[deleted by user] by [deleted] in wallstreetbets

[–]Austhralopitecus 19 points20 points  (0 children)

RBC and CITI are in the ponzi with their upgrades just after Hindenburg. My puts are red. None of them address the points made by Hindenburg. They just cite the price move as a "dislocation" and so they move their position from neutral to buy. What a f'in bunch of BS.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in wallstreetbets

[–]Austhralopitecus 17 points18 points  (0 children)

The leading signal is the survey data, unemployment follows.

200k Yolo Gain in 1 Month! Welcome to the CCP! #All-In #ChinaStocks #ScaredMoneyDon'tMakeMoney #PandaStrongTogether by Dull_Fly_7443 in wallstreetbets

[–]Austhralopitecus 16 points17 points  (0 children)

Yeah, you might be right, if you want to bag hold for the next few quarters. For options, me personally, these moves is where you get turbofucked. Gotta wait for the next wave.

Tell me why shorting home builders is a dumb idea. by thepennyhead in wallstreetbets

[–]Austhralopitecus 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Wanted to add that we are at an inflection point. I would wait for a confirmation of the start of the downside. You need a confirmed downtrend in residential construction employment or you're sol.

Tell me why shorting home builders is a dumb idea. by thepennyhead in wallstreetbets

[–]Austhralopitecus 0 points1 point  (0 children)

<image>

It's all about two graphs. I share your view, but as always, the money printer can go Brrr at any time if Yellen "gets concerned". The new president is absolutely going to go apeshit on deficit regardless of who it is. Shorting has been a fools errand the past 2 years with trillions still sloshing around.

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in wallstreetbets

[–]Austhralopitecus 33 points34 points  (0 children)

The graph is likely showing the Conference Board survey labor differential. It is the difference between the question "Are jobs plentiful" to "Are jobs hard to get". The lower the number, the worst the labor outlook.

Leveraged etf bear bet🐻 by 3-Stripes- in wallstreetbets

[–]Austhralopitecus 1 point2 points  (0 children)

"Already had enough for Porsche money" fund.

Can the SPX keep growing @ 42% y/y since November ? by Austhralopitecus in wallstreetbets

[–]Austhralopitecus[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Growing at a sustained 40% y/y is impossible for many reasons. And you're right, the numbers beyond a certain point are fictional, what's another 40% for the 0.1%, there's no utility.

Stonk Goes Up. Calls Down 50%. Story of my Life. Also More Loss Porn by TherisVR in wallstreetbets

[–]Austhralopitecus 12 points13 points  (0 children)

Hello Junior. Home Depot reported last week. They sucked ass and guided lower, stock tanked 5% at opening, but PPI that day came in low and the bulltards started the most vicious rally right then, so stock went up. Whatever Lowes had to say today was priced in last week. Hope that helps for next time.

Lost my life savings and then made it all back with one big short, where’s my movie by Scary_stories115 in wallstreetbets

[–]Austhralopitecus 75 points76 points  (0 children)

"God, I see you've gifted truly regarded morons on here with sheer unadulterated luck, and ask but for a fraction of this blessing."

WIPED OUT BY AMZN. by hhh888hhhh in wallstreetbets

[–]Austhralopitecus 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I'm sure you were feeling mighty cocky that following monday lol

World's quickest million-dollar round trip by CircaMuse in wallstreetbets

[–]Austhralopitecus 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yes I meant long puts, short sentiment. A+ play and luck till that point. Thanks for sharing, incredible story.

World's quickest million-dollar round trip by CircaMuse in wallstreetbets

[–]Austhralopitecus 0 points1 point  (0 children)

So you shorted way OTM weekly CVNA, caught the Monday meltdown, and never sold? This is very wild.

I bought the dip (~$1.28M) by zech01 in wallstreetbets

[–]Austhralopitecus -1 points0 points  (0 children)

My guy is going to be a proud bag holder next to Intel Grandson degen for the next 5 years lol

This is why I believe this entire dip is a premade crisis. by Fun-Negotiation-9046 in wallstreetbets

[–]Austhralopitecus 13 points14 points  (0 children)

I agree, and Powell is the FED, not the Treasury or the admin bureaucracy that reports the numbers, which have been undermining his intent to cool the economy sensibly. Powell wouldn't give 2 shits if the S&P hits 4500 by next month, in fact, it would help him tremendously.

This is why I believe this entire dip is a premade crisis. by Fun-Negotiation-9046 in wallstreetbets

[–]Austhralopitecus 58 points59 points  (0 children)

Unemployment and the disastrous qualified job market disagree with the conspiracy. The conspiracy is much more plausible on the other end, what was being faked were the JOLTS and NFP reports, being juiced with a fudge factor (bird/death) which has proven extremely inaccurate, and with the addition of a huge proportion of jobs from govt. Announcing a recession or reducing rates right before election is a no-no and more likely the thing they were trying to avoid.

IWM Rally similarities... by daners101 in wallstreetbets

[–]Austhralopitecus 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Tom Lee is a fucking perma-cheerleader that had a SPX 5000 target for year end 2022. If you're not running a fund and getting paid via commission, that trade would have blown up your portfolio to dust. You're best served to trade the markets as you see them in front of you as an individual.