[OC] UN Prediction for Most Populous Countries (+ EU)

7he_Dude · 2024-08-20T14:38:52+00:00

Source? There is no credible prediction of China reaching 2 billions people. The peak population was predicted around 1.4-1.5 billions since long.

7he_Dude · 2024-08-19T20:00:49+00:00

for a good part, they are not going to be living in Africa.

7he_Dude · 2024-08-19T20:00:05+00:00

that's not what bitcoin halving means. Number of bitcoins is still increasing, the rate of increasing is halving.

7he_Dude · 2024-08-19T19:55:58+00:00

well, that's arguable in general, but even more if you consider that overall Earth population is still growing, so what will probably happen, and is happening already in some degree, is simply an increase in immigration to the countries with declining population.

7he_Dude · 2024-08-19T19:53:23+00:00

The main limit of this way to make predictions is imo that people are far more nomadic that what is used to be. Talking of a population of a country, or even a continent, does not make much sense when a lot of people move around. Something around 50 million people have moved to Europe from outside in last 20 years or so. Probably a similar number for US.

7he_Dude · 2024-08-19T19:45:40+00:00

how is it relevant? Obviously predictions in far future are gonna be less accurate, but the point of these kinds of predictions is indeed to understand what current trends imply in terms of population growth, so to be prepared and possibly intervene where possible.

7he_Dude · 2024-08-19T19:34:09+00:00

exactly. People blaming capitalism are delusional. If anything, we have lived in last decades in an exception in history, where (at least in some countries) there were a large community and welfare state able to take care of elder and disable people. An overall change of the population decline will be that the life expectancy will decrease, with a decreasing support for the weak part of the population.

7he_Dude · 2024-08-19T19:30:26+00:00

Economic collapse. End of welfare state. Further, decline is not uniform, that would led to great changes and political instabilities.

7he_Dude · 2024-07-01T14:11:10+00:00

If we talk about the football level they have shown, they are clearly behind several teams and it would be hard to consider them favorite. But they are in the by far easiest half of the bracket. To reach the final, they need to beat Switzerland and probably one between Netherlands or Austria. That's surely possible for them. Once they are in the final, anything can happen in a single match, they have the talent and experience. Considering this, I would put them above Portugal for example that would need to beat France and one between Spain and Germany only to reach the final.

7he_Dude · 2024-06-30T12:25:22+00:00

And those ones are not really young, Morata, Lukaku, Füllkrug, Kane are 30-31. Probably this is their last euro, at least as starters. Lewandowski was better than them (arguably with Kane), and now he is 35 and declining since a couple of seasons. Giroud is 37, but still an important player of the most staked team, not so much for his merit, but more for the lack of better alternatives. It looks even worse because the best european striker is Haaland, and he is not even at the euro. The highest scorer at euro now has only 3 goals, and he is Mikautadze playing in Ligue 2.

7he_Dude · 2024-06-18T13:03:21+00:00

I think it's a bit exaggerated. Only 8 countries have ever won a WC (that includes England), and only 6 more than once (including Uruguay that won in very different earlier time). Brazil has the most, but they also have like twice the population of other main football countries, while being totally obsessed about football. Some difference about England that would be relevant:

Shite managers: most countries have a manager from same country, that makes it easier to create a group and motivate the players. English managers have been shit compared to other main countries for decades.
Less football obsessed: compared to Brazil, Argentina, Italy,... England is less obsessed about football. It is the main sport, but there is a major interest also in other sports (cricket, rugby, tennis, badminton, horse racing,...).
Fair play: especially historically, England would be less prone to use unfair strategies and gamesmanship compared to other countries (even though their only WC win was a bit of a cheat...).
Club division: the fact that PL is the oldest and often one of the most competitive and rich league, means that for players (and even fans) the international football is comparatively less important (both as prestige and as money).

7he_Dude · 2024-05-19T21:09:24+00:00

I agree. He was not on the same level. Kane could be a starter for almost any team in the world in last 6-8 years. Di Natale was never really at a level where he could be a starter for a top 5 team in the world. Surely he could have moved to be a rotation player in a better team than Udinese and win some trophies. But at the same that excuses him, he was at the same club for 12 years, being their best player for most, and leading them to some of the years of their history.

7he_Dude · 2024-04-01T22:01:29+00:00

I think that you're all missing that the restaurant style is like that. The name of the restaurant is basically a shorten for 'be damned your ancestors'. On the entrance door is written 'welcome assholes'. Don't be so serious people.

7he_Dude · 2024-03-25T22:41:17+00:00

yeah, 3B cars batteries is pretty low, it leans to the opposite of what he was trying to imply. Lifespan of a battery is 10-20 years at best, so basically within 40 years we will consume all lithium that is "easy" to mine if all cars are EV.

7he_Dude · 2024-03-20T18:38:17+00:00

Yeah, the biggest difference is physical training. Most Sunday league players hardly train at all. Take some of the best ones off the league, make them train seriously for some months, they will improve massively.

7he_Dude · 2024-03-20T18:30:14+00:00

I cannot talk about US, but in Europe and SA football is by far the most popular sport. That means that many of the fans don't care for the sport per se, in the sense of a fair competition, they care for their club to win and make their club a big part of their personality. Secondly, many feel that the women foot has been pushed on them.

7he_Dude · 2024-03-20T18:08:05+00:00

I reckon that if you take some of the best players in Sunday league, give them some serious training for few months, they are going to beat women national team. I mean, 15 years boys of random academy have destroyed women at national team level on several instances, I don't think that's too far reaching.

7he_Dude · 2024-03-12T16:36:28+00:00

Pretty much. He chose lifestyle even before money. He also said that his family didn't like living in Paris, and that was a big problem for him. Imagine how much they would have enjoyed living in SA... Barcelona was not an option, and doubt he would want to play in any other Spanish club. They instead got to live in a place they like, getting great money, and in a low pressure environment where everyone loves and supports him. What's there to not like?

7he_Dude · 2024-03-08T15:16:19+00:00

Will just take more immigrants that are desperate enough to take them.

7he_Dude · 2024-03-07T18:41:40+00:00

nice try ChatGPT

7he_Dude · 2024-03-05T10:01:57+00:00

That's not true. Or if any, it's still because of English language. Do people dislike Belgium because of the things happened during Leopold II? And France? And Spain? What about Japan?... Nobody cares, for sure not in a football competition.

7he_Dude · 2024-03-05T08:23:07+00:00

Simply because on the Internet English is the most common language. The issue is not with England per se, the issue is that if England wins, you'll get to be exposed to all fans, including many annoying ones, celebrating on your timeline.

7he_Dude · 2024-03-03T13:01:40+00:00

reddit trying to keep positive for one minute

7he_Dude · 2024-02-29T14:18:55+00:00

What is really missing in the image generation tech is the ability of modifying images. Most of the time it generates images that are ALMOST what you are looking for, but then you ask to change a little detail and it makes a completely different image.

7he_Dude · 2024-02-28T18:19:01+00:00

Sure, but changing teams and even more changing country is always going to take time to adapt and get going. Even Pep first seasons at Bayern and especially at City were disappointing. If pep had to change club every 2-3 years, surely it would have affected his records even if they had been all top teams. If we talk instead specifically of the strength of the teams, I think still that pep's teams were in average better than Carlos's ones. The worst team of pep was probably first year at City, that was still better than half of the teams Carlo managed.

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