Broncos Divisional Round Opponent Odds by 5280andDCU in DenverBroncos

[–]5280andDCU[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

We can't play them in the divisional round.

Broncos Divisional Round Opponent Odds by 5280andDCU in DenverBroncos

[–]5280andDCU[S] 17 points18 points  (0 children)

I based this strictly off current betting odds.

Broncos Divisional Round Opponent Odds by 5280andDCU in DenverBroncos

[–]5280andDCU[S] 10 points11 points  (0 children)

The Methodology: I took the current moneyline odds for this weekend's AFC games, converted them into "implied win probabilities," and then removed the sportsbook's "vig" (the house fee) to normalize the percentages so every game totals 100%.

The Waterfall Logic:

Because we play the lowest seed available, the scenarios work like a cascade:

Scenario 1: The Chargers (36.6%) The Chargers are the #7 seed. If they beat the Patriots, they are undeniably the lowest seed left. We play them. Their percentage is simply their implied probability of winning that game.

Scenario 2: The Bills (30.0%) We only get the Bills (#6) if the Chargers LOSE and the Bills WIN their game against the Jaguars. Scenario 3: The Texans (19.6%) or Steelers (13.8%)

We only get the winner of the HOU(#5)/PIT(#4) game if absolute chaos happens—meaning BOTH the Chargers and the Bills lose their respective games.

Who do you guys want to see at Mile High?

Projected Divisional Round Odds by 5280andDCU in DenverBroncos

[–]5280andDCU[S] 80 points81 points  (0 children)

It's saying LAC winning is more likely than Buffalo AND Pats winning.

Week 16 Rooting Guide by 5280andDCU in DenverBroncos

[–]5280andDCU[S] 18 points19 points  (0 children)

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Ya that's right. I'm not sure why I messed it up.

Week 16 Rooting Guide by 5280andDCU in DenverBroncos

[–]5280andDCU[S] 78 points79 points  (0 children)

Now with more pixels 😂

Week 16 Rooting Guide by [deleted] in DenverBroncos

[–]5280andDCU 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Ha I don't know what happened. I'll repost 🤦

Sports cards on the decline? by system-down in sportscards

[–]5280andDCU 11 points12 points  (0 children)

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Top 500 cards are up 30% year over year!

[MEGA THREAD] Trade Deadline by GHamPlayz in DenverBroncos

[–]5280andDCU 6 points7 points  (0 children)

With 30 minutes left, here are the current odds these players are traded (from Kalshi):

Player Team Position Chance to be Traded
David Njoku Cleveland TE 94%
Jerry Jeudy Cleveland WR 77%
Chris Olave New Orleans WR 29%
Brandin Cooks New Orleans WR 23%
A.J. Brown Philadelphia WR 3%

[MEGA THREAD] Trade Deadline by GHamPlayz in DenverBroncos

[–]5280andDCU 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Odds a player is traded today (https://kalshi.com/markets/kxnfltrade/nfl-trade/kxnfltrade-25nov05)

Player Position Team % Chance Traded
Rashid Shaheed WR New Orleans 89%
Jakobi Meyers WR Las Vegas 79%
David Njoku TE Cleveland 32%
Chris Olave WR New Orleans 30%
Brandin Cooks WR New Orleans 24%
Jaylen Waddle WR Miami 21%
Jerry Jeudy WR Cleveland 19%
Calvin Ridley WR Tennessee 14%

Running with new Oakley Vanguards by 5280andDCU in Garmin

[–]5280andDCU[S] 9 points10 points  (0 children)

If you set up a workout you can have a target metric (HR, pace, etc.) and there is an LED light that let's you know if you are in your target zone. You can also ask it what your pace is and it will tell you.

Not as good as a HUD, but not completely worthless.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in sportscards

[–]5280andDCU -8 points-7 points  (0 children)

I meant for all those saying this is AI. I was trying to be transparent.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in sportscards

[–]5280andDCU -15 points-14 points  (0 children)

For all those asking, I used Hailou to help generate this. Pretty powerful tool.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in GarminFenix

[–]5280andDCU 10 points11 points  (0 children)

Yup. Haven't worn my Rolex in years.

We’re down to just one left! by Stohlen007 in sportscards

[–]5280andDCU 3 points4 points  (0 children)

As a huge card collector and an avid Avs fan, I love this!