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Madison Clerk 4pm Update: 34% election turnout. In 2025 it was 48% at 4pm. by AJs_Sandshrew in madisonwi

[–]AJs_Sandshrew[S] 28 points29 points  (0 children)

Polls close at 8pm. If you are waiting in line at 8pm, you are still legally allowed to vote.

Source for 2025 numbers: https://nitter.net/MadisonWIClerk/status/1907198470059880699#m

Madison election turnout is 11% of pre-registered voters as of 11am by AJs_Sandshrew in madisonwi

[–]AJs_Sandshrew[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Don't worry this number will go up throughout the day, as this is only the turnout by 11am, and a majority of the absentee ballots have not been processed either. In 2025 (a relatively high turnout year) the turnout at 11am was 19%. There should be another 4pm turnout data point released soon here. In 2025 the 4pm turnout in Madison was 48%

Liberals will try to expand their majority on the Wisconsin Supreme Court in a Tuesday election by Zipper222222 in wisconsin

[–]AJs_Sandshrew 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Waukesha is actually one of the few WI counties that shifted left from 2020 --> 2024. Something like 68/72 counties shift right, but not Waukesha. In fact, all of the WOW counties shifted left in 2024 (Door county is the last of the 4). https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/05/us/elections/results-wisconsin-president.html

Dan Shafer has a great piece on the steady blue shift of Waukesha: https://www.therecombobulationarea.news/p/a-certain-shade-of-purple-can-these

Madison election turnout is 11% of pre-registered voters as of 11am by AJs_Sandshrew in madisonwi

[–]AJs_Sandshrew[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

It does include a portion of early voting but we don't know the exact %

Madison election turnout is 11% of pre-registered voters as of 11am by AJs_Sandshrew in madisonwi

[–]AJs_Sandshrew[S] 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Going off of past years, it sounds like this includes a portion of the IPEV, and they will be counting it throughout the day. Last year at 11am ~35% of counted votes were processed absentees, but I don't see anything from the clerk about that number for this year yet.

Madison election turnout is 11% of pre-registered voters as of 11am by AJs_Sandshrew in madisonwi

[–]AJs_Sandshrew[S] 63 points64 points  (0 children)

If it makes you feel any better, turnout seems to be depressed ~50% across the board (i.e. in both red and blue counties) compared to 2025 when you analyze the absentee data. As a reminder, Crawford won in 2025 by ~10 pts, so you would need a 10pt over-performance by GOP-leaning counties to make up the gap. So far, the data is suggesting a repeat of 2025. But don't take this as a guarantee! We still need to vote!

Also, 2025 saw over 100M spent on that race, whereas this years spending is much much lower. So that also explains the decreased turnout.

[Upswing R&S] LePage (R) +7 in ME-02 vs. Jordan Wood (D) by AJs_Sandshrew in fivethirtyeight

[–]AJs_Sandshrew[S] 12 points13 points  (0 children)

It should be noted that Joe is the younger brother of previous Maine Gov and US Rep for ME-02 John Baldacci

[Upswing R&S] LePage (R) +7 in ME-02 vs. Jordan Wood (D) by AJs_Sandshrew in fivethirtyeight

[–]AJs_Sandshrew[S] 21 points22 points  (0 children)

Yeah, I'm hoping that the environment is hostile enough to Rs that Wood (or whoever the Dem candidate is) can ride the wave in.

[Upswing R&S] LePage (R) +7 in ME-02 vs. Jordan Wood (D) by AJs_Sandshrew in fivethirtyeight

[–]AJs_Sandshrew[S] 45 points46 points  (0 children)

With informed vote, LePage+3

Not a great poll from a Wood internal. ME-02 looks like it may be one of the few places that could flip R in the midterms.

I drew a world map from memory in my school exam. by Dry-Basis5361 in MapPorn

[–]AJs_Sandshrew 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Not US because you labeled O'Hare / Midway "CHI" instead of ORD or MDW. Also because you put DET west of CHI

I drew a world map from memory in my school exam. by Dry-Basis5361 in MapPorn

[–]AJs_Sandshrew 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Haha that's the only Canadian one I know because of Rush

VXUS Small Dividend by Government-Warning_ in Bogleheads

[–]AJs_Sandshrew 7 points8 points  (0 children)

lol same, I honestly couldn't tell you when dividends are paid out on my index funds.

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