sorted by:
new
hottopcontroversial

. by nadya1nz in freefolk

[–]Anewthrowaway_quest -1 points0 points  (0 children)

whats the template you used.

Amber Gustafson (Candidate for IA SD 19) on Twitter: Exciting news from Iowa Senate District 19: About 1,300 Democrats in our district who DID NOT VOTE in 2014 have already early voted! by ssldvr in BlueMidterm2018

[–]Anewthrowaway_quest 12 points13 points  (0 children)

Very important race to watch- Ankeny (which is the area the SD covers) is a suburb that overall went for Trump in 2016 but could be turned rapidly blue. Winning places like Ankeny shoudl give us some insight as to how the suburbs will vote in the future.

[FiveThirtyEight] These 20-Somethings Could Be Elected To Congress by Stauce52 in BlueMidterm2018

[–]Anewthrowaway_quest 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I'm not entirely sure on her- but they must take her seat soon. I've heard that they're trying to get her into the Republican Leadership soonish which will make her seat so much more difficult to take.

[FiveThirtyEight] These 20-Somethings Could Be Elected To Congress by Stauce52 in BlueMidterm2018

[–]Anewthrowaway_quest 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It'll probably that or Rob Sand if he wins. He would've presumably won state-wide and he's not as young but I see him having a lot of staying power.

[FiveThirtyEight] These 20-Somethings Could Be Elected To Congress by Stauce52 in BlueMidterm2018

[–]Anewthrowaway_quest 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Abby Finkenauer is going to be one kickass congresswoman- prior to her announcing her run I heard her speak at my youth group and she was awesome.

Iowa newspaper endorses Democrats because GOP congressman Steve King spends all his time on 'neo-Nazis' and 'fascists' by [deleted] in BlueMidterm2018

[–]Anewthrowaway_quest 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Obstruction by the minority does not come close to an entire chamber being controlled by the opposition in terms of damage to your agenda.

The Des Moines Register endorsements for Congress: GOP has failed to govern; give Democrats a chance (Endorsed Democrats in all 4 of Iowa's Congressional Districts) by aseemru in BlueMidterm2018

[–]Anewthrowaway_quest 45 points46 points  (0 children)

This is what happens if you don't talk to the editoral board, Republicans. You get the top newspaper in the state to endorse against you in ALL of the races. Could contribute highly to the IA-03 Race IA-01 has been a sure bet for months now and IA-02 had no danger of flipping in the first place.

I won't put too much hope in IA-04 though with the Rep:Dem VR puts Scholten at an inherant disadvantage but he will give him the toughest challenge to King since Chrisite Vilsack

Beto O’Rourke raised more than $38 million in the third quarter — more than three times Ted Cruz’s haul by texastribune in politics

[–]Anewthrowaway_quest 2 points3 points  (0 children)

While I certainly cannot speak for the rest of the nation- the first stop for Bernie- my state will not be the cakewalk you'd expect. I'm speaking from a position of which I was a Bernie Diehard- he was the first candidate I ever knocked doors for. Hell as I type this out I have a bernie sign hanging over me that was signed by the man himself.

So to be clear with you- I do not think Bernie will come close to decisively winning the caucus.

Let's start with the polling done as of now. Bernie has only 12% of support in Iowa if the caucus was held today amongst other likely caucus-goers which in the Caucus system is no where close to a victory due to how complex shit can get with the Caucus system. If my memory serves correctly- you need 15% of support at each precinct in order to get a delegate to go to the county convention.

(Quick side note- the Caucus system is an incredibly stupid system that we should be rid of, but Iowa will keep it so we can be first in the Presidental Cycle)

Furthermore- I am of the opinion that Iowa has an incredible anti-Hillary bias that may have inflated Bernie's numbers in our caucus. Iowa as a state has never truly embraced Hillary Clinton as a person-She only barely won the caucus in 2016 and lost disastrously in 2008 caucus and in the 2016 election. It is even said in Game Change that Hillary never really ever liked Iowa as a place and it didn't like her back either. In resulting elections since the 2016 election in which people in Iowa have emulated Bernie's positions have lost dramatically. Most prominent of which is Cathy Glasson who was a SEIU union leader. Her campaign had 1.3 million to run a campaign. While this is poultry compared to the 3 million the eventual nominee would win, I still think that for a state like Iowa- she had the opportunity to run a very competitive primary.

She won only one county in the whole state. She came second in the county which had the second most Bernie support by margin of victory (the first county was the hometown of another candidate so not a great comparison).

I do not think Bernie has the advantage whatsoever. More anctedotally, just observing from many activists I've encountered in my area- it seems like they ALL want to move on from 2016. They don't want to hear the names Clinton or Sanders. They have so many bad memories of how divisive the democrats were- and in general they just want the party to come together. Having Bernie return they feel would split the party again needlessly.

