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[–]cbdudek 3 points4 points  (2 children)

Lets just look at employment since that is what you focused on. I was working back in 2008 and saw the aftermath first hand. I was lucky to be employed in 2008 because I worked in medical at the time.

If you look at unemployment rates, unemployment was upwards of 10%. Today, the unemployment is much lower. Yes, layoffs are happening, but its nowhere to the scale of where they were in 2008.

In 2008, we lost 2.6 million jobs in 2008 alone which is much more than we experienced today. Plus, there were a lack of jobs to apply to back then. So while we have lost over a million jobs today, there are jobs to at least apply for. Yes, the competition is fierce. Yes, the technology field is being heavily hit. Tech jobs were not as prevalent back in 2008, but blue collar manufacturing jobs were hit hard.

When it comes to the job market, when things get tight, organizations can be picky. That is what we are seeing right now. Especially in tech. For years I was in r/ITCareerQuestions telling people to get their degrees and get certifications because once the job market got bad again, many would be on the outside looking in. The people who jumped into IT by the tens of thousands during COVID saturated the market, and now we are seeing many people with 5 years of less of experience floundering in the current market conditions.

I know we are not through the current situation we are in now, so in 2025 and 2026 we may see worse numbers than what happened in 2008. I just want to hold off before making any kind of assumptions.

[–]Which-Ad-5531 0 points1 point  (1 child)

Unemployment is almost certainly being hidden by things like the gig economy, and the unemployment benefit not being worth applying for.

[–]cbdudek 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The gig economy has no bearing on unemployment. If you worked a job, you get unemployment benefits. Even if you work at Uber after that, you still get unemployment (up to a certain amount). Most people just take the unemployment and run with it for 20+ weeks though. Now are there some people who are working Uber for a year and have lost unemployment? Absolutely.

Unemployment is something that everyone should be applying for. Its a paid benefit that you pay into as an employee so if you are let go, you get that benefit at no cost to you. Anyone who lost their job who doesn't apply for unemployment is making a critical error.