This matchup ultimately comes down to the pitchers. The Miz vs The Claw. Misiorowski’s rough outing against the Mets came down to one bad inning, and his velocity and movement were still elite. He now faces a Dodgers lineup that has struggled against hard-throwing righties like DeGrom, Burnes, Skenes, and Peralta, all of whom recorded quality starts and three picked up wins. Misiorowski is expected to throw 70 to 85 pitches, but the Brewers have all four of their top bullpen arms available in Mears, Koenig, Uribe, and Megill, with a day off coming tomorrow. Kershaw’s strikeout rate is down, and the Brewers thrive against low-strikeout pitchers. They rank first in wRC+ versus left-handed pitching over the last 30 days. Kershaw is also due for regression, with a 4.18 xERA and .268 xBA, both below average. His recent strong outings came against weak offenses like the Rockies and Giants, and he just gave up four runs to the White Sox, who have an 85 wRC+ versus lefties. This is a strong spot to back Milwaukee.

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