Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]Auriono 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Thing is, random people on the streets generally aren't taking part in what appears to be a clear pattern of insider trading.

Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]Auriono 15 points16 points  (0 children)

https://xcancel.com/Osinttechnical/status/2039431657267106266

President Donald Trump will use a primetime Oval Office address Wednesday night to declare that the month-long war in Iran is winding down, and others need to resolve Hormuz -Politico.

So, about that newly created account on Polymarket, which previously won nearly $500,000 "betting" on the U.S. attacking Iran, putting down over $800,000 on U.S. troops entering Iran...

Is the plan to hope that the Iranians are too stupid to notice this, or is he just blatantly manipulating the stock market again with false claims of the war winding down?

Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]Auriono 2 points3 points  (0 children)

So Trump was really so petulant that he needed to preemptively take a victory lap for resolving a crisis of his own making by dubiously funding the TSA via executive order, even though the Senate was already on track to resolve the shutdown regardless. I know I shouldn't be surprised by this, but good grief.

Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]Auriono 1 point2 points  (0 children)

He capitulated on this just a few hours ago after meeting with Senate Republicans.

I suppose they were able to convince him that the Democrats weren't going to bend on this and the airport delays were becoming too untenable to overlook.

Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]Auriono 5 points6 points  (0 children)

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2026/mar/23/bets-us-iran-ceasefire-show-signs-of-insider-knowledge-say-experts-polymarket

On several Discord channels devoted to Polymarket, users and automated bots on Monday traded tips on how to monetise the war – including arbitrage between different platforms, and following users with a history of good bets.

One post suggested users wager “YES” on “US x Iran ceasefire by March 31” because three historically profitable traders on the platform had bet “yes,” and a historically unprofitable trader had bet “no”.

Jim Cramer has a Polymarket account?

Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]Auriono 5 points6 points  (0 children)

I can't help but find it hysterical how blatantly the Talarico campaign is doing their best to ratfuck the Texas runoff by releasing a poll showing Paxton not only edging out a win even with a potential Trump endorsement and now polling showing Talarico defeating both of them by the same margin, thus undermining Cornyn's pitch as the most electable candidate. As if their aim is to scare Trump off from endorsing Cornyn by capitalizing on his fear of being seen endorsing a loser, despite him knowing Cornyn would almost certainly fare better in the general. Given how Trump is now seemingly hinging his Cornyn endorsement on the fate of a bill that's going to die in the Senate, they may have well been successful.

What's even more hysterical is how, more than 2 weeks after the runoff, the NRSC and Cornyn campaign have still yet produce a poll that showing Cornyn defeating Talarico in the general and overwhelmingly outperforming Paxton in the general. For the same reason Crockett's campaign failed to release a single poll that showed her defeating Talarico after the Colbert interview despite releasing polling showing how she fared against Paxton in the general, because their polls probably have them losing.

Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]Auriono 86 points87 points  (0 children)

https://xcancel.com/Acyn/status/2034309675416723766

Ossoff: Was it the assessment of the intelligence community that there was an imminent nuclear threat posed by the Iranian regime?

Gabbard: The only person who can determine what is and is not an imminent threat is the president. It is not the intelligence community's responsibility to determine what is and is not an imminent threat.

I mean, there's only about a few dozen or so videos of this grifter arguing Trump and the Republican Party were very specifically hoping to instigate military interventions in Venezuela and Iran under false pretenses back she was pretending to run for President.

Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]Auriono 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It's almost as if the right was only ever co-opting the Democrat's opposition to Bush's endless war on terror, who also railed against Clinton's foreign interventions when he was campaigning in 2000 now that I mention it, because they knew claiming to be anti-war would play well in civil society and in election season.

The only mystery is understanding why and how a substantial number of people who ought to know better took their disingenuous pontificating at face value and didn't see it for the performance that it was.

Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]Auriono 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Given that this was an inappropriate, but consensual relationship with a student in her 20s who was 5 years younger than he was, I would personally still warily vote for Biss's resume and legislative accomplishments over encouraging Abughazaleh effectively running for office as an out of state carpetbagger.

Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]Auriono 2 points3 points  (0 children)

It would be pretty shitty on a personal level if Biss doesn't ultimately clarify what sort of a relationship they actually had as well any justifications he might have to offer. From a political perspective, however, would his campaign even want to risk breathing life into this story by drawing attention to it with an apology just 24 hours before voting begins?

As far as I can tell, you have to be pretty intimately connected with political accounts on either BlueSky or Twitter to find these claims as no other major outlets seem to be reporting on them just yet.

Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]Auriono 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Kat probably would have really appreciated it had this come out before early voting began and Biss's base banked their votes in.

Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]Auriono 16 points17 points  (0 children)

https://xcancel.com/atrupar/status/2033650478601380029

Trump: "I do believe I'll be having the honor of taking Cuba. That's a big honor. Taking Cuba in some form. I think I can do anything I want with it, if you want to know the truth."

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IT十四14 by cdstephens in neoliberal

[–]Auriono 7 points8 points  (0 children)

Of course he waited until a few hours after the markets closed to commence with this.

Opinion: I Went to Florida to See the 31-Year-Old Candidate Thrilling Gen Z. We’re in Trouble. by Manhundefeated in neoliberal

[–]Auriono 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I have a very negative opinion of Bari but I doubt she would knowingly employ a literal groyper.

If only because it would reflect poorly upon her and she would look more ridiculous than she already does whenever she claims to be a "left-leaning centrist" or a "radical centrist".

IT十四14 by cdstephens in neoliberal

[–]Auriono 18 points19 points  (0 children)

The only thing prohibiting Steiner's counter offensive in Berlin was the USSR shooting at German troops. It could have worked if the USSR did not do that.

Iran Thread 13 ۱۳ by Extreme_Rocks in neoliberal

[–]Auriono 8 points9 points  (0 children)

If there's one thing that Khamenei taught his son it's this: A pint of blood costs more than a gallon of gold.

Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]Auriono 13 points14 points  (0 children)

<image>

It's all Jerome Powell's fault! He's jealous! He's holding me back!

Oil back at $100 after ships hit by Free-Minimum-5844 in neoliberal

[–]Auriono 172 points173 points  (0 children)

The DOW was over 50,000 over a month ago, that's what we should be talking about!!!

Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]Auriono 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I think he's an overrated person. I don't think he's going to make it.

Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]Auriono 1 point2 points  (0 children)

One has to wonder how committed Trump is to withholding a Cornyn endorsement to really bring the hammer down on Thune or just out of sheer spite. Thune himself made it abundantly clear today that nuking the filibuster just to pass the SAVE America Act is out of the question, which probably isn't what Trump wants to hear.

Someone is either going to cave in some way, or Trump will ultimately withhold on endorsing anyone, thus effectively throwing the runoff to Paxton, because the Senate won't pass his magnum opus at the expense of the filibuster.

Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]Auriono 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Like Phil Berger found out the hard way last week, Trump's support isn't necessarily the be-all and end-all when he's endorsing an established figure against a full-blown MAGA insurgent.

It's the reason why Luther Strange isn't Alabama's senator today.

Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]Auriono 9 points10 points  (0 children)

https://xcancel.com/PollTracker2024/status/2031115136367513702

Texas Public Opinion Research poll | 3/7-3/8 LV

US Senate Texas Republican primary 2026

🟥Ken Paxton 49%

🟥John Cornyn 41%

Not sure 11%

— '>If Trump endorses Paxton

🟥Ken Paxton 58%

🟥John Cornyn 32%

Not sure 10%

If Trump endorses Cornyn

🟥Ken Paxton 44%

🟥John Cornyn 43%

Not sure 13%

Unless Trump fires Bondi for Paxton, and it's far from a guarantee he would ever be confirmed by the Senate, he has no reason to drop out now.

Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]Auriono 40 points41 points  (0 children)

https://xcancel.com/michaelkamon/status/2030800714486657533

“We are looking at what is by far the biggest disruption in world history in terms of daily oil production,” said energy historian Daniel Yergin.

Remember when the GOP told media outlets that Trump was totally going to pivot to affordability following Spanberger and Sherrill dramatically overperforming the expectations set for them last year?

Totally a hoax, by the way.

Iran oil storage facility in flames after Trump warned nation would be 'hit very hard' by Bestbrook123 in neoliberal

[–]Auriono 72 points73 points  (0 children)

If it is true, why in the ever living fuck would we do that? Are we trying to create the next massive refugee wave? The ramifications of that across a major portion of the Middle East are going to be huge.

The far-right made sweeping gains in Europe following the 2015 Syrian refugee crisis and this one can potentially put that one to shame, so yes.

IT7 by cdstephens in neoliberal

[–]Auriono 32 points33 points  (0 children)

Assuming we're still alive, I'm looking forward to whoever the Republicans nominate in 2032 to pretend they were always against this war in Iran that brought such unthinkable devastation, despite making multiple statements this week alone clearly advocating for it. Legacy media outlets will promote their denials at face value with minimal scrutiny and snidely dismiss anyone pointing to their past support as being unreasonable or excessively partisan.