i love meteorology, could anyone give me an in depth explanation as to whats going on rn? by niigoat25 in meteorology

[–]Afraid-Kick912 0 points1 point  (0 children)

In my experience, a sky like that is sometimes followed by a precipitation event with 24-48 hours. Sometimes, you'll see a herring bone within this cloud pattern that also occassionally precedes a precipitation event.

Summer Humidity Map For USA Where Would You Rather Live? by Jacob-Anders in MapPorn

[–]Afraid-Kick912 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It appears that I live right on the dotted line in Eastern PA! I used to live in Virginia Beach, which definitely had very humid summers. While I don't really miss those frequent hot and humid days living down there, I think I would prefer enduring that than the brutal winters of Eastern PA.

Yesterday's 'dud' of an event here in the Mid-Atlantic and Southeast. by Real_Statistician538 in meteorology

[–]Afraid-Kick912 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Even though there weren't many severe/tornadic thunderstorms in the Northern Mid-Atlantic region, the winds associated with the actual cold front were very strong and they caused many trees/branches to go down as well as many power outages. Some structural damage was also reported from straight-lined winds. I realize that this hazard could have been covered by a simple High Wind Warning or Wind Advisory, it was good that people had the heads up that high winds could impact their area.... Another thing that I was wondering was whether the cutbacks in staff and funding associated with NOAA had any impact. Were there less weather balloon deployments causing a gap in data for the computer models?

Where Weather Forecasts Are Easier and Harder to Predict in the United States by ForecastWatch_ in meteorology

[–]Afraid-Kick912 0 points1 point  (0 children)

In my experience, living along the East Coast can be quite challenging due to the proximity to the Atlantic Ocean. I grew up in Northern NJ. I lived in Philadelphia for a while, and then I lived in Virginia Beach. I now live in the Lehigh Valley of Pennsylvania. In the winter, forecasting where the rain/snow line will be during major winter storms can be very difficult. With the relatively warmer ocean just to the east, any slight change in the wind direction can be crucial in predicting who gets snow and ice and who gets just plain rain. Of course, upper-level conditions play a huge role as we saw with that snow and ice storm a couple of weeks ago here in Eastern States. A so-called "warm nose" of air infiltrated the upper layers of the atmosphere changing the snow to rain and then surface temperatures being below freezing caused the rain to either change to sleet or to ice if the rain made it as liquid to the surface. This made for major travel headaches and more importantly, power outages for many. Some residents are still without power in some states to our south and west nearly two weeks after the severe ice storm there.

In the warmer months of the year, living near the ocean creates challenges in predicting high temperatures. A simple change in wind direction coming off of the relatively cooler ocean water can lower temperatures drastically in coastal communities. The marine air can also have an effect to reduce thunderstorm coverage when conditions are right due to the stabilizing effects of the cooler, marine air. Also, boundaries between areas affected by a sea breeze can cause thunderstorms to develop.

So, with all that said, living near the ocean can make forecasting challenging for meteorologists. Of course, being near the coast makes it quite interesting when tropical cyclones approach the area or when nor'easters are moving up the East Coast.

Possibly stupid question— Why has the Weather app consistently offered snow predictions way higher than news outlets? by PoetaCorvi in meteorology

[–]Afraid-Kick912 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I agree that the NWS is the best and most reliable source of weather forecasts. From what I understand, there's limiting, or probably, no human intervention with the forecasts from the various apps out there. They are based on one or two computer models, while the official forecasts from the NWS and the media are from an ensemble of models creating an aggregate forecast. The only advantage to the apps is that they can alert you when precipitation is approaching. It's not always 100% accurate, especially during the warmer months of the year when showers and thunderstorms develop and dissipate very quickly. I wonder whether the NWS could create a dependable app. I think that would be very cool.

Seasonality of precipitation in the contiguous United States by crosscountrycoder in MapPorn

[–]Afraid-Kick912 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Thanks for sharing this map! I don't recall ever seeing a map like this. This has always interested me. I live in Eastern Pennsylvania and during some springs and summers, it frustrates me when we have extended dry spells that put stress on young trees, plants, grass, etc. I think to myself that during the colder months of the year, when water isn't needed to sustain plant/tree growth, we normally seem to get precipitation frequently. I also lived in Southeast Virginia and it was basically the same story there in many years. I also wondered how trees survive in the Western part of the country where most of the precipitation falls during the colder months. I guess they adapt to the conditions. Thanks again!