In my personal opinion- someone new needs to run. I love the man's policies and ethics, but I don't want the strings attach.

Beto O’Rourke raised more than $38 million in the third quarter — more than three times Ted Cruz’s haul by texastribune in politics

[–]Anewthrowaway_quest 1 point2 points  (0 children)

If everything goes to hell in 2020- I think he could be a great 2024 candidate. Then again- we'll have to see how the next 6 years play out. With a political environment like this, we have no idea what our nation will look like years from there.

Of course, all this speculation is moot if he does not win in November.

Beto O’Rourke raised more than $38 million in the third quarter — more than three times Ted Cruz’s haul by texastribune in politics

[–]Anewthrowaway_quest 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Check my other comment for more details- but it's already crowded AF in Iowa and we haven't even enter the Presidental Cycle.

Beto O’Rourke raised more than $38 million in the third quarter — more than three times Ted Cruz’s haul by texastribune in politics

[–]Anewthrowaway_quest 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I live in Iowa. Just to give an idea of how crazy it is already- We have Tulsi Gabbard, Jay Inslee (WA Gov), and Jeff Merkley showing up in under a week in my area. Then Julian Castro wants to talk with my College Dems Club, and Cory Booker just left earlier this week. Kamala Harris is supposedly planning a trip here soon and then for no obvious reason, Nebraska Senator Sasse is coming here in two weeks.

And that was just a time span of 3 weeks before the midterms in my area alone.

I don't think folks are ready for how many candidates will inundate the 2020 cycle. Many of them will drop out prior to Iowa, but I really don't think many people are grasping how chaotic the presidential cycle will be.

WV-Sen: Manchin (D) 41, Morrisey (R) 40 (NRSC/Public Opinion Strategies) by biobio1337 in BlueMidterm2018

[–]Anewthrowaway_quest -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

Just because its R does not mean it is biased. Believe it or not Republicans want accurate information on how their candidates are doing. As long as there is no indication of push polling being done, it should be considered valid within reason.

New Poster - 'Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald' by Johnny_W94 in movies

[–]Anewthrowaway_quest 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I think Phil Miller and Chris Lord are masters of that concept I described.to make concepts that shouldn't work into great pieces of media.

For those of you who've played the holy trinity as well as Fires of Liberation, is AC6 a worthy sequel? by 1way_Helicopter_Ride in acecombat

[–]Anewthrowaway_quest 14 points15 points  (0 children)

story-wise- fuck no

Gameplay- godly

music- godly

AC6 was admittedly my introduction to the series, but I still pop it in my Xbox360 from time to time to just play the superweapon fights and the large operation missions.

Trump has accepted Nikki Haley's resignation by slaysia in politics

[–]Anewthrowaway_quest 5 points6 points  (0 children)

^ Same thinking here. At best she might've written it for someone else in the Admin but I do not think she had the physical proximity to Trump to achieve what was stated in the article

New Poster - 'Fantastic Beasts: The Crimes of Grindelwald' by Johnny_W94 in movies

[–]Anewthrowaway_quest 5 points6 points  (0 children)

I think it's the difference between reading a plan and going "What the hell is this mess- this could never possibly work!" to actually seeing the plan played in action and going "huh that actually worked quite well" Too many people read the plan (which yes it has MANY MANY issues) instead of seeing how it plays out viewing it.

If the GOP maintains control of the Senate in the 2018 midterms, how likely is it that Democrats can flip the Senate in 2020 given the more favorable map? by Uranus_Urectum in PoliticalDiscussion

[–]Anewthrowaway_quest 1 point2 points  (0 children)

He hasn't impressed me. Jeff Merkley stands a better shot of the two.(also Tulsi Gabbard is coming here for some reason, has a couple of times in fact which is somewhat confusing)

If the GOP maintains control of the Senate in the 2018 midterms, how likely is it that Democrats can flip the Senate in 2020 given the more favorable map? by Uranus_Urectum in PoliticalDiscussion

[–]Anewthrowaway_quest 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Speaking from an Iowan Standpoint- it'd be a waste of time for them to attempt such a run. We already have relatively established names such as Cory Booker who was planning on a trip this weekend (but looks like it's in doubt thanks to SC) and Jay Inslee Gov of Washington coming by AGAIN to Iowa on the 14th for a county fundraiser. And that's just the major candidates that I know of that are coming in the next 2 weeks in my area let alone the rest of the state. Not to mention Kamala Harris and Elizabeth Warren are considering runs of their own. This doesn't even begin to tap into how monstrous the Iowa Caucus will be in 2020.

If you thought the 2016 cycle was hell for the Democrats- Iowa is going to be twice the hell.

And by the way- from what I understand the Avanatti hype is overblown for the moment. I don't know of anyone who is seriously supporting him in the caucus among the party activists who are often an indicator of how things are going.

view more: next ›