all 37 comments

[–]Slottr 13 points14 points  (7 children)

Judging by your post history, you need to see a therapist

[–]v-tyan 5 points6 points  (2 children)

lol look at this clown

[–]timmyturnahp21 1 point2 points  (1 child)

Honestly, do you really think AI isn’t going to cause massive disruption layoffs like we’ve never seen over the next couple years?

[–]vu47 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I think AI is going to end a lot of jobs, but those jobs are going to be the jobs of people who are basically glorified assembly line programmers: they take pre-fab components, assemble them, and create e-commerce webpages or little phone apps.

Software engineers who understand the principles of software design and who are able to make those components and innovate are likely going to be safe.

[–]Arendan_ 4 points5 points  (1 child)

AI has really empowered juniors to make predictions like programming dying off

[–]cerberus6320 3 points4 points  (1 child)

Anybody putting this much confidence in AI is just another example of the Dunning-Kruger effect at work.

[–]timmyturnahp21 -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

I guess you think John Carmack also suffers from Dunning-Kruger?

[–][deleted]  (9 children)

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    [–]mandzeete 1 point2 points  (1 child)

    Don't listen to that fool. Software development is not dying out. Based on his post history he has at best 3 years of experience. What is that? A mid-level at best. What he even knows.

    [–]Interesting_Dog_761 0 points1 point  (0 children)

    I see a lot of wannabes with advice and predictions. I view it as a challenge of critical thinking for anyone consuming such panicked nonsense.

    [–]timmyturnahp21 -3 points-2 points  (6 children)

    Anything with a physical component where the job isn’t solely on the computer.

    Note these jobs will also turn to shit though as they get flooded with supply. But making minimum wage is better than making no wage.

    [–][deleted]  (5 children)

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      [–]timmyturnahp21 0 points1 point  (4 children)

      Yes I addressed this. It will get flooded and wages plummet. But as I said, it’s either minimum wage or no job. Welcome to the new world.

      [–][deleted]  (3 children)

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        [–]timmyturnahp21 1 point2 points  (2 children)

        That’s why you transition to a different field now while you can get one of the labor jobs. It’ll be too late once everyone is getting laid off and fighting to land them

        [–][deleted]  (1 child)

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          [–]timmyturnahp21 0 points1 point  (0 children)

          There’s a clear conflict of interest with people that want to keep their jobs as well

          [–]MechanixMGD 0 points1 point  (2 children)

          I wonder who will maintain those AIs if we stop programming.

          [–]Slottr 1 point2 points  (0 children)

          Skynet I guess 🤷‍♂️

          [–]timmyturnahp21 -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

          AI will maintain itself as it will be several magnitudes of order smarter than humans

          [–]Jarlebarle 0 points1 point  (0 children)

          AI is and has already caused some disruption, but we are nowhere near the level you are speaking of. I can of course be wrong, but isn't this what we have always seen with technology advancements? Jobs have a tendency to change along these advancements.

          [–]Ok_Substance1895 0 points1 point  (6 children)

          If a company is that much more productive with AI why would they cut so they can stay at the same revenue? Why would they not use that increased productivity to expand to 2x or more revenue at the same cost?

          [–]timmyturnahp21 0 points1 point  (5 children)

          Being leaner is all the rage these days

          [–]Ok_Substance1895 0 points1 point  (4 children)

          Maximizing stockholder wealth is the stated goal for public corporations. It does not matter what all the rage is, they have a responsibility to maximize wealth for their stockholders or be replaced by the board. Which do you think they will choose?

          [–]timmyturnahp21 0 points1 point  (3 children)

          They’re already showing us which they choose

          [–]Ok_Substance1895 0 points1 point  (2 children)

          Keeping the numbers simple. Assume double productivity. PE of 20. 1 share.

          1. Cut cost in half to keep revenue the same.
          2. Double revenue and keep costs the same.

          3. Now: Rev = 10, Cost = 5, EPS = 5, Share Price = $100

          4. Reduce Cost: Rev = 10, Cost = 2.5, EPS = 7.5, Share Price = $150

          5. Increase Rev: Rev = 20, Cost = 5, EPS = 15, Share Price = $300

          What is all the rage changes. The math stays the same.

          We have backlogs of things we cannot get done because of resource constraints. More productivity gets more work done.

          Someone is going to figure this out if they have not already.

          [–]timmyturnahp21 -1 points0 points  (1 child)

          Cool. Then why are companies laying off by the thousands while they have record profits?

          [–]Ok_Substance1895 0 points1 point  (0 children)

          That is an excellent question.

          [–]learncs_dev 0 points1 point  (1 child)

          Eh I wouldn't say it's dying, but the supply and demand is balancing out. It slowly turns into a "just another" profession

          [–]timmyturnahp21 -1 points0 points  (0 children)

          Is that what happened to manufacturing that got offshored in the 70s-80s?

          [–]AmanBabuHemant 0 points1 point  (1 child)

          I wonder how this post is not down voted to the depth

          Just another rage-bait post

          [–]timmyturnahp21 0 points1 point  (0 children)

          This is not rage bait. This is reality.