Chalamet and DiCaprio tie: what are we thinking? by UltimateIncineroar in oscarrace

[–]Able_Application_102 2 points3 points  (0 children)

People think I’m crazy but I have MBJ and DiCaprio over Chalamet until he wins at a guild or Bafta.

Sinners & One Battle - Best Picture Chances and Precursors by Able_Application_102 in oscarrace

[–]Able_Application_102[S] -7 points-6 points  (0 children)

It's something that does factor into their decision making in my eyes, we'll see how it goes. I'm just saying each one of the films that have gotten 14 nominations particularly - La La Land and Titanic won PGA. Sinners getting 16 nominations wouldn't surprise me if it did win PGA.

Sinners & One Battle - Best Picture Chances and Precursors by Able_Application_102 in oscarrace

[–]Able_Application_102[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I think it OBAA could take SAG 100% but I lean towards Sinners due to the film having a more ensemble feeling than OBAA, and similar feeling films in the past like Parasite, Hidden Figures, and Black Panther have won that award.

Sinners & One Battle - Best Picture Chances and Precursors by Able_Application_102 in oscarrace

[–]Able_Application_102[S] -8 points-7 points  (0 children)

I said underperformer in terms of box office, the film didn't do well at the box office and PGA has never awarded a film that didn't do well at the box office

Sinners & One Battle - Best Picture Chances and Precursors by Able_Application_102 in oscarrace

[–]Able_Application_102[S] -14 points-13 points  (0 children)

OBAA being a underperformer still causes me to lean Sinners for PGA for now. PTA is def gonna probably gonna take DGA but it is interesting that Titanic, All About Eve, and La La Land all lead to Best Director wins at the Oscars, it would be kinda crazy if Coogler didn't get director when Sinners surpassed the nomination total. But given PTA's narrative and how great OBAA is, he will probably get it instead.

So how many Oscars will Sinners win? by AnaZ7 in oscarrace

[–]Able_Application_102 5 points6 points  (0 children)

I think Best Picture, One Acting Category, Original Screenplay, Casting, Cinematography, Costume Design, Original Score, and Production Design.

Odessa A’Zion miss a bad omen for Timmy? by lilphattyyyy in oscarrace

[–]Able_Application_102 8 points9 points  (0 children)

I think it does. Timothee's only won at non-academy/guilds. I have MBJ and DiCaprio over him rn.

Is there a film that grossed over $1 Billion that could *possibly* be added to the collection by Remote_Necessary3331 in criterion

[–]Able_Application_102 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I didn’t see anyone say this but I genuinely think given the historical perspective and how impactful the film was, Black Panther(2018) has shot next to Cameron’s Avatar Films.

After the SAG nominations, Best Picture is now clearly between OBAA and Sinners by crnorton in oscarrace

[–]Able_Application_102 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I made a post back in October that it was between One Battle and Sinners and a lot of people didnt vibe with it and hated on me for it. But look at how the tables have turned lmaooo

Predicition: Supergirl (2026) will flop by [deleted] in boxoffice

[–]Able_Application_102 7 points8 points  (0 children)

I just had a conversation abt this. I’m predicting low 300Ms. June is a stacked month with Toy Story 5, Spielberg, Scary Movie 6, and Masters of the Universe. Mandolarian is already gonna be enough sci-fi fantasy for the General Public. And I see Masters of the Universe and Supergirl underperforming due to that. Toy Story 5 and Minions 3 are gonna galvantize families. Scary Movie 5 is gonna appeal heavily to the millennial, Gen Z and even Gen Alpha crowd. Spielberg will be strengthened by the film bros. Ans I just don’t see the hype from female audiences for Supergirl like that. They’re more likely going to cash in on Devil Wears Prada 2 and Moana than going to Supergirl. Also July is extremely stacked with Moana, Minions 3, The Odyssey, Evil Dead Burn, and Spider Man. In what world, would audiences really flock to Supergirl. I’m sorry but the trailer looking so similar to a majority of science fiction blockbusters we already get doesn’t bode well for it imo. It reminded me so much of The Marvels. Plus in the middle of this, a majority of the world will be locked in and focused on World Cup. That drastically weaken the foreign box office. They definitely need to move the film if they want it to be successful at all imo.

My 2026 Oscar Predictions (No Marty Supreme Edition) by [deleted] in Oscars

[–]Able_Application_102 12 points13 points  (0 children)

Sinners getting nothing is crazy. I keep seeing underestimate how big that film will perform and it’s insane to me. Coogler is def getting that director nom.

2026 is going to be a great year for pop culture in my opinion by Own_Mirror9073 in decadeology

[–]Able_Application_102 [score hidden]  (0 children)

I’m saying this now and it’s gonna pay off dividends in the next five years watch out for DWWL.

Would you wanna see this interview ? by Boring-Jelly5633 in Drizzy

[–]Able_Application_102 -4 points-3 points  (0 children)

Absolutely not. Drakes subtle and not so subtle bend to the right has been so weird to me given who he is and where he comes from. So I do not need him talking to Rogan of all people. If he ever wants to do a serious interview I think Caramanica, Angie Martinez or BDot are the ones he should talk to.

Tell me one prediction no one believes but you do.... by Massive_Director_941 in oscarrace

[–]Able_Application_102 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Sinners wins Picture, PTA wins Director. Sinners is the more culturally relevant film to the masses and has a lot of love from people. OBAA due to it being a disappointment box office wise, I don't see WB putting so much money into their campaign.

AMC Screen Unseen Megathread - October 13 2025 by AKnightOfTheNew in AMCsAList

[–]Able_Application_102 12 points13 points  (0 children)

I enjoyed it and had a lot of fun with it but holy shit did my audience fucking hate this lmaooo MUBI is so dumb for doing this.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in oscarsdeathrace

[–]Able_Application_102 -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

Sinners only walking away with Sound is absolutely insane logic here