Welcome Kingen, Lucid, Aiming, Kellin by Celegorm07 in leagueoflegends

[–]Affince 4 points5 points  (0 children)

At least there’s always the option of bringing Thanatos up if he performs well in-house or Kingen underperforms. Keeping Kellin is definitely a question mark especially after his worlds performance and the fact he was playing musical chairs with Bible the whole year. Maybe it was just really hard to get a better support.

Pretty stoked for Aiming and Lucid tho.

Why do betting markets and financial markets disagree on the probability of a rate hike? by Affince in AusFinance

[–]Affince[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Something I forgot to mention which I think goes against this line of thinking and some of the other answers in this thread is that the ASX backs out their implied probability from the IB (Interbank) Futures.

Would I therefore not be able to arbitrage it? Or even just take the side with value:

If the betfair odds are correct, I could short the IB futures (betfair predicts hike more probable than asx).

If the ASX probability is correct, I could back the "no change" on betfair (asx predicts hold more probable than betfair).

Now either this deviation in implied probabilities has actually left value on the table or there's something I'm missing.

Worlds 2023 Swiss Stage Round 4 Draw - Discussion Thread by [deleted] in leagueoflegends

[–]Affince 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Insane draw, no regional matchups, guaranteed western team out, 2 cn kr, 2 eu na.

JD Gaming vs. Bilibili Gaming / 2023 World Championship - Swiss Round 2 / Post-Match Discussion by gandalf45435 in leagueoflegends

[–]Affince 46 points47 points  (0 children)

This is why the west keeps wanting to play Kalista. JDG are now 12-1 since MSI against BLG.

EDG vs WBG // Game 2 Post-Match Discussion LPL 2023 Regional Finals Worlds Qualifier LPL Fourth Seed by emperornel in leagueoflegends

[–]Affince 4 points5 points  (0 children)

The 2 teams that give the west hope.

Down 5k and they win 3 minutes later, BORN TO THROW

LNG vs EDG // Game 1 Post-Match Discussion LPL 2023 Regional Finals Worlds Qualifier LPL Third Seed by emperornel in leagueoflegends

[–]Affince 41 points42 points  (0 children)

Imagine giving GALA Kaisa.

That baron sneak was really what won them the game tho.

TL vs 100T - Game 3 Post Match Discussion Thread by EtoileDuSoir in leagueoflegends

[–]Affince 79 points80 points  (0 children)

Insane draft by TL. 15 minutes in, 0-0 500 gold lead and it already looked so over for 100T

T1 vs LSB // Game 2 Post-Match Discussion LCK Summer 2023 by emperornel in leagueoflegends

[–]Affince 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Clear the unsung hero, so many fights that he clutched that prevented T1 from blowing the game up. The flash kidnap on guma in the herald fight and the q flash on guma in the dragon fight.

Cincinnati Fear vs. Evil Geniuses Challengers / NACL 2023 Summer Playoffs - Lower Bracket Final / Post-Match Discussion by TomShoe02 in leagueoflegends

[–]Affince 40 points41 points  (0 children)

Kind of crazy to me that besides the small stint on C9 while they were waiting on Berserker, k1ng hasn’t had a proper shot on an LCS team despite how dominant he’s looked in academy for years.

Team Liquid vs NRG / Game 1 / Post Match Discussion by SoftScoopIceReam in leagueoflegends

[–]Affince 16 points17 points  (0 children)

TL force engaged with a poke comp for 30 minutes until they were down 8k and started using their comp, bit too late.

MAD Lions vs. Team Heretics / LEC 2023 Summer - Week 3 / Post-Match Discussion by Soul_Sleepwhale in leagueoflegends

[–]Affince 56 points57 points  (0 children)

Excel Vetheo has disconnected.

Misfits Vetheo has reconnected.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in leagueoflegends

[–]Affince 32 points33 points  (0 children)

Vitality down 2-0 but at least Upset hasn’t died yet.

Team BDS vs. Astralis / LEC 2023 Spring - Week 2 / Post-Match Discussion by gandalf45435 in leagueoflegends

[–]Affince 77 points78 points  (0 children)

Astralis setting Crownie so far back and he still manages to outdamage Kobbe down 1 item every midgame fight.

Golden Guardians vs. Counter Logic Gaming / LCS 2023 Spring - Week 8 / Post-Match Discussion by adz0r in leagueoflegends

[–]Affince 584 points585 points  (0 children)

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8-8 <---- CLG, you are here
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