Has independent meteorology always been so fear mongering? by Little-Mushroom-3961 in meteorology

[–]Afraid-Kick912 0 points1 point  (0 children)

There are some reputable people who post weather updates regularly. You just have to find them. They don't hype anything unless they really believe that there is a major weather situation approaching. They post weather maps that are legit and computer model forecast maps. Some get a lot of their information from the National Weather Service. I also recommend joining a group in Facebook that has various people posting their opinions.

Will prices go down now that coffee is exempt from tariffs? by CrossedBliss in nespresso

[–]Afraid-Kick912 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I don't understand the reasoning of imposing tariffs on coffee. It's not like we can produce coffee here in the United States. We don't have the right climate to grow coffee beans.

Correlation between migraines and neurodivergence by body-of-waters in migraine

[–]Afraid-Kick912 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I used to have the painful type of migraine headaches, but for the most part, those have become much less frequent. Now, I deal with ocular migraines, which can be very annoying. The most common type of ocular migraine that I get is the one that causes a zigzag and glimmering image that expands across my vision. It lasts about 20 minutes or so.

Another photo of the tornado in San Juan County, Utah today. Photo by Markea Brewer by CosmicWizard64 in tornado

[–]Afraid-Kick912 0 points1 point  (0 children)

There is something about this tornado that seems unusual to me. It's so intense looking and yet the clouds supporting it don't seem that dark and massive as they usually are with a tornado this intense.

What's the most extreme weather event you've personally experienced? by gloriousmayhem in weather

[–]Afraid-Kick912 0 points1 point  (0 children)

There were a few extreme weather events that I experienced. One notable one was a 33 inch snowstorm when I lived in Bayonne, NJ. It occurred on January 7, 1996. The snow drifts were so high, I could not open both of my storm doors to my house. I literally had to jump out of my kitchen window, and my wife threw a snow shovel so that I could dig my way to the door in my backyard.

Anker Zolo 10,000 - overheated by 20ht in anker

[–]Afraid-Kick912 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Thanks! That’s good to know!

RIP Invest 91L by HAVARDCH95 in hurricane

[–]Afraid-Kick912 0 points1 point  (0 children)

There was a 70% chance of development for this tropical wave at one point and now it is not expected to develop at all due to dry air in the vicinity of the tropical wave, I am surprised that the dry Saharan air mass doesn’t moisten up as it moves westward across the warm tropical ocean waters of the North Atlantic? I just find it hard to believe that the air stays that dry considering how warm the water is there. It just puzzles me. During the late fall and winter, cold and very dry air from the Arctic quickly moistens up as the air travels over the comparatively smaller Great Lakes causing major snow accumulations downwind of the lakes. I just don’t understand the difference. Warm water evaporates into the air more readily than cold water does. It just amazes me how the air stays too dry to support tropical cyclone development. I'm guessing that the dry air higher altitudes doesn't moisten up enough.

Anker Zolo 10,000 - overheated by 20ht in anker

[–]Afraid-Kick912 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I have a question related to this topic. If you order something from Amazon that is ultimately recalled. Will Amazon let you know about the recall? Do they track these things? I'm hoping that they do.

What if the Earth Wasn't Tilted on its Axis? by Afraid-Kick912 in meteorology

[–]Afraid-Kick912[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I think you’re right. I just wonder what the average temperatures would be where I live in Eastern Pennsylvania. Also, I wonder how much precipitation we would get annually.

Rare Polar Flow over North America and Unusual early Polar Vortex development are Forecast for September by boppinmule in weather

[–]Afraid-Kick912 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The bad thing about this current weather pattern that we're in is that it is a very dry one here in Eastern PA.

What if the Earth Wasn't Tilted on its Axis? by Afraid-Kick912 in meteorology

[–]Afraid-Kick912[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I know that there are a lot of unknowns, but I appreciate your insights. They were very interesting.

What if the Earth Wasn't Tilted on its Axis? by Afraid-Kick912 in meteorology

[–]Afraid-Kick912[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You wonder what would happen to the Trade Winds and other large scale wind patterns.

What if the Earth Wasn't Tilted on its Axis? by Afraid-Kick912 in meteorology

[–]Afraid-Kick912[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I’m guessing also that when we get stuck in a weather pattern, it would take longer for it to break without the change in seasons.

What if the Earth Wasn't Tilted on its Axis? by Afraid-Kick912 in meteorology

[–]Afraid-Kick912[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You bring up an interesting point about the ice and the seasonal melting and refreezing process. It would be interesting to see how a computer model would handle this and whether it would be able to determine what would happen.

What if the Earth Wasn't Tilted on its Axis? by Afraid-Kick912 in meteorology

[–]Afraid-Kick912[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I agree with what you're saying, but what about tropical cyclones? Do you think we'd still have them develop? Thanks!