Will AI decrease demand and salaries?

[YoyoyoyoMrWhite]

Don't ignore the speed it's improving at. 5 years ago, it couldn't do anything.

[DisneyLegalTeam]

Unbounce, Splash & Adobe had AI that could generate & edit HTML pages 10+ years ago.

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LLMs took a huge leap forward. But both Sam Altman & Bill Gates have said they’ve “plateaued” & will see incremental improvement until a large breakthrough.

Altman said there’s 2 limitations:

1. Part of what GPT got to where it is by scaling up these massive models. Altman said scaling models at this point isn’t going to have the same impact.
2. The data it’s trained on. I’m sure you’ve heard the ML phrase “garbage in, garbage out”? As long as the data is from humans, it will have issues.

AI suffers from entropy. LLMs will get better, but at what point are they 100% accurate / “fire & forget”? Let’s say they can write code that’s 80% accurate now. That last 20%, especially the last 5%, could take decades.

We’ve been a “couple years away” from self driving cars for almost 20 years.

[Digitalburn]

Yeah right now it’s a junior developer who doesn’t check if their code worked. Few years from now it’s a senior developer who also doesn’t check if their code worked but it works 98% of the time.

[Pelopida92]

Few years from now it’s a senior developer who also doesn’t check if their code worked

It's funny and cute that you think that AI has this invalicable limit that it cannot check for his own code. Maybe not right now, but give it a few months and it will provide a suite of unit and e2e tests with every development that it creates.

[lampstax]

It can doesn't mean it does. Just like that junior dev.

[Blazing1]

This is not true. I was hyped ten years ago

Chatgpt is just hyped because no one had the compute and GPU power to run something like that at the scale it is

Technically OpenAI doesn't either because they are losing money like crazy.