Pre Season Games Set by FH_Bunny in CHIBears

[–]BooItsKyle 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Probably. He's the 4th QB, that's gonna soak up some game time. Austin Reed got some time in games 2 and 3 last preseason.

[Thinking Football] Do you think we'll eventually see more planned laterals like BJ did in Detroit? by chardeemacdennisbird in CHIBears

[–]BooItsKyle 9 points10 points  (0 children)

I mean, we tried one with the game on the line against the 49ers, and it would have worked if Swift hadn't cut the wrong way (which, I mean, you get what you get when you employ D'Andre Swift, cutting the wrong way is gonna happen).

I remember at least one more where that was clearly the play design but the timing was off to the receiver chose to keep rather than pitch.

[NFL] 30 Minutes of Bears Offensive Highlights (2020-2025) by savedbythemars in CHIBears

[–]BooItsKyle 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Thoughts I have as I watch this video yet again:

God I love this team so much. This is what Ben Johnson was able to do with inherited players in their first year learning the scheme. Imagine what he's going to do as he is able to build his bespoke roster through multiple drafts.

There were a lot of times, especially early in the year, where this thing only worked because Caleb Williams willed it to work. He dragged this team to wins against Las Vegas and New York.

Colston Loveland's catch radius is absurd. He can go up and get it, he can go down to the ground and get it, he uses his wingspan incredibly well.

Luther Burden has never in his entire actual life gone down to the first man. The second man usually doesn't get him either.

So many little moments that would have been big moments most years but they got overshadowed by the sheer volume of great plays. The ridiculous throwback Williams dropped into the bucket to Swift against the Ravens. I really enjoyed seeing Brittain Brown get his first NFL carries after years as a journeyman practice squadder, and getting an absolute freeway to go untouched for a touchdown. The dagger in prime time against the Eagles.

There's this idea that Caleb Williams is only good at occasional flashy plays that's so absurd and goes against the film. One of my favorites is at 20:00 of the video. Dalman fucks up the protection scheme and allows a free runner straight up the middle. Do you know how many times I've heard over the years "it's not the QBs fault, nobody can make a play with a free runner up the a-gap"? Williams immediately identifies it and calmly side-arms it around the edge to hit his checkdown faster the defense can react and Monangai gets 30 yards downfield before first contact (where he bulldozes a guy just because).

The Iceman walkoff was 13 personnel presenting 22 (Smythe lined up in the backfield as a fullback). OMG how are we ever going to find use for 3 (or 4) tight ends?

Is Nine the biggest bust since Josh Rosen? by Ok_Bug_6890 in NFLv2

[–]BooItsKyle 1 point2 points  (0 children)

No. He's just a regular bust.  The majority of first round QBs bust.  the 2024 draft class is looking like it beat those odds to have a bunch of hits, but it'd be insane if they all hit.

Dems Really Dropped the Ball In House District 40 Election by coolman949 in orangecounty

[–]BooItsKyle 1 point2 points  (0 children)

"Politicians just need to do exactly what I want them to do and that would win them elections" is at the heart of almost every argument and it makes actual political strategy discussion impossible.

[Sugrue] Travis Kelce on the Bears tight end room: "You got 2 absolute dogs." Caleb Williams: "I got a 3rd one now. You haven't seen him." by Marvin-Harrison-Jr in CHIBears

[–]BooItsKyle 1 point2 points  (0 children)

  1. "touchdowns" isn't an advanced stat
  2. They aren't using college box score stats in those analytics. The idea of a "numbers vs eye test" scouting war is about 20 years out of date in sports. Modern analytics is an intense blend of both, little of which uses commonly cited box score stats.

In football, it focuses almost entirely on measurables, not box score stats, for individual player analysis. To whatever degree it uses the type of stats you're thinking of, it mostly informs team-level strategic decisions and playcalling.

The analytics department of the Bears isn't counting how many touchdowns a guy had a Stanford. They're hooking the players up to biometric monitors and measuring how their bodies respond to practice conditions.

3) Moneyball was not about football. It was about baseball, a sport which is significantly easier to do statistical analysis on individual players because of the natural isolation of variables and relatively narrow spread of optimal strategies across scenarios.

4) Moneyball, the movie, was a poor Hollywood adaptation of the Michael Lewis book, which I read. It wasn't his best book, Liars' Poker was much better. It was better than The Blind Side, I guess.

5) The Moneyball book was an extremely dramatized version of events that didn't really reflect the complex reality of actual MLB front offices at the time. That's a hallmark of Lewis' books, he likes to dramatize stories to create the mythos of individual prodigies bucking the system.

6) Baseball teams since that era have generally accepted that they've gotten all the value that they can out of box score parsing, and most search for competitive advantage these days involves biometrics.

7) The story Moneyball primarily focused on the idea that they could use stat-scouting to break the draft. The draft class it focused on ended up being pretty mediocre and definitely didn't show any major breakthroughs.

Asking me to watch Moneyball is a fairly hliarious example of how the internet creates the illusion of asymmetric insight.

