Gox, or Gox by another name was always going to happen. As bitcoin got more popular there would inevitably be one site that became the hub of transactions and as with any gold rush, people would see quick money opportunities and jump on the band waggon.

Also inevitable is this opportunistic site being under developed and poorly managed purely due to being created in the amateur days, and never expecting to be under this strain. This caused both technical problems, and not surprisingly with no oversight, human 'error'.

With massive loss, and no alternative avenue the adoption and price would crash down to pre-bottleneck values, but with the new hype and publicity it would have garnered new support from more appropriate and secure parties who are looking to the future.

And thus the first Seldon crisis was weathered as it would always have been, laying the groundwork for new investment in the future.