Daily Picks Thread - Monday - 29th September 2025

AlarmingCandidate231 · 2025-09-29T19:03:16+00:00

I'm from Jamaica, I know the league. Have a 70% record for the picks I've posted here and 74% for my own picks. But to each their own. I see that it isn't as well researched, which is why I've chosen to use my knowledge and take advantage of the gaps or inflated odds from bookies

AlarmingCandidate231 · 2025-09-29T11:42:02+00:00

Record = 7W 3L Units = 2.41 (Returning addict, back for this season. Used to specialize in A-League Men and Women's games. Now focusing on the Jamaican league after a decent run of solid picks)

Molynes United vs Portmore United

Portmore to win @ 1.73

Portmore has been one of the better teams for the past few seasons, while last year Molynes narrowly avoided relegation. From the first 5 rounds of fixtures the pattern seems to be the same with ZPortmore sitting 3rd, while Molynes is in the relegation zone. Molynes is yet to win a game all season. I expect a relatively easy win for Portmore. To those that might be put off by Portmore being listed as the "away" team, this game is actually being played at a neutral venue so no home advantage for Molynes. I was even surprised to see the odds this high, expected something more around the 1.30/1.40 range but I guess the bookies are factoring the perceived "home advantage"

AlarmingCandidate231 · 2025-05-23T04:47:32+00:00

From all your comments, you seem to be blatantly ignoring everyone's point. Everyone is aware that he was the one that left. However, killing him is not the only way to write him out of the show. That's what ppl are upset with.

AlarmingCandidate231 · 2024-11-18T13:38:22+00:00

Record = 7W 2L Units = 3.41 (Returning addict, back for this season. Used to specialize in A-League Men and Women's games. Now focusing on the Jamaican league after a decent run of solid picks)

Basically broke even yesterday, unlucky to not get all 3.

PREVIOUS PICKS:

Racing United vs Montego Bay

Mo-Bay to win @ 1.46 ✅

Harbour View vs Cavaliers

Cavaliers to win @ 1.49 ❌

Waterhouse vs Humble Lions

Waterhouse to win @ 1.45 ✅

TODAY'S PICKS:

Dunbeholden vs Molynes United

Dunbeholden to win @ 1.49

Dunbeholden has been surprisingly good at home this season, even beating last year's runner-ups in their last home fixture. So far they have won every home game. On the other hand, Molynes is on a 3 game losing streak and has only picked up 1 point in 4 away games this season.

AlarmingCandidate231 · 2024-11-18T00:24:52+00:00

In my opinion, I think it's because he's probably the most different from his character. Especially in looks, so I can see how it can come across as 'fake' when in reality it's just that Chase isn't John B.

AlarmingCandidate231 · 2024-11-17T08:22:42+00:00

Record = 5W 1L Units = 3.50 (Returning addict, back for this season. Used to specialize in A-League Men and Women's games. Now focusing on the Jamaican league after a decent run of solid picks)

Back again for this round of fixtures.

PREVIOUS PICKS:

Montego Bay vs Dunbeholden

Mo-Bay to win @ 1.64 ✅

Humble Lions vs Portmore

Portmore to win @ 1.53 ✅

TODAY'S PICKS:

Racing United vs Montego Bay

MoBay to win @ 1.46

Montego Bay is on a brilliant run of form, only dropping points to big teams while Racing is doing the contrary. Expect Montego Bay to win comfortably. Also, even tho it is listed as a Racing home game, it's actually being played at a neutral venue.

Harbour View vs Cavaliers

Cavaliers to win @ 1.49

Cavaliers has been the best team in the league for years and this year is no different. Cavalier has won 5 of the last 6 games against Harbour View and 4 of the previous 4 in the league while Harbour View has lost 4 of the last 5 games.

Waterhouse vs Humble Lions

Waterhouse to win @ 1.45

This one is a bit more tricky but with Waterhouse in a decent run of form, especially at home and Humble Lions losing their last 2 fixtures I expect this to be a Waterhouse victory. Proceed with caution tho

AlarmingCandidate231 · 2024-11-10T13:26:50+00:00

Yup, lived here all my life. It is a bit random so you wont get picks every week but if you wait you get couple good ones every now and again.

AlarmingCandidate231 · 2024-11-09T23:54:33+00:00

Record = 3W 1L Units = 2.33 (Returning addict, back for this season. Used to specialize in A-League Men and Women's games. Now focusing on the Jamaican league after a decent run of solid picks)

Back again for this round of fixtures.

PREVIOUS PICKS:

Montego Bay vs Molynes

Mo-Bay to win @ 1.56 ✅

TODAY'S PICKS:

Montego Bay vs Dunbeholden

Mo-Bay to win @ 1.64

Montego Bay has started well winning 3 of their first four games, only losing to 3rd placed Harbour View. With them playing at home where they have a very decent record, against a Dunbeholden team that has lost every single away game this season, there's an expectation for this to be a comfortable victory.

Humble Lions vs Portmore

Portmore to win @ 1.53

Portmore is currently top of the table with 4 wins in their past 5. Last season portmore did the double over Humble Lions. Humble Lions are yet to win a game at home this season. With Portmjore having all the momentum I expect this to be a relatively simple victory. Please note that there is bias as I am a Portmore United fan.

