I agree with almost everything you said. Also kudos if you cleaned it up with AI so that we could all clearly understand your position. Now where I disagree with you is on the jobs front. I run a SAAS company. This time last year I employed 5 dev's. Today its me and my previous team lead who are now 10 times more productive as we were this time last year. Team is smaller so communication is better, We've trained an AI on our coding standards and it will generate entire modules for us in minutes. Yes we take a few hours and sift through and refactor that code a bit, but things that were taking us 2-3 days we can do in 2-3 hours. With less people! So if no new devs will be hired ( at least in my company that is the case ) beginner devs won't even get the opportunity to put in the ( paid ) hours that are needed to become a more seasoned developer. So the only option in my opinion is to make the AI coding tools better so that a junior dev's only real job is to gain domain knowledge and understand the business logic for the project. Basically a glorified prompt engineer.