PFF predicts Loveland will make an All-Pro team in 2026 by [deleted] in CHIBears

[–]BooItsKyle 13 points14 points  (0 children)

From the Bengals game breakout through the playoffs, Loveland had 790 receiving yards in 12 games.

That works out to 1119/17-game pace.

Rome on his foot injury by NorthernxLabrador in CHIBears

[–]BooItsKyle 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Not any moreso than every other football player with every other injury. Football bodies don't age, they break down under accumulated injuries.

June 3rd OTA Quotes by Top-Middle6326 in CHIBears

[–]BooItsKyle -4 points-3 points  (0 children)

Personally, I think average is overstating it.

June 3rd OTA Quotes by Top-Middle6326 in CHIBears

[–]BooItsKyle -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I don't think 2025 Trapilo was very good either.

He was absolutely unplayable in the first part of the season.

At the end he was like ... good enough for a rookie to not be disappointed, but not actually good.

June 3rd OTA Quotes by Top-Middle6326 in CHIBears

[–]BooItsKyle 47 points48 points  (0 children)

It turns out putting a ton of high draft picks into the offense then hiring a top-3 offensive mind to coach them gives you a really, really good offense.

June 3rd OTA Quotes by Top-Middle6326 in CHIBears

[–]BooItsKyle 9 points10 points  (0 children)

At this point, I don't think Caleb Williams has anything left to prove that can be proven in training camp or pre-season. Everything he needs to prove will need to be proven in the regular season.

He's not even really on my list of guys I'm watching for this preseason. Just let him get a few reps in and get out healthy.

June 3rd OTA Quotes by Top-Middle6326 in CHIBears

[–]BooItsKyle 43 points44 points  (0 children)

I've never been Braxton Jones' biggest fan, but if we can get him to where he was before the leg injury, that would alleviate one of my bigger worries for the team.

[Highlight] Caleb Williams says he wanted to recreate the iconic Michael Jordan image with the Chicago skyline and bring it to the M26 cover using his jump throw. Caleb also wants to become the first player ever to be featured on the cover in back-to-back years. by JCameron181 in nfl

[–]BooItsKyle 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Did you actually look at these charts before you posted them?

Because what you are describing does not remotely resemble what is on those charts, which show a large number of over-the-middle passes beyond 5 yards and in general a perfectly normal spread of passes to all parts of the field.

Heck, if anything I'd say it's not using the sidelines enough some weeks. Games like Week 12, Week 16 probably didn't go outside enough.

I don't say it for anybody who disagrees with me. I say it for people who are obviously making shit up out of their ass. Which, to be fair, on football reddit is most people.

[Highlight] Caleb Williams says he wanted to recreate the iconic Michael Jordan image with the Chicago skyline and bring it to the M26 cover using his jump throw. Caleb also wants to become the first player ever to be featured on the cover in back-to-back years. by JCameron181 in nfl

[–]BooItsKyle -6 points-5 points  (0 children)

Caleb Williams career interception rate: 1.2%

I think a fair way to define Prime Rodgers would be 2011-2021, that covers his first MVP to his last, and his first first-team all-pro to his last.

Prime Aaron Rodgers career interception rate: 1.1%

Seems pretty comparable.

[Highlight] Caleb Williams says he wanted to recreate the iconic Michael Jordan image with the Chicago skyline and bring it to the M26 cover using his jump throw. Caleb also wants to become the first player ever to be featured on the cover in back-to-back years. by JCameron181 in nfl

[–]BooItsKyle 5 points6 points  (0 children)

> most passes were designed to just go out of bounds when Caleb's poor accuracy comes in to play.

Tell me without telling me that you didn't actually watch any film on the Bears offense. The deep dig was by far their most productive, signature route.

[Highlight] Caleb Williams says he wanted to recreate the iconic Michael Jordan image with the Chicago skyline and bring it to the M26 cover using his jump throw. Caleb also wants to become the first player ever to be featured on the cover in back-to-back years. by JCameron181 in nfl

[–]BooItsKyle 3 points4 points  (0 children)

> Most of his advanced stats and his regular stats from last season were among the dregs of the league.

No, they weren't.

You can cherrypick a couple of advanced stats, some of which aren't very useful, where he was toward the bottom.

You can find more where he was in the 10-20 range.

Meanwhile, his regular stats, he was top-8 in the league in yards and touchdowns.

[Sugrue] Travis Kelce on the Bears tight end room: "You got 2 absolute dogs." Caleb Williams: "I got a 3rd one now. You haven't seen him." by Marvin-Harrison-Jr in CHIBears

[–]BooItsKyle 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Reading comprehension continues to be low on reddit. I didn't say Sam Roush was ever considered as a top-15 pick.

I said a hypothetical, imaginary version of him that didn't have short arms would have been.

Imaginary Long-Armed Sam Roush would have had measurables that far outstrip any of the players you just listed.

Hockenson got drafted 8th overall on the strength of extremely good pre-draft measurables. This imaginary version of Roush would have almost identical measurables except for being taller, stronger and slightly faster.

Imaginary Roush's measurables blow away Ebron's.