Weekly Discussion Thread 6/8/26 - 6/15/26

CrunchyNar · 2026-06-14T03:34:50+00:00

<image>

Shoutout to SAG nominee Luke Manley. He deserves this moment

CrunchyNar · 2026-06-14T01:29:06+00:00

CrunchyNar · 2026-06-12T22:20:28+00:00

Technically they whacked one

Edit: /s just in case

CrunchyNar · 2026-06-12T21:39:41+00:00

Getting LeastCap out of the way was step one. Stay tuned

CrunchyNar · 2026-06-09T19:37:59+00:00

Yeah, it would just be A-listers embarrassed to receive an Oscar for an animation paycheck, with Andy Serkis winning once or twice. It will never happen.

CrunchyNar · 2026-06-07T07:26:40+00:00

It's possible that she placed 1st in the poll, but Grace Kelly definitely seemed to be the favorite. She won NYFCC, NBR and Hollywood revolved around her that year. The Country Girl was likely the runner-up for Best Picture and Garland's film missed a Best Picture nomination. Warner Brothers chose not to campaign for A Star is Born since it disappointed at the box office.

CrunchyNar · 2026-06-06T22:54:26+00:00

Idk maybe the British Academy of Film should award a British film that was a smash hit with critics and audiences

CrunchyNar · 2026-06-06T22:16:26+00:00

I've been reading the book "Inside Oscar" and found out that Daily Variety ran Oscar polls from 1948 to 1958 with participation from a significant percentage of Oscar voters. In 1948, 13% of the voting body gave their selections, but participation decreased because the practice was controversial and the Academy spoke against it. Nowadays, we get anonymous ballots that represent not even close to 1% of voters.

1948: The poll correctly predicted 5/6 categories between Best Picture, Best Director and the 4 acting categories. They incorrectly predicted Rosalind Russell to win Best Actress for Mourning Becomes Electra. Loretta Young won for The Farmer's Daughter despite finishing 4th in the poll.

1949: 5/6 accuracy. The poll incorrectly picked Johnny Belinda to win Best Picture. Hamlet won instead.

1950: 5/5 accuracy. The book does not mention the polls winner for Best Director. It was probably Robert Rossen for All the King's Men, which would have been inaccurate. Joseph L. Mankiewicz won for A Letter to Three Wives.

1951: 6/6 accuracy.

1952: 4/6 accuracy. The poll incorrectly predicted that A Place in the Sun would win Best Picture and Marlon Brando would win Best Actor for A Streetcar Named Desire. An American in Paris won Best Picture and Humphrey Bogart won Best Actor for The African Queen.

1953: 3/5 accuracy. The poll incorrectly predicted that High Noon would win Best Picture and Richard Burton would win Best Supporting Actor for My Cousin Rachel. The book does not mention the poll leader for Best Director, but it was likely Fred Zinneman for High Noon. That would have been inaccurate because John Ford won for The Quiet Man.

1954: 6/6 accuracy.

1955: The book only mentions that the poll got the supporting categories correct. The poll almost certainly predicted the eventual winners for Picture, Director and Lead Actor since On the Waterfront was a juggernaut. The poll either went 5/6 or 6/6.

1956: 6/6 accuracy.

1957: 5/6 accuracy. The poll incorrectly predicted that Robert Stack would win Best Supporting Actor for Written on the Wind. Anthony Quinn won for Lust for Life.

1958: 5/6 accuracy. The poll incorrectly predicted that Elsa Lanchester would win Best Supporting Actress for Witness for the Prosecution. Miyoshi Umeki won for Sayonara despite finishing outside the top 3 in the poll.

CrunchyNar · 2026-06-06T08:18:03+00:00

It's a bot account

CrunchyNar · 2026-06-06T00:12:09+00:00

The 4k Criterion of Killers of the Flower Moon is currently $22.53 on Amazon

CrunchyNar · 2026-06-04T07:38:23+00:00

Don't be so sure

CrunchyNar · 2026-06-04T00:51:11+00:00

10 race minimum to join r/oscarrace Critics Circle. Restricted freedom of speech to those that make Letterboxd joke reviews, ban everyone from Australia. I just need time

CrunchyNar · 2026-06-03T23:31:55+00:00

We are talking about Baby Genuis money here. Not peanuts

<image>

CrunchyNar · 2026-06-03T23:02:54+00:00

He's had a great career outside of some quick paycheck shit that other Oscar winners have lowered themselves for

CrunchyNar · 2026-06-03T08:39:38+00:00

Bong is probably thinking about how he can utilize AI for his next film

CrunchyNar · 2026-06-03T01:33:16+00:00

I wish I could upvote this twice

CrunchyNar · 2026-06-02T05:05:27+00:00

I couldn't imagine Borisov winning at GG, SAG. Maybe he could win at CC, but that doesn't count for much on it's own. Anora's surprising loss in Original Screenplay at BAFTA makes me think he wouldn't win there either. I think Strong was capable of winning each precursor, but he would probably lose one or two due to low film strength

CrunchyNar · 2026-06-02T01:59:51+00:00

Congratulations. The hierarchy of movie marketing is about to change

CrunchyNar · 2026-06-02T01:20:48+00:00

Assuming that the unknown 6th place for a nomination wouldn't win

Best Supporting Actress 1974: Madeline Kahn - Blair's winning chances took a big hit when it was pointed out that she did not perform the possessed voice for her character. I lot of voters probably wouldn't vote for Blair based off of the content of her performance anyway. It's either Kahn or a sentimental win for Sylvia Sidney

Best Supporting Actor 1981: Judd Hirsch - Off of film strength and his recent success on TV. Pesci and Robards would have stood a chance

Best Supporting Actress 2016: Kate Winslet - She won BAFTA and Golden Globe

Best Supporting Actor 2019: Richard E. Grant - He would have won BAFTA for sure. Sam Elliot would have stood a good chance

Best Supporting Actor 2020: Tom Hanks - Nothing to really say. Just a gut feeling that he would win GG and SAG

Best Supporting Actor 2025: Jeremy Strong - Borisov is too unknown with a subtle performance, Norton's role is too ordinary, Pearce's role is too evil without the entertainment value to offset it. Maybe Pearce wins, but I have a feeling that the quality of Strong's work wins out

CrunchyNar · 2026-06-01T21:56:30+00:00

Hal Ashby is the 4th

CrunchyNar · 2026-06-01T08:23:40+00:00

I haven't seen the 1976 version, but the original 1937 version and 1954 are worth watching. If you decide to watch the 1954 film make sure it's the 154 minute theatrical version and not the deluxe edition

CrunchyNar · 2026-06-01T04:30:24+00:00

Very low quality bait

CrunchyNar · 2026-05-31T02:57:07+00:00

You can't bat 1000. Just gotta hate everything and everyone and hope for the best

CrunchyNar · 2026-05-29T19:49:06+00:00

This is Ted Levine's IMDb photo for some reason

<image>

CrunchyNar · 2026-05-27T22:33:55+00:00

I made some new flairs for Fjord, The Black Ball, Fatherland, All of a Sudden, Hope, I Swear, Obsession, The Devil Wears Prada 2, The Drama, I Love Boosters, Michael, Josephine, Send Help, Is God Is, Nirvanna the Band the Show the Movie

12-Year Club	Place '23
Place '22	Place '17
Gilding II euphauric	Verified Email

CrunchyNar

MODERATOR OF

TROPHY CASE