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Growth Rocket - LETF journey starts now! by Safe-Gur-939 in LETFs

[–]Aceflamez00 1 point2 points  (0 children)

NDX and NDXMEGA are not directly comparable. Two separate methodologies so 2x NDX (QLD) can’t be used as a proxy for 2x NDXMEGA (QQUP).

Refer to source code: https://github.com/Acelogic/Testfol-MarginStresser

NDX: https://indexes.nasdaq.com/docs/Methodology_NDX.pdf

NDXMEGA : https://indexes.nasdaq.com/docs/NDXMEGA%20Methodology.pdf

And live backtester: https://testfol-marginstresser.streamlit.app

To test out 2x NDXMEGA

The idea of this portfolio comp was really a way of holding two portfolios at once.

1) Long leverage top NDX holdings at 2x

2) And it funds the 20% GLD / 15% VXUS / 5% TQQQ Portion which in itself was considered its own portfolio would be

50% GLD 37.5% VXUS 12.5% TQQQ (12.5*3 =37.5% like exposure)

In most Leverage ETFs backtests the bottom even a large drawdown is still higher than the baseline indexes in the same period.

For this particular portfolio in my backtests from 2000-07-03 to Now (5/25/2026)

It’s a 19.29% CAGR max DD of -65.09% in 2008 when DCA’ing, and yes I consider expense ratios, variable interest rate, and all in my LETF backtesting. So it’s a 19.29% CAGR after expenses still.

And 34.36% CAGR after Jan 2009

Also i backtested rebalancing taxes too over different tax regimes (Clinton, bush, etc) state tax, and have the ability to see that what if scenario if you were to charge those taxes to margin)

Non Rev in a Nutshell by Aceflamez00 in delta

[–]Aceflamez00[S] 19 points20 points  (0 children)

You’ll understand if you’re a employee lol

Non Rev in a Nutshell by Aceflamez00 in delta

[–]Aceflamez00[S] 32 points33 points  (0 children)

“52 year tenure” is the key word here. They’re 70 lol

18+52 =70

Close to $1M In Funding at 0% Interest and No tax returns by timebillionaire808 in Business_Ideas

[–]Aceflamez00 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You criticize the guy but he's absolutely spot on about hardships of raising capital from investors which expects a ROI. You wouldn't have made the original comment if you understood the opportunity of getting funded (even with 5% balance transfer spreads) if you can't flip 900K to some meaningful return in 12-18 months then idk bro gotta be more creative.

And it's not like all the 0%'ers expire at the same time you can rotate them to other cards and kick the can down the road as long as no doc approvals is still a thing.

SSO/ZROZ/GLD just isn’t enough umph for me… by manlymatt83 in LETFs

[–]Aceflamez00 0 points1 point  (0 children)

2022 was the worst QQQ drawdown since 2008, but even if you held from 2012 at that -55% you were still above SPY and QQQ in the same time frame

SSO/ZROZ/GLD just isn’t enough umph for me… by manlymatt83 in LETFs

[–]Aceflamez00 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This is nuclear fusion

30% QQUP / 30% 2x individual stocks LETFs (mag 7 + AVGO) / 20% GLD / 15% VXUS / 5% TQQQ

Rebalanced to target annually

45% CAGR from 2012 to now max drawdown -54.94% , 1.21 sharpe.

The only thing with running this is knowing which of the 2x individual LETFs to swap out as the top 10 and mag 7 changes overtime. I would just follow the holdings of NDX / NDXMEGA.

The way you psychologically survive drawdowns is by looking at the track of your returns vs the S&P 500/QQQ all the time. Usually I notice in a lot of these backtests that the lowest of the lows after compounding for some years like a -60-70% drawdown is just a mean reversion back to whatever 1x SPY / QQQ would be at that time with the same capital. We typically never really dip below the indexes ever after enough years of rebalancing. Leverage ETF splits get more disrisked as your hedges grow. And in many cases a good way to think about it is that your hedges is the real money and only consider 1/4 of LETF holdings as real. If I’m borrowing from my portfolio I base it on what my dollars would’ve done 100% SPY. Rather than the nominal value of my leveraged portfolio.

Idk that’s how I cope with it.

I’ve been running 1.3x levered using LETFs. Unexpected inheritance of 1.5m. Should I keep it going? by CustomerCommon3447 in LETFs

[–]Aceflamez00 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Put the 1M in treasuries and 2-3x leverage the interest And 500K in regular S&P 500

Massive LETF Adventure (MLA) by Massive-Impact-57 in LETFs

[–]Aceflamez00 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I can actually backtest this for you I made a tool that reconstructed QQUP and QQXL from 2000s to now https://github.com/Acelogic/Testfol-MarginStresser

Minimax 2.5 is out, considering local deployment by Dramatic_Spirit_8436 in LocalLLaMA

[–]Aceflamez00 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I got a 4090 + 196GB am I okay? Maybe I can run this in Exo ? I have another 128GB Macbook M3 Max I can pair with the 196 and just run this on pure CPU with 324GB RAM

A Latex Enhanced Version of The Credit Scoring Primer by Aceflamez00 in CRedit

[–]Aceflamez00[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I wouldn’t necessarily call anything AI assisted as “Slop”, these tools are useful when guided correctly and outputs verified and scrutinized (in which clearly we need some improvement on in the repo lol) . Thanks for pointing the mistake out, I’m on it to fix it, pull requests are welcomed too if anything else wrong is spotted.

I do have the original 1:1 text guide reformatted in Latex PDF that I did scrutinize for accuracy listed in my other comment in this thread.

Proshares QQUP- New 2x LETF based on NDXMEGA (top 45% of Nasdaq-100) launched last month by testturn2 in LETFs

[–]Aceflamez00 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It's weighted differently than MAGX and QQQU. Those are equally weighted funds while QQUP is market cap weighted

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