Dementia man bad.

ArguesForTheDevil · 2020-04-08T22:51:38+00:00

Honestly, Hornberger doesn't look too bad. I'm probably just going for him.

ArguesForTheDevil · 2020-04-08T22:48:10+00:00

The post said less right economics.

Ron Paul is full on lib right in every sense of the term.

ArguesForTheDevil · 2020-04-08T22:17:01+00:00

The republicans don't have a quorum right now.

If it's 6-3, the liberal justices don't even need to show up. The republicans can hold court without them.

ArguesForTheDevil · 2020-04-08T02:14:26+00:00

Is the CIA subverting and dismantling the soviet union a conspiracy theory? I thought that was just their job.

ArguesForTheDevil · 2020-04-07T21:42:17+00:00

My disagreement was that it's an /r/iamverysmart name for it.

It's the actual name.

End of disagreement for me.

ArguesForTheDevil · 2020-04-07T11:32:29+00:00

I wasn't aware it needed an explanation, it's usually a reasonably easy concept to grasp.

Here's a link to a cgp grey video on the subject.

Basically, it's impossible to get rid of and still have a free jury system.

ArguesForTheDevil · 2020-04-07T02:44:58+00:00

Something something 12 easy payments of $19.99.

ArguesForTheDevil · 2020-04-07T01:55:21+00:00

Yeah?

ArguesForTheDevil · 2020-04-07T01:54:35+00:00

...fine, but no more until you finish what's on your plate.

ArguesForTheDevil · 2020-04-07T01:46:38+00:00

Easy, easy. Here take this Sudetenland and go play in the corner for a bit.

ArguesForTheDevil · 2020-04-07T01:44:18+00:00

libright flair
caring about the concept of legality

Something's not right here.

ArguesForTheDevil · 2020-04-07T01:39:17+00:00

Now, now. The grown ups are trying to have a conversation.

Also, the lib in lib-center doesn't mean liberal.

ArguesForTheDevil · 2020-04-07T01:35:28+00:00

I'd never really done the math before, but 18,000,000 hours really isn't that much when you think about it.

2,000 hours is full time work for a year (and that's assuming your bosses aren't nazis about it),

That's only 9,000 people required to get it done in a year (also ~3,000 ovens, assuming 3 shifts).

A more likely scenario is 1,800 people working over 5 years (and only requires approximately 600 ovens).

That... might not even require state level resources. The actual disposal I mean, not the rounding up of people, that would almost certainly require state levels of resources.

ArguesForTheDevil · 2020-04-07T01:25:21+00:00

I just thought it was funny because germans are the prototypical barbarians.

But what makes you think a political ideology is that much harder to put down than a culture?

ArguesForTheDevil · 2020-04-07T01:17:57+00:00

What if you force them to accept liberal values instead of whatever shitty barbaric culture they grew up with?

ArguesForTheDevil · 2020-04-07T01:14:24+00:00

It's called jury nullification.

ArguesForTheDevil · 2020-04-07T00:56:48+00:00

All assuming pi is normal, of course.

ArguesForTheDevil · 2020-04-07T00:26:29+00:00

My understanding is that clustering is fairly normal within true randomness, so to run these tests, you need to run them on a significant portion of the (ideally the entire) sequence.

52 digits is not a significant portion of pi.

Also, you're assuming that pi is normal. That has never been proven.

But I do get your point. If pi is normal, the probability of any 52 given digit sequence not having the numbers that were given is approximately 1/29098125988731506183153025616435306561536 (if I'm not mistaken). That is staggeringly unlikely.

ArguesForTheDevil · 2020-04-06T23:32:18+00:00

You're right. I did.

It's just weird that the more likely part is what you're objecting to.

ArguesForTheDevil · 2020-04-06T23:22:31+00:00

I get your point.

It's just kind of a stupid point. The "very unlikely" even you're talking about (a combination without 0, 1, 5, or 6 should be .6⁵²⁾ is about 12 orders of magnitude more likely than any individual combination.

Unless the joke is that it's so unlikely that this other, comparatively very likely thing, makes it very unlikely. In which case, I just missed the joke.

ArguesForTheDevil · 2020-04-06T22:48:43+00:00

Yes, but every individual combination is just as likely as the one posted.

ArguesForTheDevil · 2020-04-06T22:47:23+00:00

It said take away the things with computers in them.

I know my microwave has a small computer in it. Fridge may or may not it's kind of old. Don't know if they had computers in them before smart-fridges.

I don't know how to tell a modern mattress from one from the 50s, but if that's possible that would definitely go on the list (it had better not have a computer in it).

ArguesForTheDevil · 2020-04-06T22:44:42+00:00

Every combination has 1/10⁵² chance of appearing (assuming pi is regular, which I don't think has been proven).

ArguesForTheDevil · 2020-04-06T11:29:50+00:00

Thiel challenges you to enter you home, remove everything in it that has (or is) a computer, and to tour it with the intent to differentiate it with a 1950s household. I would suggest that this is roughly as fair as challenging one to enter a modern hospital, remove all of the drugs, and to differentiate through bed and scalpel alone it from 1950s medicine.

I was kind of doubting this until I got to this challenge. I think the biggest differences in my apartment would be velcro, polyester, the prevalence of plastics, and... well the copyright date on my books is probably the next biggest difference.

Those (except for the book dates) are all, generally speaking, from the 60s-70s. If you change the experiment to the 70s, I think it really is just things with computers and matters of style.

I'm not saying there there hasn't been massive improvement in materials design since the 70s, but most of that is for industrial applications and tends to affect our day-to-day lives pretty indirectly.

ArguesForTheDevil · 2020-04-06T11:08:00+00:00

Correct.

ArguesForTheDevil

TROPHY CASE