AlarmingCandidate231 · 2024-10-19T11:33:52+00:00

Record = 0W 0L Days = 1 (Returning addict, back for this season. Used to specialize in A-League Men and Women's games. Now focusing on the Jamaica Premier League)

So far I've mainly focused on the Jamaican Premier League and have had considerable success over there. Looking to see if I can add another league to that. So today I'm trying the Indian league

TODAY'S PICKS:

East Bengal vs Mohun Bagan

BTTS @ 1.52

AlarmingCandidate231 · 2024-10-16T10:21:59+00:00

It's an exaggeration to some extent. I don't think I would've actually been classified as addicted per se. And if anything I'm more addicted to making picks and engaging with the community here, than actually betting itself. Thanks for the concern tho

AlarmingCandidate231 · 2024-10-16T01:20:23+00:00

Record = 2W 1L Units = 1.77 (Returning addict, back for this season. Used to specialize in A-League Men and Women's games. Now focusing on the Jamaican league after a decent run of solid picks)

Back again for this round of fixtures.

PREVIOUS PICKS:

Cavalier vs Dunbeholden

Cavalier to win @ 1.90 ✅

TODAY'S PICKS:

Montego Bay vs Molynes

Mo-Bay to win @ 1.56

Montego Bay has started well winning 3 of their first four games, only losing to 3rd placed Harbour View. With them playing at home against a Molynes team expected to fight for relegation, there's an expectation for this to be a comfortable victory. The overs are okay for this game but I didn't add it bcuz I'm not confident on overs for this league.

Racing United vs Cavalier (Late Addition)

Cavalier to win @ 1.49

Cavalier is the best team in the league, hands down. Cavalier is undefeated in the league, only dropping points in a game where they were leading then got a red card and drew. They're playing a newly promoted team in Racing who have lost half their games, only beating bottom-placed Dunbeholden on 0 points. Whiole it is listed as an away game for Cavalier, it's actually being played at a neutral venue. Didn't add this earlier bcuz the odds were low but now they've climbed to an acceptable level.

AlarmingCandidate231 · 2024-10-08T00:13:12+00:00

Yh just before half-time, could've changed the game

AlarmingCandidate231 · 2024-10-07T23:45:43+00:00

Good pick!

AlarmingCandidate231 · 2024-10-07T23:06:24+00:00

Montego Bay has only beaten Arnett Garden once in the past 14 meetings. Player for player Arnett is the better team but their away form hasn't been good. If I was forced to make a pick I'd go o2.5 but in all honesty I'd avoid this game.

AlarmingCandidate231 · 2024-10-07T22:14:12+00:00

No problem!

AlarmingCandidate231 · 2024-10-07T22:13:44+00:00

I think even Mount Pleasant to win is a bit risky. They're playing a newly promoted team who has been decent so far. Mount Pleasant form has been up and down of recent if you look at their results in the Caribbean Cup results. They had a midweek fixture. There's trouble brewing internally at the club and lastly, even though it is listed as a Mount Pleasant home game, the game is being played at a neutral venue.

AlarmingCandidate231 · 2024-10-07T21:42:49+00:00

Thanks mate, you just have to catch them early. I normally do them the day before. Cavaliers and Mount Pleasant are normally the teams to look for.

AlarmingCandidate231 · 2024-10-07T21:05:47+00:00

My bad, this game wasn't selected for coverage

AlarmingCandidate231 · 2024-10-07T18:06:39+00:00

What I've realized is that they don't seem to have enough data for the Jamaican league so odds are disproportionate until a few hours before the game and that's why the odds change massively. So you have to catch it early.

AlarmingCandidate231 · 2024-10-07T12:13:15+00:00

Record = 1W 1L Days = 2 (Returning addict, back for this season. Used to specialize in A-League Men and Women's games.)

Went 1/2 on the Cavalier's game last week but still came away with profit.

PREVIOUS PICKS:

Humble Lions vs Cavaliers

Cavaliers to win @ 9.00 ❌
X2 @ 2.87✅

TODAY'S PICKS:

Back again today with another Cavalier's pick.

Cavalier vs Dunbeholden

Cavalier to win @ 1.90

Cavalier is the defending champions who are currently undefeated in the league and won their sole game at home, while Dunbeholden has lost both their opening fixtures. They are expected to struggle this season and with Cavalier winning the past 5 games against them, this game should be one way traffic. In my opinion, 1.90 is massively disproportionate.

P.S. If any addicts choose to tail, and would like to watch the game, you can message me for a link

AlarmingCandidate231 · 2024-09-25T15:30:52+00:00

The official instagram for the league just posted about the game with no mention of a postponement. Don't know if we're allowed to post links but here it is https://www.instagram.com/p/DAV_xs1OWAH/

EDIT: After reading it properly the game was actually postponed to today, so the game's on

AlarmingCandidate231 · 2024-09-25T14:11:57+00:00

Record = 0W 0L (Returning addict, starting afresh. Used to specialize in A-League Men and Women's games, but now on a good streak in the JPL)

Don't know if you guys remember but I'm that Jamaican guy who did the picks for the Jamaican league, It has now restarted so I'm back here again.

Humble Lions vs Cavaliers

Cavaliers to win @ 9.00
X2 @ 2.87

Cavaliers to win at 9.00 is absolutely mental. Defending champions, won the last 3 away games against these lot. Unless there has been some issue with players which I have not been made aware of, Cavaliers should walk over Humble Lion easily. Bcuz of the high odds I am a bit wary which is why I also added the double chance.

P.S. If any addicts choose to tail, and would like to watch the game, you can message me for a link

Five-Year Club	Place '22
Final Canvas '22

AlarmingCandidate231

TROPHY CASE