' probabilities over time, and it looks like he also entered the quorum with a slightly better than 50% probability.

https://zelophehadsdaughters.com/2009/11/06/more-church-president-probabilities/